Saltwater intrusion is a naturally occurring phenomenon that is exacerbated significantly by excessive groundwater exploitation in coastal aquifers. In order to determine the extent of saltwater intrusion in a karstified coastal aquifer in Crete, Greece, a three-dimensional, density-dependent groundwater flow and transport model was developed and compared to the more traditional sharp-interface approach. The karstified medium was modelled using a combination of the equivalent porous medium approach (for lower-order fractures) and a discrete fracture approach (for the main fractures/faults). The model takes into consideration the geomorphologic characteristics of the karstic system, such as the depth and orientation of the fault network, and the diffusion phenomena associated with the variable densities of freshwater and saltwater—parameters that create a complex system, inducing uncertainty in the model. The model results showed that the orientation of the fractures, the pumping activity and the fluid density effects drive the seawater intrusion front asymmetrically inland. Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz Citation Dokou, Z. and Karatzas, G.P., 2012. Saltwater intrusion estimation in a karstified coastal system using density-dependent modelling and comparison with the sharp-interface approach. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (5), 985–999.
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have recently been used to predict the hydraulic head in well locations. In the present work, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm was used to train a feed-forward multi-layer ANN for the simulation of hydraulic head change at an observation well in the region of Agia, Chania, Greece. Three variants of the PSO algorithm were considered, the classic one with inertia weight improvement, PSO with time varying acceleration coefficients (PSO-TVAC) and global best PSO (GLBest-PSO). The best performance was achieved by GLBest-PSO when implemented using field data from the region of interest, providing improved training results compared to the back-propagation training algorithm. The trained ANN was subsequently used for mid-term prediction of the hydraulic head, as well as for the study of three climate change scenarios. Data time series were created using a stochastic weather generator, and the scenarios were examined for the period 2010–2020.