Introduction: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is considered a safe and minimally invasive procedure. We previously reported that the mortality and complication rates for RFA were 0.038% (5/13,283 patients) and 3.54% (579 complications/16,346 procedures), respectively, from 1999 to 2010 (previous period). In this study, we investigated the clinical criteria for RFA and the mortality and complication rates from 2011 to 2015 (recent period). Methods: Data were collected from 25 centers by using a questionnaire developed by the Chugoku-Shikoku Society for Local Ablation Therapy of HCC. The criteria for RFA, RFA modification, use of image-guidance modalities, mortality, and complications during the previous and recent periods were compared. Results: We evaluated 11,298 procedures for 9,411 patients, including those that involved new devices (bipolar RFA and internally adjustable electrode system). The criterion of hepatic function for RFA increased from a Child-Pugh score ≤8 during the previous period to ≤9 during the recent period. The criteria regarding the tumor location and other risk factors have been expanded recently because of the increased use of several modifications of the RFA procedure and image-guidance modalities. The mortality rate was 0.064% (6/9,411 patients), and the complication rate was 2.92% (330 complications/11,298 procedures). There was no difference in mortality rates between the 2 periods (p = 0.38), but the complication rates was significantly lower during the recent period (p = 0.038). Discussion and Conclusions: Our findings confirmed that RFA, including the use of new devices, is a low-risk procedure for HCC, despite the expansion of the criteria for RFA during the recent period.

There are limited reports regarding early predictors of objective response (OR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with lenvatinib. This retrospective study including 70 patients aimed to investigate the efficacy of hepatic biochemical markers. Changes in tumor marker (alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)/des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP)) levels and albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) score between the baseline value and that estimated one month after treatment were evaluated. We identified several predictors of OR, including changes in tumor marker levels. The OR rate calculated using modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumor (mRECIST) was 41.4%. Response was defined as a reduction in AFP and DCP levels of ≥40% from baseline. OR was significantly associated with AFP response, but not with DCP. Predictors of OR were evaluated in two groups (high-AFP group: baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL; low-AFP group: remaining patients). A multivariate analysis identified AFP response (odds ratio, 51.389; p = 0.001) and ALBI score (odds ratio, 6.866; p = 0.039) as independent predictors of OR in the high-AFP and low-AFP groups, respectively. Changes in the ALBI score indicated deterioration in both responders and non-responders, with a significant difference in non-responders (p = 0.003). AFP response, baseline ALBI score, and change in the ALBI score were early predictors of OR in patients with HCC undergoing lenvatinib treatment.

Background: Sorafenib is a standard therapy for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, no predictive biomarkers of sorafenib efficacy have been discovered. Herein, we investigated the impact of body composition, such as skeletal muscle and visceral fat, on the prognosis of advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib. Methods: We enrolled 100 patients with advanced HCC treated with sorafenib. Prior to receiving sorafenib therapy, skeletal muscle index (SMI) and visceral fat area (VFA) were measured using computed tomography at the third lumbar vertebra and umbilical level, respectively. Muscle depletion was defined as an SMI value < 42 cm2/m2 in men and < 38 cm2/m2 in women. High VFA (H-VFA) was defined as a value ≥100 cm2. In addition to SMI and VFA, we also analyzed various clinical parameters as potential prognostic factors. Results: Multivariate analysis showed that having a tumor number < 7 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.409, p < 0.001), absence of extrahepatic spread (EHS) (HR = 0.562, p < 0.001), absence of muscle depletion (HR = 0.498, p = 0.006), and H-VFA (HR = 0.556, p = 0.031) were significant factors for long-term survival. Therefore, we evaluated the prognosis of those with no muscle depletion with H-VFA. The no muscle depletion with H-VFA group showed significantly longer survival than the other group (median survival time 15.6 vs. 11.0 months, p = 0.003). Multivariate analysis showed that having a tumor number < 7 (HR = 0.454, p = 0.001), absence of EHS (HR = 0.511, p = 0.008), and no muscle depletion with H-VFA (HR = 0.454, p = 0.002) were significant predictors of survival. Conclusions: We identified no muscle depletion with H-VFA as a novel biomarker for advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib.

Durvalumab plus tremelimumab (Durva/Treme) combined immunotherapy is the first-line therapy recommended for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Since sequential therapy is more effective in improving prognosis, tumor markers have been used as predictive biomarkers for response to systemic therapy. This study aimed to investigate the predictive ability of objective response (OR) by tumor markers for Durva/Treme therapy against HCC. In this multicenter study, 110 patients with HCC who received Durva/Treme therapy were retrospectively enrolled. The OR rate was 15.5%. To aid early decision-making regarding OR, we evaluated the predictors contributing to OR in two steps: before (first step) and 4 weeks after (second step) treatment induction. Changes in tumor markers (alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin [DCP]) from baseline to 4 weeks after treatment (ΔAFP/ΔDCP) were included as the input factors. In the first step, multivariable analysis identified only the baseline AFP level (odds ratio 3.497,p= 0.029) as a predictor of OR. Patients with AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL had a significantly higher OR rate than those with < 400 ng/mL (28.2 vs. 8.5%,p= 0.011), and there was no significant difference in progression-free survival (PFS) between the two groups. When AFP/DCP response was defined as a ≥10% reduction from baseline, multivariable analysis showed that AFP response (odds ratio 6.023,p= 0.042) and DCP response (odds ratio 11.657,p= 0.006) were both independent predictors of OR in the second step. The PFS of patients with AFP or DCP response was significantly longer than that of patients without AFP or DCP response. The study demonstrated that the use of AFP and DCP can predict the OR of patients with HCC receiving Durva/Treme therapy.

Despite the promising efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (atezo/bev), some patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) experience disease progression. This retrospective study, which included 154 patients, aimed to evaluate predictors of treatment efficacy of atezo/bev for unresectable HCC. Factors associated with treatment response were examined, focusing on tumor markers. In the high-alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) group (baseline AFP ≥ 20 ng/mL), a decrease in AFP level > 30% was an independent predictor of objective response (odds ratio, 5.517; p = 0.0032). In the low-AFP group (baseline AFP < 20 ng/mL), baseline des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) level < 40 mAU/mL was an independent predictor of objective response (odds ratio, 3.978; p = 0.0206). The independent predictors of early progressive disease were an increase in AFP level ≥ 30% at 3 weeks (odds ratio, 4.077; p = 0.0264) and the presence of extrahepatic spread (odds ratio, 3.682; p = 0.0337) in the high-AFP group and up-to-seven criteria, OUT (odds ratio, 15.756; p = 0.0257) in the low-AFP group. In atezo/bev therapy, focusing on early AFP changes, baseline DCP, and tumor burden of up-to-seven criteria are useful in predicting response to treatment.