Shen Zhen

Dr. Shen Zhen


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

8Years (2019-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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27 December 2019 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
QHQimin He
Qimin He
KZKefei Zhang
Kefei Zhang
SWSuqin Wu
Suqin Wu
Qingzhi ZhaoQingzhi Zhao
Qingzhi Zhao
XWXiaoming Wang
Xiaoming Wang
XLXiaoyang Liu
Xiaoyang Liu
Typhoons can be serious natural disasters for the sustainability and development of society. The development of a typhoon usually involves a pre-existing weather disturbance, warm tropical oceans, and a large amount of moisture. This implies that a large variation in the atmospheric water vapor over the path of a typhoon can be used to study the characteristics of the typhoon. This is the reason that the variation in precipitable water vapor (PWV) is often used to capture the signature of a typhoon in meteorology. This study investigates the usability of real-time PWV retrieved from global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) for typhoons’ characterizations, and especially, the following aspects were investigated: (1) The correlation between PWV and atmospheric parameters including pressure, temperature, precipitation, and wind speed; (2) water vapor transportation during a typhoon period; and (3) the correlation between the movement of a typhoon and the transportation of water vapor. The case study selected for this research was Super Typhoon Mangkhut that occurred in mid-September 2018 in Hong Kong. The PWV time series were obtained from a conversion of GNSS-derived zenith total delays (ZTDs) using observations at 10 stations selected from the Hong Kong GNSS continuously operating reference stations (CORS) network, which are also located along the path of the typhoon. The Bernese GNSS Software (ver. 5.2) was used to obtain the ZTDs; and the root mean square (RMS) of the differences between the GNSS-ZTDs and International GNSS Service post-processed ZTDs time series was less than 8 mm. The RMS of the differences between the GNSS-PWVs (i.e., the ZTDs converted PWVs) and radiosonde-derived PWVs (RS-PWVs) time series was less than 2 mm. The changes in PWV reflect the variation in wind speed during the typhoon period to a certain degree, and their correlation coefficient was 0.76, meaning a significant positive correlation. In addition, a new approach was proposed to estimate the direction and speed of a typhoon’s movement using the time difference of PWV arrival at different sites. The direction and speed estimated agreed well with the ones published by the China Meteorological Administration. These results suggest that GNSS-derived PWV has a great potential for the monitoring and even prediction of typhoon events, especially for near real-time warnings.

30 August 2022 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
LLLongjiang Li
Longjiang Li
KZKefei Zhang
Kefei Zhang
SWSuqin Wu
Suqin Wu
HLHaobo Li
Haobo Li
XWXiaoming Wang
Xiaoming Wang
SZShen Zhen
Shen Zhen
Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) has been applied to the sounding of precipitable water vapor (PWV) due to its high accuracy and high spatiotemporal resolutions. PWV obtained from GNSS (GNSS-PWV) can be used to investigate extreme weather phenomena, such as the formation mechanism and prediction of rainfalls. In the study, a new, improved model for rainfall forecasting was developed based on GNSS data and rainfall data for the 9-year period from 2010 to 2018 at 66 stations located in the USA. The new model included three prediction factors—PWV value, PWV increase, maximum hourly PWV increase. The two key tasks involved for the development of the model were the determination of the thresholds for each prediction factor and the selection of the optimal strategy for using the three prediction factors together. For determining the thresholds, both critical success index (CSI) and true skill statistic (TSS) were tested, and results showed that TSS outperformed CSI for all rainfall events tested. Then, various strategies by combining the three prediction factors together were also tested, and results indicated that the best forecast result was from the case that any two of the prediction factors were over their own thresholds. Finally, the new model was evaluated using the GNSS data for the 2-year period from 2019 to 2020 at the above mentioned 66 stations, and the probability of detection (POD) and false-alarms rate (FAR) were adopted to measure the model performances. Over the 66 stations, the POD values ranged from 73% to 97% with the mean of 87%, and the FARs ranged from 26% to 77% with the mean of 53%. Moreover, it was also found that both POD and FAR values were related to the region of the station; e.g., the results at the stations that are located in humid regions were better than the ones located in dry regions. All these results suggest the feasibility and good performance of using GNSS-PWV for forecasting rainfall.

3 November 2021 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
JSJiaQi Shi
JiaQi Shi
KZKefei Zhang
Kefei Zhang
SWSuqin Wu
Suqin Wu
SSShuangshuang Shi
Shuangshuang Shi
SZShen Zhen
Shen Zhen
This study investigated the relationship between variations in the atmospheric boundary layer height (ABLH) and typhoons over the Northwest Pacific using global navigation satellite system (GNSS) radio occultation (RO) data during the local summer typhoon season (July–October in the Northern Hemisphere) from 2007 to 2020. The minimum gradient of refractivity derived from COSMIC and COSMIC-2 was used to determine the ABLH. The RO profiles were co-located with the position of a typhoon track base within a 600 km space window and different time windows. ABLH climatology with a 2.5° × 2.5° horizontal resolution was developed, which can be used to obtain the interpolated mean ABLH at any target position. The mean ABLH at the central typhoon position in a specific year was compared with the results interpolated from the climatology of the same location (excluding the year in which the investigated typhoon occurred). In this paper, the results indicate that the ABLH is lower in the vicinity of typhoons relative to the undisturbed atmosphere by a significant amount, and that the reduction in ABLH ranges from 0.13 km to 0.39 km. It was also found that the ABLH was negatively correlated with wind speed, and that the mean correlation coefficient was −0.607. Moreover, similar results can be obtained via the RO water vapor partial pressure profile compared to the refractivity results.

5 December 2022 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MWMoufeng Wan
Moufeng Wan
KZKefei Zhang
Kefei Zhang
SWSuqin Wu
Suqin Wu
SZShen Zhen
Shen Zhen
PSPeng Sun
Peng Sun
LLLongjiang Li
Longjiang Li
For better modeling the vertical distribution and variations of water vapor, a 10-year time-series of a newly derived water vapor parameter (termed IRPWV), defined as the ratio of water vapor density (WVD) to the total precipitable water vapor (TPWV), was statistically analyzed. This research showed that the vertical distribution of IRPWV presents a periodic pattern and is highly correlated with the relative magnitude of its corresponding TPWV when compared with the other TPWVs in the same time range. Six TPWV ranges were first chosen to determine the relative magnitude and then used to classify the IRPWV vertical distributions of TPWV. For the periodic variations in each of the six classified IRPWV vertical distribution time-series, a temporal IRPWV model was developed accordingly with six sets of coefficients. The new models were validated by comparing their predictions against the reference values from sounding data at 12 radiosonde stations in China, and their performance was also evaluated against that of the commonly used exponential model. Results showed that, first, the proportions of the height range that had reduced annual root mean square error (RMSE) of WVD in all height ranges within all TPWV ranges were over 75% at the 12 stations. Then, the annual RMSEs of the WVD for all the stations were reduced by at least 11%, 20%, 43%, 48%, 40%, 38%, 32%, 35%, 32%, and 28% in each of the 10 selected height ranges, respectively.

10 June 2021 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SZShen Zhen
Shen Zhen
KZKefei Zhang
Kefei Zhang
DZDantong Zhu
Dantong Zhu
QHQimin He
Qimin He
MWMoufeng Wan
Moufeng Wan
SWSuqin Wu
Suqin Wu
Atmospheric data obtained from the radio occultation (RO) technique are a well-recognized source of information for weather and climate studies. From the Challenging Minisatellite Payload (CHAMP) mission launched in July 2000 to the most recent Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate follow-on (COSMIC-2) program, a continuous RO dataset of about 20 years has been collected, and a new opportunity for long-term climate analyses using multi-mission RO observations has subsequently arisen. Therefore, assessments of the long-term homogeneities of multi-mission RO data have become a necessary research task. For this purpose, in this study, we identified systematic discrepancies between the RO temperature profiles from the CHAMP, COSMIC, and Meteorological Operational Polar Satellite (METOP) missions. The results show that the temperature profiles from all three RO missions agree well in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS, 9–20 km altitude) regions, while some systematic discrepancies are found in the lower troposphere (2–8 km) and the high-altitude region (21–30 km). The homogeneities of long-term RO temperature climatologies were assessed by comparing them with radiosonde temperature records. The results of this comparison show obvious temporal inhomogeneities in the lower troposphere. The reasons for these temporal inhomogeneities include the systematic discrepancies between multi-mission RO profiles, the different monthly numbers of RO profiles, and the residual sampling error. The results of this study suggest that the systematic discrepancies between different RO missions should be thoroughly considered in the development of long-term multi-mission RO-based climatologies.