Thomas Schmidt

Dr. Thomas Schmidt


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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7 February 2020 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
NMNailya Maitanova
Nailya Maitanova
JTJan-Simon Telle
Jan-Simon Telle
BHBenedikt Hanke
Benedikt Hanke
MGMatthias Grottke
Matthias Grottke
TSThomas Schmidt
Thomas Schmidt
Carsten AgertCarsten Agert
Carsten Agert
A fully automated transferable predictive approach was developed to predict photovoltaic (PV) power output for a forecasting horizon of 24 h. The prediction of PV power output was made with the help of a long short-term memory machine learning algorithm. The main challenge of the approach was using (1) publicly available weather reports without solar irradiance values and (2) measured PV power without any technical information about the PV system. Using this input data, the developed model can predict the power output of the investigated PV systems with adequate accuracy. The lowest seasonal mean absolute scaled error of the prediction was reached by maximum size of the training set. Transferability of the developed approach was proven by making predictions of the PV power for warm and cold periods and for two different PV systems located in Oldenburg and Munich, Germany. The PV power prediction made with publicly available weather data was compared to the predictions made with fee-based solar irradiance data. The usage of the solar irradiance data led to more accurate predictions even with a much smaller training set. Although the model with publicly available weather data needed greater training sets, it could still make adequate predictions.

10 November 2022 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
NBNiklas Benedikt Blum
Niklas Benedikt Blum
Stefan WilbertStefan Wilbert
Stefan Wilbert
BNBijan Nouri
Bijan Nouri
JSJonas Stührenberg
Jonas Stührenberg
JGJorge Enrique Lezaca Galeano
Jorge Enrique Lezaca Galeano
RPRobert Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. Pitz-Paal
Robert Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. Pitz-Paal
All-sky imagers (ASIs) can be used to model clouds and detect spatial variations of cloud attenuation. Such cloud modeling can support ASI-based nowcasting, upscaling of photovoltaic production and numeric weather predictions. A novel procedure is developed which uses a network of ASIs to model clouds and determine cloud attenuation more accurately over every location in the observed area, at a resolution of 50 m × 50 m. The approach combines images from neighboring ASIs which monitor the cloud scene from different perspectives. Areas covered by optically thick/intermediate/thin clouds are detected in the images of twelve ASIs and are transformed into maps of attenuation index. In areas monitored by multiple ASIs, an accuracy-weighted average combines the maps of attenuation index. An ASI observation’s local weight is calculated from its expected accuracy. Based on radiometer measurements, a probabilistic procedure derives a map of cloud attenuation from the combined map of attenuation index. Using two additional radiometers located 3.8 km west and south of the first radiometer, the ASI network’s estimations of direct normal (DNI) and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) are validated and benchmarked against estimations from an ASI pair and homogeneous persistence which uses a radiometer alone. The validation works without forecasted data, this way excluding sources of error which would be present in forecasting. The ASI network reduces errors notably (RMSD for DNI 136 W/m2, GHI 98 W/m2) compared to the ASI pair (RMSD for DNI 173 W/m2, GHI 119 W/m2 and radiometer alone (RMSD for DNI 213 W/m2), GHI 140 W/m2). A notable reduction is found in all studied conditions, classified by irradiance variability. Thus, the ASI network detects spatial variations of cloud attenuation considerably more accurately than the state-of-the-art approaches in all atmospheric conditions.