HONGYAN CHEN

Dr. HONGYAN CHEN

Department of Earth and Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

15Years (2012-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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21 November 2022 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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HCHONGYAN CHEN
HONGYAN CHEN
Peng HanPeng Han
Peng Han
Katsumi HATTORIKatsumi HATTORI
Katsumi HATTORI
Due to their potential application in earthquake forecasting, seismo-electromagnetic phenomena were intensively studied for several decades all over the world. At present, measurements from ground to space have accumulated a large amount of observation data, proving an excellent opportunity for seismo-electromagnetic study. Using a variety of analytical methods to examine past earthquake events, many electromagnetic changes associated with earthquakes have been independently reported, supporting the existence of pre-earthquake anomalies. This study aimed to give a brief review of the seismo-electromagnetic studies preceding earthquakes and to discuss possible ways for the application of seismo-electromagnetic signals at the current stage. In general, seismo-electromagnetic signals can be classified into electric and magnetic changes in the lithosphere and perturbations in the atmosphere. We start with seismo-electromagnetic research in the lithosphere, and then we review the studies in the lower atmosphere and upper atmosphere, including some latest topics that aroused intense scholarly interest. The potential mechanisms of seismo-electromagnetic phenomena are also discussed. It was found that although a number of statistical tests show that electromagnetic anomalies may contain predictive information for major earthquakes, with probability gains of approximately 2–6, it is still difficult to make use of seismo-electromagnetic signals efficiently in practice. To address this, finally, we put forward some preliminary ideas about how to apply the seismo-electromagnetic information in earthquake forecasting.

1 August 2020 in Entropy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Peng HanPeng Han
Peng Han
Jiancang ZhuangJiancang Zhuang
Jiancang Zhuang
Katsumi HATTORIKatsumi HATTORI
Katsumi HATTORI
Chieh-Hung ChenChieh-Hung Chen
Chieh-Hung Chen
FFFebty Febriani
Febty Febriani
SYShuji Yoshida
Shuji Yoshida
In order to clarify ultra-low-frequency (ULF) seismomagnetic phenomena, a sensitive geomagnetic network was installed in Kanto, Japan since 2000. In previous studies, we have verified the correlation between ULF magnetic anomalies and local sizeable earthquakes. In this study, we use Molchan’s error diagram to evaluate the potential earthquake precursory information in the magnetic data recorded in Kanto, Japan during 2000–2010. We introduce the probability gain (PG′) and the probability difference (D′) to quantify the forecasting performance and to explore the optimal prediction parameters for a given ULF magnetic station. The results show that the earthquake predictions based on magnetic anomalies are significantly better than random guesses, indicating the magnetic data contain potential useful precursory information. Further investigations suggest that the prediction performance depends on the choices of the distance (R) and size of the target earthquake events (Es). Optimal R and Es are about (100 km, 108.75) and (180 km, 108.75) for Seikoshi (SKS) station in Izu and Kiyosumi (KYS) station in Boso, respectively.

8 June 2021 in Entropy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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RWRui Wang
Rui Wang
YCYing Chang
Ying Chang
MMMiao Miao
Miao Miao
ZZZhiyi Zeng
Zhiyi Zeng
HCHONGYAN CHEN
HONGYAN CHEN
Peng HanPeng Han
Peng Han
Many studies have shown that b values tend to decrease prior to large earthquakes. To evaluate the forecast information in b value variations, we conduct a systematic assessment in Yunnan Province, China, where the seismicity is intense and moderate–large earthquakes occur frequently. The catalog in the past two decades is divided into four time periods (January 2000–December 2004, January 2005–December 2009, January 2010–December 2014, and January 2015–December 2019). The spatial b values are calculated for each 5-year span and then are used to forecast moderate-large earthquakes (M ≥ 5.0) in the subsequent period. As the fault systems in Yunnan Province are complex, to avoid possible biases in b value computation caused by different faulting regimes when using the grid search, the hierarchical space–time point-process models (HIST-PPM) proposed by Ogata are utilized to estimate spatial b values in this study. The forecast performance is tested by Molchan error diagram (MED) and the efficiency is quantified by probability gain (PG) and probability difference (PD). It is found that moderate–large earthquakes are more likely to occur in low b regions. The MED analysis shows that there is considerable precursory information in spatial b values and the forecast efficiency increases with magnitude in the Yunnan Province. These results suggest that the b value might be useful in middle- and long-term earthquake forecasts in the study area.

9 November 2020 in Entropy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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HCHONGYAN CHEN
HONGYAN CHEN
RWRui Wang
Rui Wang
MMMiao Miao
Miao Miao
XLXiaocan Liu
Xiaocan Liu
Yonghui MaYonghui Ma
Yonghui Ma
Peng HanPeng Han
Peng Han
In order to find out whether the geomagnetic storms and large-mega earthquakes are correlated or not, statistical studies based on Superposed Epoch Analysis (SEA), significance analysis, and Z test have been applied to the Dst index data and M ≥ 7.0 global earthquakes during 1957–2020. The results indicate that before M ≥ 7.0 global earthquakes, there are clearly higher probabilities of geomagnetic storms than after them. Geomagnetic storms are more likely to be related with shallow earthquakes rather than deep ones. Further statistical investigations of the results based on cumulative storm hours show consistency with those based on storm days, suggesting that the high probability of geomagnetic storms prior to large-mega earthquakes is significant and robust. Some possible mechanisms such as a reverse piezoelectric effect and/or electroosmotic flow are discussed to explain the statistical correlation. The result might open new perspectives in the complex process of earthquakes and the Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere (LAI) coupling.

9 September 2024 in IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
HCHONGYAN CHEN
HONGYAN CHEN
Peng HanPeng Han
Peng Han
Katsumi HATTORIKatsumi HATTORI
Katsumi HATTORI
Electromagnetic perturbations associated with earthquakes and volcano eruptions have been intensively documented in the past decades, from both ground and satellite observations. However, the magnetic signals associated with crustal activity are usually very weak and mixed with global geomagnetic signals originating from external sources. Thus, one of the key issues in seismo-electromagnetic study is to identify local geomagnetic signals from global magnetic pulsations. The interstation transfer function can recover the global magnetic pulsations at the observatory by using the data of reference station, providing an effective way for signal discrimination. To further improve the accuracy of global magnetic signal estimation, in this study, we develop a new method for interstation transfer function calculation based on multivariate wavelet coherence using adaptive selection of time window lengths for different periods. Test on real data demonstrates that the global signals of the external source are accurately estimated, including the horizontal X, and Y components and the vertical Z component of the observatory. The results of using different reference stations confirm the robustness of the proposed method. It is proved that the method can be used to eliminate the external ionospheric source signals effectively and identify local magnetic field signals lying in the background at the observatory. The proposed method can be useful in seismo-electromagnetic signal identification and extraction.

1 January 2012 in International Journal of Revenue Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
HCHONGYAN CHEN
HONGYAN CHEN
RQRunwen Qin
Runwen Qin