Mohammed Gebrail

Dr. Mohammed Gebrail

Politics and Public Administration, University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Baden-Württemberg, Germany
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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30 September 2025 in Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Hiyam Ahmed AbdulrahimHiyam Ahmed Abdulrahim
Hiyam Ahmed Abdulrahim
Mohammed GebrailMohammed Gebrail
Mohammed Gebrail
MEManal Osman Elhaj
Manal Osman Elhaj
JBJawaher Binsuwadan
Jawaher Binsuwadan
Decent work is essential for fostering workers’ professional and personal growth, as well as for guaranteeing social security and welfare through the enforcement of rules and regulations. Recently, the global labour market has been profoundly influenced by technological innovations, the growth of the services sector, and globalization. Consequently, the protection of fundamental workers’ rights has become increasingly important, establishing that decent employment is crucial for generating superior and higher-quality output. In the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, there is an increasing necessity to acknowledge the significance of decent work conditions for sustained economic development. This study aims to examine the influence of decent work determinants on sustained economic development from 1991 to 2022. The analysis employs panel data methodologies, specifically cross-sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag models, alongside robustness assessments utilising Driscoll–Kraay standard errors, Augmented Mean Group, and Common Correlated Effects Mean Group estimators, revealing that GDP per employee exerts a significant and consistent positive influence on economic growth. Conversely, other aspects of decent work, including unemployment, vulnerable employment, and self-employment, do not have statistically significant long-term consequences. The Westerlund ECM cointegration test verifies the lack of a long-term equilibrium link between decent work indices and economic development. The findings indicate that although labour market quality is significant, productivity is the primary catalyst for sustained growth in the GCC setting. Policymakers should prioritise productivity-enhancing changes within comprehensive employment and labour market strategies.

29 September 2025 in Economies
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Journal Article
Open access
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ASAbdalla Sirag
Abdalla Sirag
Mohammed GebrailMohammed Gebrail
Mohammed Gebrail
The COVID-19 pandemic has renewed the global focus on the role of public health spending, particularly in developing regions where fiscal space is mostly limited. Many African countries have started reassessing the health sector as a core economic resilience component. This study examines how government health expenditure responds to macroeconomic fluctuations in African countries. Attention was given to asymmetries between positive and negative periods of GDP growth and the impact of COVID-19 on these dynamics. The analysis uses annual data from 45 African economies from 2000 to 2022 and applies a panel NARDL framework to capture nonlinear and dynamic relationships. The sample is further disaggregated into low-income and middle-income groups. The results from the full sample indicate a procyclical pattern of health spending, where expenditure rises during economic expansions, but it discloses an acyclical relationship during recessions. Further analysis reveals that health spending in low-income countries follows a similar procyclical trend, while middle-income countries exhibit a countercyclical response to positive and negative growth shocks. Inflation consistently reduces health spending across the sample. The COVID-19 period has altered the cyclical pattern of health expenditure, at least in the short-run, especially for low-income countries. These findings highlight the need for more resilient and countercyclical fiscal strategies in the health sector, specifically during economic downturns, to ensure sustained investment.

29 May 2026 in Cogent Economics & Finance
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MAMohammed Elhaj Mustafa Ali
Mohammed Elhaj Mustafa Ali
Mohammed GebrailMohammed Gebrail
Mohammed Gebrail
1. The pursuit of sustained economic growth remains a key priority for developing countries, particularly those in sub-Saharan Africa, where political and institutional fragility continue to pose s...