The correlation between runoff and sediment challenges ecological preservation and sustainable development in the Yellow River Basin. An understanding of the key factors influencing variations in runoff and sediment transport in crucial river basins is essential for effective soil erosion management within the context of ecological and economic development. The Mann–Kendall test, Pettitt test, and Morlet wavelet analysis were employed in the Wuding River Basin to analyze the trends in runoff and sediment changes from 1960 to 2020. We explored the double cumulative curve method to assess the contribution rates of precipitation and human activities to the variability of runoff and sediment transport. We explored the primary factors driving the changes in runoff and sediment transport through random forest regression analysis. (1) From 1960 to 2020, annual precipitation in the Wuding River Basin increased minimally, while annual runoff and sediment transport decreased strongly with abrupt changes. Abrupt changes in annual runoff and sediment transport occurred in 1971 and 1979, respectively. (2) The relationship between runoff and sediment transport changed in approximately 1972 and 2000. The distribution of monthly runoff became more uniform during Periods II (1973–2001) and III (2002–2020) compared to that during the baseline period (1960–1972, Period I), while sediment transport became increasingly concentrated in the flood season. (3) During Period II, the contribution rates of climate and human activities to runoff and sediment transport were 11.94% and −14.5%, respectively, compared to the baseline period. During Period III, the contribution rates of climate and human activities to runoff and sediment transport were −11.9% and −17.7%, respectively. Human activities substantially reduced runoff and sediment, with greater impacts on sediment reduction. Climate weakly influenced basin sediment transport variations. (4) The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and grassland area extent had the greatest impact on runoff, while the NDVI and forest area extent affected sediment transport.

The Huangfuchuan basin is one of the major sources of coarse sediment in the Yellow River and has long been a focal point and challenge for the conservation of soil and water in the Yellow River Basin. In this study, we analyzed the phase differentiation characteristics of water–sediment variations during the flood season in the Huangfuchuan basin using a long-term dataset. We elucidated the complex response relationship between water–sediment variations and meteorological factors and human activities, which is of great significance for revealing the mechanisms of water–sediment variations in the region and establishing a scientific water–sediment regulation system in the basin. Statistical methods such as the Mann–Kendall trend test, Sen’s slope estimation, Pettitt nonparametric test, and principal component analysis were employed to identify and analyze the trends and dominant driving factors before and after the water–sediment variations and abrupt changes in parameters such as rainfall and temperature in the Huangfuchuan basin. Additionally, multiple regression analysis was used to determine the extent of the contribution of climate and human activities to water–sediment variations in the Huangfuchuan basin. The study revealed that the year 2000 was a turning point for water–sediment variations, with decreases of 11.3%, 76.7%, and 85.1% in flood season rainfall, flood season runoff, and flood season sediment transport, respectively. Despite significant changes in the underlying surface conditions of the Huangfuchuan basin, the relationship between flood season sediment transport and flood season runoff remained a power–law relationship. In the absence of obvious abrupt changes in temperature, rainfall, and other meteorological factors, the changes in the underlying surface caused by human activities are the main cause of the changes in runoff and sediment yield in the Huangfuchuan basin. The current level of vegetation restoration in the Huangfuchuan basin is still relatively low, making it difficult to exert stronger control on sediment yield during the flood season. Meanwhile, human activities, primarily based on engineering measures, play a more significant role in the control of soil and water loss in the basin.

The Yellow River Basin serves as a critical ecological barrier and economic corridor in China, playing a pivotal role in national ecological security and sustainable development. This study develops a comprehensive evaluation framework grounded in the Water–Energy–Food–Ecosystem (WEFE) nexus, employing 25 indicators across nine provinces and autonomous regions over the period 2000–2023. Utilizing a multi-method approach—including the entropy weight method, coupling coordination degree model, center of gravity migration analysis, principal component analysis, and obstacle factor diagnosis—the research investigates the coordinated development and dynamic interactions among the WEFE subsystems. Key findings include: (1) the calculated weights of the water, energy, food, and ecological subsystems were 0.3126, 0.1957, 0.1692, and 0.3225, respectively, indicating that ecological and water subsystems exert the greatest influence; (2) distinct growth patterns among subsystems, with the energy subsystem exhibiting the fastest growth rate (212%) and the water subsystem the slowest (4%); (3) a steady improvement in the overall coordination degree of the WEFE system, rising from 0.417 in 2000 to 0.583 in 2023—a 39.8% increase—with Henan (0.739) and Inner Mongolia (0.715) achieving the highest coordination levels in 2023, while Qinghai (0.434) and Ningxia (0.417) remained near imbalance thresholds; (4) complex spatial dynamics reflected by cumulative center of gravity migration distances of 678.2 km (water), 204.9 km (energy), 143.3 km (food), and 310.9 km (ecology) over the study period; and (5) identification of per capita water resources as the principal limiting factor to coordinated WEFE development, with an obstacle degree of 0.1205 in 2023, underscoring persistent water scarcity challenges. This integrated framework advances WEFE nexus analysis and provides robust, evidence-based insights to inform regional policy and resource management strategies.

Promoting irrigation efficiency is a central pillar of global water sustainability strategies but empirical evidence shows a counterintuitive outcome named the irrigation efficiency paradox or rebound effect. This occurs when on-farm water savings do not translate into basin-scale conservation and may even intensify water scarcity. This paper critically re-examines the rebound effect, moving beyond conventional hydrological and economic explanations toward an integrated socio-hydrological perspective. We argue that the paradox is not merely a technical accounting issue or a form of the Jevons Paradox, but a systemic problem arising from interactions among behavior, institutions, and political economy. The review traces the concept’s evolution and synthesizes global evidence on its main drivers and controversies. It critically evaluates dominant research paradigms, emphasizing the need for greater methodological pluralism. Significant gaps remain, particularly regarding behavioral economics, political economy, and social and environmental externalities. We conclude that overcoming the efficiency paradox requires a policy shift from technological fixes to transformative governance.

Water scarcity and soil salinization pose significant challenges to sustainable agricultural development in arid and semi-arid regions globally. This study applies Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP) to analyze agricultural water resource management in the Hetao Irrigation District (HID), China. The research constructs a comprehensive multi-stress-factor integrated PMP model to evaluate the compound impacts of water resource constraints, pricing policies, and environmental stress on agricultural production systems. The model incorporates crop-specific salinity tolerance thresholds and simulates farmer decision-making behaviors under various scenarios including water supply reduction (0–100%), water pricing increases (0.2–1.0 CNY/m³), and soil salinity stress (0–10 dS/m). The results reveal that the agricultural system exhibits significant vulnerability characteristics with critical thresholds concentrated in the 60–70% water resource utilization interval. Water pricing policies show limited effectiveness in low-price ranges, with wheat demonstrating the highest price sensitivity (−23.8% elasticity). Crop salinity tolerance analysis indicates that wheat–sunflower rotation systems maintain an 85% planting proportion even under extreme salinity conditions (10 dS/m), significantly outperforming individual crops. The study proposes a hierarchical water resource quota allocation system based on vulnerability thresholds and recommends promoting salt-tolerant rotation systems to enhance agricultural resilience. These findings provide scientific evidence for sustainable water resource management and agricultural adaptation strategies in water-stressed regions, contributing to both theoretical advancement of the PMP methodology and practical policy formulation for irrigation districts facing similar challenges.