The spatial distribution and data quality of curve number (CN) values determine the performance of hydrological estimations. However, existing CN datasets are constrained by universal-applicability hypothesis, medium resolution, and imbalance between specificity CN tables to generalized land use/land cover (LULC) maps, which hinder their applicability and predictive accuracy. A new annual CN dataset named CUSCN30, featuring an enhanced resolution of 30 meters and accounting for temporal variations in climate and LULC in the continental United States (CONUS) between 2008 and 2021, was developed in this study. CUSCN30 demonstrated good performance in surface runoff estimation using CN method when compared to observed surface runoff for the selected watersheds. Compared with existing CN datasets, CUSCN30 exhibits the highest accuracy in runoff estimation for both normal and extreme rainfall events. In addition, CUSCN30, with its high spatial resolution, better captures the spatial heterogeneity of watersheds. This developed CN dataset can be used as input for hydrological models or machine learning algorithms to simulate rainfall-runoff across multiple spatiotemporal scales.

Phosphorus (P) Indices in the southern United States frequently produce different recommendations for similar conditions. We compared risk ratings from 12 southern states (Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas) using data collected from benchmark sites in the South (Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Texas). Phosphorus Index ratings were developed using both measured erosion losses from each benchmark site and Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation 2 predictions; mostly, there was no difference in P Index outcome. The derived loss ratings were then compared with measured P loads at the benchmark sites by using equivalent USDA–NRCS P Index ratings and three water quality models (Annual P Loss Estimator [APLE], Agricultural Policy Environmental eXtender [APEX], and Texas Best Management Practice Evaluation Tool [TBET]). Phosphorus indices were finally compared against each other using USDA–NRCS loss ratings model estimate correspondence with USDA–NRCS loss ratings. Correspondence was 61% for APEX, 48% for APLE, and 52% for TBET, with overall P index correspondence at 55%. Additive P Indices (Alabama and Texas) had the lowest USDA–NRCS loss rating correspondence (31%), while the multiplicative (Arkansas, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Tennessee) and component (Georgia, Kentucky, and North Carolina) indices had similar USDA–NRCS loss rating correspondence—60 and 64%, respectively. Analysis using Kendall's modified Tau suggested that correlations between measured and calculated P‐loss ratings were similar or better for most P Indices than the models.Core Ideas: Southern region P Indices estimate P losses as well as water quality models. APLE and TBET P‐loss predictions were more similar than were results from APEX. Assigning potential P‐loss risk from P Indices to any given water resource is challenging.

The Agricultural Policy Environmental eXtender (APEX) model has been widely applied to assess phosphorus (P) loss in runoff water and has been proposed as a model to support practical decisions regarding agricultural P management, as well as a model to evaluate tools such as the P Index. The aim of this study is to evaluate the performance of APEX to simulate P losses from agricultural systems to determine its potential use for refinement or replacement of the P Index in the southern region of the United States. Uncalibrated and calibrated APEX model predictions were compared against measured water quality data from row crop fields in North Carolina and Mississippi and pasture fields in Arkansas and Georgia. Calibrated models satisfactorily predicted event‐based surface runoff volumes at all sites (Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency [NSE] > 0.47, |percent bias [PBIAS]| < 34) except Arkansas (NSE < 0.11, |PBIAS| < 50) but did not satisfactory simulate sediment, dissolved P, or total P losses in runoff water. The APEX model tended to underestimate dissolved and total P losses from fields where manure was surface applied. The model also overestimated sediments and total P loads during irrigation events. We conclude that the capability of APEX to predict sediment and P losses is limited, and consequently so is the potential for using APEX to make P management recommendations to improve P Indices in the southern United States.Core Ideas: Calibrated APEX reasonably predicted runoff in no‐tillage and conventional tillage fields. APEX was unsatisfactory in predicting sediment losses, especially from pasture fields. P loss was inadequately predicted, especially in fields with surface applied manure. Adding a surface manure P pool to APEX could improve P model predictions. Improving P model predictions allow it to be used to refine southern region P Indices.