Marcos Orellana

Mr. Marcos Orellana

Matemática, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras, Tegucigalpa, Francisco Morazán, Honduras
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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22 May 2021 in Symmetry
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Nuria OrtigosaNuria Ortigosa
Nuria Ortigosa
MOMarcos Orellana
Marcos Orellana
JPJuan Carlos Castro Palacio
Juan Carlos Castro Palacio
Pedro Fernández de Córdoba CastelláPedro Fernández de Córdoba Castellá
Pedro Fernández de Córdoba Castellá
JIJ.M. Isidro
J.M. Isidro
Random variables in biology, social and health sciences commonly follow skewed distributions. Many of these variables can be represented by exGaussian functions; however, in practice, they are sometimes considered as Gaussian functions when statistical analysis is carried out. The asymmetry can play a fundamental role which can not be captured by central tendency estimators such as the mean. By means of Monte Carlo simulations, the effect of a small asymmetry in the generating functions of the chi distribution is studied. To this end, the k generating functions are taken as exGaussian functions. The limits of this approximation are tested numerically for the practical case of three health-related variables: one physical (body mass index) and two cognitive (verbal fluency and short-term memory). This work is in line with our previous works on a physics-inspired mathematical model to represent the reaction times of a group of individuals.

22 September 2026 in Symmetry
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MOMarcos Orellana
Marcos Orellana
Pedro Fernández de Córdoba CastelláPedro Fernández de Córdoba Castellá
Pedro Fernández de Córdoba Castellá
JPJuan Carlos Castro Palacio
Juan Carlos Castro Palacio
This article establishes a mechanistic foundation for the Rayleigh distribution in event-time analysis by deriving it from a decay process governed by a linearly increasing hazard under assumptions of independence and homogeneity. More generally, when the hazard is sufficiently smooth, vanishes at the origin, and has a positive initial slope, the Rayleigh distribution emerges as the leading-order approximation at early times. A Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis comprising 114,000 realizations across sample sizes from n=50 to 10,000 quantifies the effects of departures from hazard linearity and sampling variability. Increasing observed Rλ2 is associated with decreasing Kolmogorov–Smirnov distances and greater consistency between independent estimates of the Rayleigh parameter, although its interpretation depends on sample size and does not permit establishing a universal threshold. A data-driven methodology is then proposed to operationally identify approximately linear hazard regimes and model the corresponding event times using a truncated Rayleigh distribution. Application to tuberculosis survival in guinea pigs, COVID-19 survival in healthy young men, and primate interspike intervals identified regimes up to T*=255 days, 26 days, and 18.5 ms, with Rλ2=0.95, 0.94, and 0.73, respectively. Within these regimes, the model showed strong quantile agreement (RQQ2=0.97, 0.99, and 0.98) and relative discrepancies between parameter estimates of 0.08, 0.08, and 0.19. These findings support a mechanistically grounded, data-driven framework for identifying and modeling early-time Rayleigh behavior in event-time data.