Dynamic demand prediction is a key issue in ride-hailing dispatching. Many methods have been developed to improve the demand prediction accuracy of an increase in demand-responsive, ride-hailing transport services. However, the uncertainties in predicting ride-hailing demands due to multiscale spatiotemporal granularity, as well as the resulting statistical errors, are seldom explored. This paper attempts to fill this gap and to examine the spatiotemporal granularity effects on ride-hailing demand prediction accuracy by using empirical data for Chengdu, China. A convolutional, long short-term memory model combined with a hexagonal convolution operation (H-ConvLSTM) is proposed to explore the complex spatial and temporal relations. Experimental analysis results show that the proposed approach outperforms conventional methods in terms of prediction accuracy. A comparison of 36 spatiotemporal granularities with both departure demands and arrival demands shows that the combination of a hexagonal spatial partition with an 800 m side length and a 30 min time interval achieves the best comprehensive prediction accuracy. However, the departure demands and arrival demands reveal different variation trends in the prediction errors for various spatiotemporal granularities.

The accurate short-term travel demand predictions of ride-hailing orders can promote the optimal dispatching of vehicles in space and time, which is the crucial issue to achieve sustainable development of such dynamic demand-responsive service. The sparse demands are always ignored in the previous models, and the uncertainties in the spatiotemporal distribution of the predictions induced by setting subjective thresholds are rarely explored. This paper attempts to fill this gap and examine the spatiotemporal sparsity effect on ride-hailing travel demand prediction by using Didi Chuxing order data recorded in Chengdu, China. To obtain the spatiotemporal characteristics of the travel demand, three hexagon-based deep learning models (H-CNN-LSTM, H-CNN-GRU, and H-ConvLSTM) are compared by setting various threshold values. The results show that the H-ConvLSTM model has better prediction performance than the others due to its ability to simultaneously capture spatiotemporal features, especially in areas with a high proportion of sparse demands. We found that increasing the minimum demand threshold to delete more sparse data improves the overall prediction accuracy to a certain extent, but the spatiotemporal coverage of the data is also significantly reduced. Results of this study could guide traffic operations in providing better travel services for different regions.

Global climate change leads to frequent extreme snowfall weather, which has a significant impact on the safety and operating efficiency of urban public transportation. In order to cope with the adverse effects of extreme weather, governments should vigorously develop sustainable transportation. Since urban public transportation is a critical component of building a sustainable city, traffic management departments should quantitatively analyze the performance changes of the urban public transportation network under extreme weather conditions. Therefore, fully considering the comprehensive effects of network performance and topology to improve the robustness of urban public transportation systems requires more attention. The urban public transport network with high robustness can achieve fewer recovery costs, lower additional bus scheduling costs, and achieve the sustainable development of the public transport network. Considering the impact of travelers’ travel time tolerance and in-vehicle space congestion tolerance under snowy conditions, this paper proposes a generalized-norm-based robustness evaluation model of the bus network. Example analyses are conducted using checkerboard and ring-radial topological network structures to verify the applicability of the proposed model. The results show the following: (1) In an extreme snowfall scenario, the robustness of checkerboard and ring-radiating bus networks is reduced by 38% and 39%, respectively. (2) In the checkerboard network, the central area units are always more important to the system robustness than the peripheral units, while, in the ring-radial network, the units with higher importance are all in the ring line. (3) The failure of Ring Line 5 has a great impact on both the checkerboard and ring-radial networks, causing the system robustness to decrease by 43% and 50%, respectively.

In smart campus construction, behavior pattern recognition and perturbation analysis serve as the cornerstones for achieving a transition from passive response to dynamic regulation, with intelligent perception and anomaly diagnosis methods based on campus traffic flow underpinning transportation system resilience. Traditional research methods suffer from issues such as privacy risks, coarse modeling, and limitations from single data formats, labeling difficulties, and coverage gaps. This study proposes a refined semantic trajectory construction method that integrates multi-source data (e.g., mobile signaling data, maps and weather conditions), known as the Campus Transportation Semantic Trajectories Space (CTSTSpace) framework. It enables the precise identification of semantic origin–destination points from dynamic personnel trajectories, quantifies service performance through real-time road network mapping, and models multidimensional perturbations, achieving full campus coverage without complex labeling while ensuring robust privacy protection. Under clear weather conditions, the analysis demonstrates accurate recognition of travel behavior patterns (dwelling, aggregation, mobility, and congestion) that synchronize with class schedules, where vehicle speeds drop by over 50% during peak hours. Under rainy weather perturbations, it captured demand shifts (e.g., peak hour offsets of 30–60 min and a 6.8–9.2% reduction in long-distance dining trips) and speed reductions (52.15–73.74%). This approach provides critical insights for resilient smart campus traffic management.