Gergana N. Daskalova

Gergana N. Daskalova

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Gergana N. Daskalova

School of GeoSciences University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

9Years (2018-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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11 February 2022 in Global Change Biology
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JLJonas Lembrechts
Jonas Lembrechts
JHJohan van Den Hoogen
Johan van Den Hoogen
JAJuha Aalto
Juha Aalto
MAMichael B. Ashcroft
Michael B. Ashcroft
PFPieter De Frenne
Pieter De Frenne
JLJonathan Lenoir
Jonathan Lenoir
Research in global change ecology relies heavily on global climatic grids derived from estimates of air temperature in open areas at around 2 m above the ground. These climatic grids do not reflect conditions below vegetation canopies and near the ground surface, where critical ecosystem functions occur and most terrestrial species reside. Here, we provide global maps of soil temperature and bioclimatic variables at a 1‐km2resolution for 0–5 and 5–15 cm soil depth. These maps were created by calculating the difference (i.e. offset) between in situ soil temperature measurements, based on time series from over 1200 1‐km2pixels (summarized from 8519 unique temperature sensors) across all the world's major terrestrial biomes, and coarse‐grained air temperature estimates from ERA5‐Land (an atmospheric reanalysis by the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts). We show that mean annual soil temperature differs markedly from the corresponding gridded air temperature, by up to 10°C (mean = 3.0 ± 2.1°C), with substantial variation across biomes and seasons. Over the year, soils in cold and/or dry biomes are substantially warmer (+3.6 ± 2.3°C) than gridded air temperature, whereas soils in warm and humid environments are on average slightly cooler (−0.7 ± 2.3°C). The observed substantial and biome‐specific offsets emphasize that the projected impacts of climate and climate change on near‐surface biodiversity and ecosystem functioning are inaccurately assessed when air rather than soil temperature is used, especially in cold environments. The global soil‐related bioclimatic variables provided here are an important step forward for any application in ecology and related disciplines. Nevertheless, we highlight the need to fill remaining geographic gaps by collecting more in situ measurements of microclimate conditions to further enhance the spatiotemporal resolution of global soil temperature products for ecological applications.

20 April 2020 in Global Change Biology
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JLJonas Lembrechts
Jonas Lembrechts
JAJuha Aalto
Juha Aalto
MAMichael Ashcroft
Michael Ashcroft
PFPieter De Frenne
Pieter De Frenne
MKMartin Kopecký
Martin Kopecký
INIvan Nijs
Ivan Nijs

12 March 2019 in Ecological Monographs
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IMIsla H. Myers‐Smith
Isla H. Myers‐Smith
MGMeagan M. Grabowski
Meagan M. Grabowski
HTHaydn J. D. Thomas
Haydn J. D. Thomas
SASandra Angers‐Blondin
Sandra Angers‐Blondin
GDGergana N. Daskalova
Gergana N. Daskalova
CECameron D. Eckert
Cameron D. Eckert
The Arctic tundra is warming rapidly, yet the exact mechanisms linking warming and observed ecological changes are often unclear. Understanding mechanisms of change requires long‐term monitoring of multiple ecological parameters. Here, we present the findings of a collaboration between government scientists, local people, park rangers, and academic researchers that provide insights into changes in plant composition, phenology, and growth over 18 yr on Qikiqtaruk‐Herschel Island, Canada. Qikiqtaruk is an important focal research site located at the latitudinal tall shrub line in the western Arctic. This unique ecological monitoring program indicates the following findings: (1) nine days per decade advance of spring phenology, (2) a doubling of average plant canopy height per decade, but no directional change in shrub radial growth, and (3) a doubling of shrub and graminoid abundance and a decrease by one‐half in bare ground cover per decade. Ecological changes are concurrent with satellite‐observed greening and, when integrated, suggest that indirect warming from increased growing season length and active layer depths, rather than warming summer air temperatures alone, could be important drivers of the observed tundra vegetation change. Our results highlight the vital role that long‐term and multi‐parameter ecological monitoring plays in both the detection and attribution of global change.

19 June 2020 in Science
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GDGergana N. Daskalova
Gergana N. Daskalova
IMIsla H. Myers-Smith
Isla H. Myers-Smith
ABAnne D. Bjorkman
Anne D. Bjorkman
SBShane Blowes
Shane Blowes
SSSarah R. Supp
Sarah R. Supp
MDMaria Dornelas
Maria Dornelas
Land-use change and forest biodiversity: Land-use change by humans, particularly forest loss, is influencing Earth's biodiversity through time. To assess the influence of forest loss on population and biodiversity change, Daskalova et al. integrated data from more than 6000 time series of species' abundance, richness, and composition in ecological assemblages around the world. Forest loss leads to both positive and negative responses of populations and biodiversity, and the temporal lags in population and biodiversity change after forest loss can extend up to half a century. Land-use change precipitates divergent population and biodiversity change. This analysis has consequences for projections of human impact, ongoing conservation, and assessments of biodiversity change. Science , this issue p. 1341

5 December 2021 in Ecology Letters
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ISIngmar R Staude
Ingmar R Staude
HPHenrique Pereira
Henrique Pereira
GDGergana N Daskalova
Gergana N Daskalova
MBMarkus Bernhardt-Römermann
Markus Bernhardt-Römermann
MDMartin Diekmann
Martin Diekmann
LBLander Baeten
Lander Baeten
Species turnover is ubiquitous. However, it remains unknown whether certain types of species are consistently gained or lost across different habitats. Here, we analysed the trajectories of 1827 plant species over time intervals of up to 78 years at 141 sites across mountain summits, forests, and lowland grasslands in Europe. We found, albeit with relatively small effect sizes, displacements of smaller‐ by larger‐ranged species across habitats. Communities shifted in parallel towards more nutrient‐demanding species, with species from nutrient‐rich habitats having larger ranges. Because these species are typically strong competitors, declines of smaller‐ranged species could reflect not only abiotic drivers of global change, but also biotic pressure from increased competition. The ubiquitous component of turnover based on species range size we found here may partially reconcile findings of no net loss in local diversity with global species loss, and link community‐scale turnover to macroecological processes such as biotic homogenisation.

2 September 2020 in Nature Communications
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GDGergana N. Daskalova
Gergana N. Daskalova
IMIsla H. Myers-Smith
Isla H. Myers-Smith
JGJohn Godlee
John Godlee
The Earth’s biota is changing over time in complex ways. A critical challenge is to test whether specific biomes, taxa or types of species benefit or suffer in a time of accelerating global change. We analysed nearly 10,000 abundance time series from over 2000 vertebrate species part of the Living Planet Database. We integrated abundance data with information on geographic range, habitat preference, taxonomic and phylogenetic relationships, and IUCN Red List Categories and threats. We find that 15% of populations declined, 18% increased, and 67% showed no net changes over time. Against a backdrop of no biogeographic and phylogenetic patterning in population change, we uncover a distinct taxonomic signal. Amphibians were the only taxa that experienced net declines in the analysed data, while birds, mammals and reptiles experienced net increases. Population trends were poorly captured by species’ rarity and global-scale threats. Incorporation of the full spectrum of population change will improve conservation efforts to protect global biodiversity.