Accurate determination of fishing effort from Automatic Identification System (AIS) data improves catch per unit effort (CPUE) estimation and precise spatial management. By combining AIS data with catch information, a weighted distribution method is applied to allocate catches across various fishing trajectories, accounting for temporal dynamics. A Generalized Linear Model (GLM) and Generalized Additive Model (GAM) were used to examine the influence of spatial–temporal and environmental variables (year, month, Sea Surface Temperature (SST), Sea Surface Salinity (SSS), current velocity, depth, longitude, and latitude) and assess the quality of model fit for these effects on chub mackerel CPUE. Month, SST, and year exhibited the strongest relationship with CPUE in the GLM model, while the GAM model emphasizes the importance of month and year. CPUE peaked within specific temperature and salinity ranges and increased with longitude and specific latitudinal bands. Month emerged as the most influential variable, explaining 38% of the CPUE variance, emphasizing the impact of regulatory measures on fishery performance. The GAM model performed better, explaining 69.9% of the nominal CPUE variance. The time series of nominal and standardized indices indicated strong seasonal cycles, and the application of fine-scale fishing effort improved nominal and standardized CPUE estimates and model performance.
This study proposes an Automatic Identification System (AIS)-based spatiotemporal allocation methodology to estimate catch distribution and fishing effort for large purse seine fisheries in Korean waters. AIS trajectory data from July 2019 to June 2022 were analyzed to identify fishing grounds, while carrier vessel port-entry records were used to estimate daily landings. These were allocated to specific fishing segments to derive spatially explicit catch quantities. Compared with periodic surveys or voluntary reports, the AIS-based approach significantly enhanced the accuracy of fishing ground identification and the reliability of catch estimation. The results showed that fishing activity peaked between November and February, with the highest catch densities observed south of Jeju Island and in adjacent East China Sea waters. Catch declined markedly from April to June due to the mackerel closed season. These findings demonstrate the method’s potential for evaluating the effectiveness of Total Allowable Catch (TAC) regulations, supporting dynamic and adaptive management frameworks, and strengthening IUU fishing monitoring. Although the current analysis is limited to TAC-regulated species, AIS-equipped vessels, and a three-year dataset, future studies could expand the timeframe, integrate environmental data, and apply this methodology to other fisheries to improve sustainable resource management.