Gareth Lynton Lagerwall

Dr. Gareth Lynton Lagerwall

The Everglades Foundation, Palmetto Bay, Florida, USA
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

15Years (2012-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 February 2021 in Scientific Reports
Verified
Journal Article
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TBTirthankar Basu
Tirthankar Basu
ADArijit Das
Arijit Das
QPQuoc Bao Pham
Quoc Bao Pham
Nadhir Al-AnsariNadhir Al-Ansari
Nadhir Al-Ansari
LNLinh Nguyen
Linh Nguyen
GLGareth Lynton Lagerwall
Gareth Lynton Lagerwall
The loss of peri-urban wetlands is a major side effect of urbanization in India in recent days. Timely and proper assessment of wetland area change is essential for the conservation of wetlands. This study follows the integrated way of the peri-urban wetland degradation assessment in the case of medium and small-size urban agglomerations with a special focus on Chatra Wetland. Analysis of land-use and land cover (LULC) maps of the past 28 years shows a decrease of 60% area of the wetland including marshy land. This has reduced the ecosystem services value by about 71.90% over the period 1991–2018. From this end, The Land Change Modeler of IDRISI TerrSet using the combination of MLPNN and Markov Chain has been used to predict the LULC map of this region. The scenario-based modeling following the LULC conversion and nine explanatory variables suggests the complete loss of this wetland by 2045. However, the authors have also tried to present a future LULC pattern of this region based on an environmental perspective. This proposed map suggests possible areas for built-up expansion on the western side of the city without significantly affecting the environment.

1 November 2018 in Aquaculture Reports
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Journal Article
Open access
NMNtobeko Mchunu
Ntobeko Mchunu
GLGareth Lynton Lagerwall
Gareth Lynton Lagerwall
ASAidan Senzanje
Aidan Senzanje

20 February 2021 in Waste Management & Research: The Journal for a Sustainable Circular Economy
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Journal Article
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PKPhyllis Rumbidzai Kwenda
Phyllis Rumbidzai Kwenda
GLGareth Lynton Lagerwall
Gareth Lynton Lagerwall
SESibel Eker
Sibel Eker
Bas van RuijvenBas van Ruijven
Bas van Ruijven
Among other African cities, in terms of solid waste management (SWM), Harare has been ranked as one of the poorest. The municipality struggles to efficiently provide SWM services to its residents. Considering that SWM systems are complex, the individual behaviour of its components (waste generation, collection, and disposal) determines the overall performance of the system. This mini-review thus aims to understand the management system of the urban city’s biggest source of solid waste which is household solid waste (HSW). The systematic literature review methodology using NVIVO was used to analyse the literature. Out of a selected sample size of 500 journal articles, 26 were selected based on their relevance to the study. The uncertainty of the data provided by the Harare City Council (HCC) and of HSW generation data harvested in the literature was calculated. According to the HCC data records, Harare has an average daily waste generation per capita of on average 0.38±0.1 kg producing about 207, 635, 294±56, 027, 040 kg of HSW generated annually. With the waste collection efficiency in Harare at about 72.4%±7.5%, the city collects approximately 170, 385, 600±33 384 209 kg of HSW annually. All the collected HSW is disposed of in the city’s major MSW dumpsite called Pomona and only about 23, 498, 400±3, 988, 817 kg MSW is recovered annually with the average recovery efficiency at around 9.5%±2.8%, where most of the waste recovery is done by the waste pickers.

1 March 2014 in Ecological Modelling
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Journal Article
Closed access
GLGareth Lynton Lagerwall
Gareth Lynton Lagerwall
GKGregory Kiker
Gregory Kiker
RMRafael Muñoz-Carpena
Rafael Muñoz-Carpena
NWNaiming Wang
Naiming Wang

21 January 2026 in Water
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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HNHamed Najafi
Hamed Najafi
GLGareth Lynton Lagerwall
Gareth Lynton Lagerwall
JOJayantha TB Obeysekera
Jayantha TB Obeysekera
JLJason Liu
Jason Liu
High-resolution climate projections are essential for regional risk assessment; however, Earth System Models (ESMs) operate at scales far too coarse for local impacts. This review examines how machine learning (ML) downscaling can bridge this divide and addresses a key knowledge gap: how to achieve reliable, physically consistent downscaling under future climate change. This article synthesizes ML downscaling developments from 2010 to 2025, spanning early statistical methods to modern deep learning (e.g., convolutional neural networks (CNNs), generative adversarial networks (GANs), diffusion models, and transformers). The analysis introduces a new taxonomy of model families and frames the discussion around the “performance paradox”—the tendency for models with excellent historical skill to falter under non-stationary climate shifts. Our analysis finds that convolutional approaches efficiently capture spatial structure but tend to smooth out extremes, whereas generative models better reproduce high-intensity events at the cost of greater complexity. The study also highlights emerging solutions like physics-informed models and improved uncertainty quantification to tackle persistent issues of physical consistency and trust. Finally, the synthesis outlines a practical roadmap for operational ML downscaling, emphasizing standardized evaluation, out-of-distribution stress tests, and hybrid physics–ML approaches to bolster confidence in future projections.

1 November 2012 in Ecological Processes
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Journal Article
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GLGareth Lynton Lagerwall
Gareth Lynton Lagerwall
GKGregory Kiker
Gregory Kiker
RMRafael Muñoz-Carpena
Rafael Muñoz-Carpena
MCMatteo Convertino
Matteo Convertino
AJAndrew James
Andrew James
NWNaiming Wang
Naiming Wang
Introduction: The emergent wetland speciesTypha domingensis(cattail) is a native Florida Everglades monocotyledonous macrophyte. It has become invasive due to anthropogenic disturbances and is out-competing other vegetation in the region, especially in areas historically dominated byCladium jamaicense(sawgrass). There is a need for a quantitative, deterministic model in order to accurately simulate the regional-scale cattail dynamics in the Everglades.Methods: The Regional Simulation Model (RSM), combined with the Transport and Reaction Simulation Engine (TARSE), was adapted to simulate ecology. This provides a framework for user-defineable equations and relationships and enables multiple theories with different levels of complexity to be tested simultaneously. Five models, or levels, of increasing complexity were used to simulate cattail dynamics across Water Conservation Area 2A (WCA2A), which is located just south of Lake Okeechobee, in Florida, USA. These levels of complexity were formulated to correspond with five hypotheses regarding the growth and spread of cattail. The first level of complexity assumed a logistic growth pattern to test whether cattail growth is density dependent. The second level of complexity built on the first and included a Habitat Suitability Index (HSI) factor influenced by water depth to test whether this might be an important factor for cattail expansion. The third level of complexity built on the second and included an HSI factor influenced by soil phosphorus concentration to test whether this is a contributing factor for cattail expansion. The fourth level of complexity built on the third and included an HSI factor influenced by (a level 1–simulated) sawgrass density to determine whether sawgrass density impacted the rate of cattail expansion. The fifth level of complexity built on the fourth and included a feedback mechanism whereby the cattail densities influenced the sawgrass densities to determine the impact of inter-species interactions on the cattail dynamics.Results: All the simulation results from the different levels of complexity were compared to observed data for the years 1995 and 2003. Their performance was analyzed using a number of different statistics that each represent a different perspective on the ecological dynamics of the system. These statistics include box-plots, abundance-area curves, Moran’sI, and classified difference. The statistics were summarized using the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient. The results from all of these comparisons indicate that the more complex level 4 and level 5 models were able to simulate the observed data with a reasonable degree of accuracy.Conclusions: A user-defineable, quantitative, deterministic modeling framework was introduced and tested against various hypotheses. It was determined that the more complex models (levels 4 and 5) were able to adequately simulate the observed patterns of cattail densities within the WCA2A region. These models require testing for uncertainty and sensitivity of their various parameters in order to better understand them but could eventually be used to provide insight for management decisions concerning the WCA2A region and the Everglades in general.