Although agriculture remains the dominant economic activity in many countries around the world, in recent years this sector has continued to be negatively impacted by climate change leading to food insecurities. This is so because extreme weather conditions induced by climate change are detrimental to most crops and affect the expected quantity of agricultural production. Although there is no way to fully mitigate these natural phenomena, it could be much better if there is information known earlier about the future so that farmers can plan accordingly. Early information sharing about expected crop production may support food insecurity risk reduction. In this regard, this work employs data mining techniques to predict future crop (i.e., Irish potatoes and Maize) harvests using weather and yields historical data for Musanze, a district in Rwanda. The study applies machine learning techniques to predict crop harvests based on weather data and communicate the information about production trends. Weather data and crop yields for Irish potatoes and maize were gathered from various sources. The collected data were analyzed through Random Forest, Polynomial Regression, and Support Vector Regressor. Rainfall and temperature were used as predictors. The models were trained and tested. The results indicate that Random Forest is the best model with root mean square error of 510.8 and 129.9 for potato and maize, respectively, whereas R² was 0.875 and 0.817 for the same crops datasets. The optimum weather conditions for the optimal crop yield were identified for each crop. The results suggests that Random Forest is recommended model for early crop yield prediction. The findings of this study will go a long way to enhance reliance on data for agriculture and climate change related decisions, especially in low-to-middle income countries such as Rwanda.

Many countries worldwide face challenges in controlling building incidence prevention measures for fire disasters. The most critical issues are the localization, identification, detection of the room occupant. Internet of Things (IoT) along with machine learning proved the increase of the smartness of the building by providing real-time data acquisition using sensors and actuators for prediction mechanisms. This paper proposes the implementation of an IoT framework to capture indoor environmental parameters for occupancy multivariate time-series data. The application of the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Learning algorithm is used to infer the knowledge of the presence of human beings. An experiment is conducted in an office room using multivariate time-series as predictors in the regression forecasting problem. The results obtained demonstrate that with the developed system it is possible to obtain, process, and store environmental information. The information collected was applied to the LSTM algorithm and compared with other machine learning algorithms. The compared algorithms are Support Vector Machine, Naïve Bayes Network, and Multilayer Perceptron Feed-Forward Network. The outcomes based on the parametric calibrations demonstrate that LSTM performs better in the context of the proposed application.

Rwandan coffee holds significant importance and immense value within the realm of agriculture, serving as a vital and valuable commodity. Additionally, coffee plays a pivotal role in generating foreign exchange for numerous developing nations. However, the coffee plant is vulnerable to pests and diseases weakening production. Farmers in cooperation with experts use manual methods to detect diseases resulting in human errors. With the rapid improvements in deep learning methods, it is possible to detect and recognize plan diseases to support crop yield improvement. Therefore, it is an essential task to develop an efficient method for intelligently detecting, identifying, and predicting coffee leaf diseases. This study aims to build the Rwandan coffee plant dataset, with the occurrence of coffee rust, miner, and red spider mites identified to be the most popular due to their geographical situations. From the collected coffee leaves dataset of 37,939 images, the preprocessing, along with modeling used five deep learning models such as InceptionV3, ResNet50, Xception, VGG16, and DenseNet. The training, validation, and testing ratio is 80%, 10%, and 10%, respectively, with a maximum of 10 epochs. The comparative analysis of the models’ performances was investigated to select the best for future portable use. The experiment proved the DenseNet model to be the best with an accuracy of 99.57%. The efficiency of the suggested method is validated through an unbiased evaluation when compared to existing approaches with different metrics.

Biogas is a renewable energy source that comes from biological waste. In the biogas generation process, various factors such as feedstock composition, digester volume, and environmental conditions are vital in ensuring promising production. Accurate prediction of biogas yield is crucial for improving biogas operation and increasing energy yield. The purpose of this research was to propose a novel approach to improve the accuracy in predicting biogas yield using the stacking ensemble machine learning approach. This approach integrates three machine learning algorithms: light gradient-boosting machine (LightGBM), categorical boosting (CatBoost), and an evolutionary strategy to attain high performance and accuracy. The proposed model was tested on environmental data collected from biogas production facilities. It employs optimum parameter selection and stacking ensembles and showed better accuracy and variability. A comparative analysis of the proposed model with others such as k-nearest neighbor (KNN), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT) was performed. The study’s findings demonstrated that the proposed model outperformed the existing models, with a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 0.004 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0024 for the accuracy metrics. In conclusion, an accurate predictive model cooperating with a fermentation control system can significantly increase biogas yield. The proposed approach stands as a pivotal step toward meeting the escalating global energy demands.

Coffee leaf diseases are a significant challenge for coffee cultivation. They can reduce yields, impact bean quality, and necessitate costly disease management efforts. Manual monitoring is labor-intensive and time-consuming. This research introduces a pioneering mobile application equipped with global positioning system (GPS)-enabled reporting capabilities for on-site coffee leaf disease detection. The application integrates advanced deep learning (DL) techniques to empower farmers and agronomists with a rapid and accurate tool for identifying and managing coffee plant health. Leveraging the ubiquity of mobile devices, the app enables users to capture high-resolution images of coffee leaves directly in the field. These images are then processed in real-time using a pre-trained DL model optimized for efficient disease classification. Five models, Xception, ResNet50, Inception-v3, VGG16, and DenseNet, were experimented with on the dataset. All models showed promising performance; however, DenseNet proved to have high scores on all four-leaf classes with a training accuracy of 99.57%. The inclusion of GPS functionality allows precise geotagging of each captured image, providing valuable location-specific information. Through extensive experimentation and validation, the app demonstrates impressive accuracy rates in disease classification. The results indicate the potential of this technology to revolutionize coffee farming practices, leading to improved crop yield and overall plant health.

Image segmentation is the most challenging issue in computer vision applications. And most difficulties for crops management in agriculture are the lack of appropriate methods for detecting the leaf damage for pests treatment. In this paper we proposed an automatic method for leaf damage detection and severity estimation of coffee leaf by avoiding defoliation. After enhancing the contrast of the original image using LUT based gamma correction, the image is processed to remove the background, and the output leaf is clustered using Fuzzy c-means segmentation in V channel of YUV color space to maximize all leaf damage detection, and finally, the severity of leaf is estimated in terms of ratio for leaf pixel distribution between the normal and the detected leaf damage. The results in each proposed method was compared to the current researches and the accuracy is obvious either in the background removal or damage detection.Comment: SIPP 2014 : Second International Conference on Signal, Image Processing and Pattern Recognition,Sydney, Australi