Urban traffic demand distribution is dynamic in both space and time. A thorough analysis of individuals’ travel patterns can effectively reflect the dynamics of a city. This study aims to develop an analytical framework to explore the spatiotemporal traffic demand and the characteristics of the community structure shaped by travel, which is analyzed empirically in New York City. It uses spatial statistics and graph-based approaches to quantify travel behaviors and generate previously unobtainable insights. Specifically, people primarily travel for commuting on weekdays and entertainment on weekends. On weekdays, people tend to arrive in the financial and commercial areas in the morning, and the functions of zones arrived in the evening are more diversified. While on weekends, people are more likely to arrive at parks and department stores during the daytime and theaters at night. These hotspots show positive spatial autocorrelation at a significance level of p = 0.001. In addition, the travel flow at different peak times form relatively stable community structures, we find interesting phenomena through the complex network theory: 1) Every community has a very small number of taxi zones (TZs) with a large number of passengers, and the weighted degree of TZs in the community follows power-law distribution; 2) As the importance of TZs increases, their interaction intensity within the community gradually increases, or increases and then decreases. In other words, the formation of a community is determined by the key TZs with numerous traffic demands, but these TZs may have limited connection with the community in which they are located. The proposed analytical framework and results provide practical insights for urban and transportation planning.
As an emerging type of spatio-temporal big data based on positioning technology and navigation devices, vehicle-based crowdsourcing data has become a valuable trajectory data resource. However, crowdsourcing trajectory data has been collected by non-professionals and with multiple measurement terminals, resulting in certain errors in data collection. In these cases, to minimize the impact of outliers and obtain relatively accurate trajectory data, it is crucial to detect and clean outliers. This paper proposes an efficient crowdsourcing trajectory outlier detection (CTOD) method that detects outliers from the trajectory sequence data in both spatial view and temporal view. Specifically, we first use the adaptive spatial clustering algorithm based on the Delaunay triangulation (ASCDT) algorithm to remove the location offset points in the trajectory sequence. After that, based on the most basic attributes of the trajectory points, a 6-dimensional movement feature vector is constructed for each point as an input. The feature-rich trajectory sequence data is reconstructed using the proposed temporal convolutional network autoencoder (TCN-AE), and the Squeeze-and-Excitation (SE) channel attention mechanism is introduced. Finally, the effectiveness of the CTOD method is experimentally verified.
Bike-sharing has emerged as an innovative green transportation mode, showing promising potential in addressing the ‘last-mile’ transportation challenge in an eco-friendly manner. However, shared bikes around metro stations often face supply–demand imbalance problems during peak hours, causing bike shortages or congestion that compromise user experience and bike utilization. Accurate prediction enables operators to develop rational dispatch strategies, improve bike turnover rate, and promote synergistic metro–bike integration. However, state-of-the-art research predominantly focuses on improving complex deep-learning models while overlooking their inherent drawbacks, such as overfitting and poor interpretability. This study proposes a model–data dual-driven approach that integrates the classical statistical regression model as a model-driven component and the advanced deep-learning model as a data-driven component. The model-driven component uses the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model to extract periodic patterns and seasonal variations of historical data, while the data-driven component employs an Extended Long Short-Term Memory (xLSTM) neural network to process nonlinear relationships and unexpected variations. The fusion model achieved R-squared values of 0.9928 and 0.9770 for morning access and evening egress flows, respectively, and reached 0.9535 and 0.9560 for morning egress and evening access flows. The xLSTM model demonstrates an 8% improvement in R2 compared to the conventional LSTM model in the morning egress flow scenario. For the morning egress and evening access flows, which exhibit relatively high variability, classical statistical models show limited effectiveness (SARIMA’s R2 values are 0.8847 and 0.9333, respectively). Even in scenarios like morning access and evening egress, where classical statistical models perform well, our proposed fusion model still demonstrates enhanced performance. Therefore, the proposed data–model dual-driven architecture provides a reliable data foundation for shared bike rebalancing and shows potential for addressing the challenges of limited robustness in statistical regression models and the susceptibility of deep-learning models to overfitting, ultimately enhancing transportation ecosystem sustainability.
Modern cities are facing increasing challenges such as traffic congestion, high energy consumption, and poor air quality, making rail transit systems, known for their high capacity and low emissions, essential components of sustainable urban infrastructure. While numerous studies have examined how the built environment impacts transit ridership, the complex interactions among these factors warrant further investigation. Recent advancements in the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) offer a robust methodological foundation for analyzing the complex joint influence of multiple built environment factors. LLMs not only can comprehend the physical meaning of variables but also exhibit strong non-linear modeling and logical reasoning capabilities. This study introduces an LLM-based framework to examine how built environment factors and station characteristics shape the transit ridership dynamics by utilizing DeepSeek-R1. We develop a 4D + N variable system for a more nuanced description of the built environment of the station area which includes density, diversity, design, destination accessibility, and station characteristics, leveraging multi-source data such as points of interest (POIs), road network data, housing prices, and population data. Then, the proposed approach is validated using data from Qingdao, China, examining both single-factor and multi-factor effects on transit peak-hour ridership at the macro level (across all stations) and the meso level (specific station types). First, the variables that have a substantial effect on peak-hour transit ridership at both the macro and meso levels are discussed. Second, key and latent factor combinations are identified. Notably, some factors may appear to have limited importance at the macro level, yet they can substantially influence the peak-hour ridership when interacting with other factors. Our findings enable policymakers to formulate a balanced mix of soft and hard policies, such as integrating a flexitime policy with enhancements in active travel infrastructure to increase the attractiveness of public transit. The proposed analytical framework is adaptable across regions and applicable to various transportation modes. These insights can guide transportation managers and policymakers while optimizing Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) strategies to enhance the sustainability of the entire transportation system.