Stavros Dafis

Dr. Stavros Dafis

National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Attikí, Greece
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

12Years (2015-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 June 2022 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Verified
Journal Article
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Konstantinos LagouvardosKonstantinos Lagouvardos
Konstantinos Lagouvardos
AKA. Karagiannidis
A. Karagiannidis
Stavros DafisStavros Dafis
Stavros Dafis
AKA. Kalimeris
A. Kalimeris
VKV. Kotroni
V. Kotroni
During 15–21 September 2020, an intense medicane, named Ianos, formed over the warm Mediterranean Sea. Following a path of approximately 1,900 km, Medicane Ianos affected Greece resulting in four casualties and devastating damage in the western and central parts of Greece. Persistent gale force 1-min winds up to 44 m s−1 and wind gusts up to 54 m s−1 were recorded in Cephalonia Island (Ionian Sea), while record-breaking amounts of accumulated rainfall have been recorded in several Ionian islands, as well as in parts of central Greece. Analysis of the available observations showed that Ianos was the most intense medicane ever recorded in the Mediterranean. This paper aims at investigating the genesis and evolution of the medicane, based on in situ observations, satellite measurements, and model analyses. Toward that objective, Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) SEVIRI imagery, combined with lightning data permitted to follow the evolution of convective activity during the various phases of Ianos. This investigation is complemented with upper-air model analyses in order to evaluate the synoptic environment within which Ianos had formed and was sustained over 7 days. Finally, the Global Precipitation Measurement Core Observatory (GPM CO) satellite overpasses over Medicane Ianos provided invaluable information about its 3D structure, especially during its most intense phase.

14 March 2022 in Atmosphere
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Journal Article
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Theodore GiannarosTheodore Giannaros
Theodore Giannaros
Georgios PapavasileiouGeorgios Papavasileiou
Georgios Papavasileiou
Konstantinos LagouvardosKonstantinos Lagouvardos
Konstantinos Lagouvardos
Vassiliki KotroniVassiliki Kotroni
Vassiliki Kotroni
Stavros DafisStavros Dafis
Stavros Dafis
EDEleni Dragozi
Eleni Dragozi
The 2021 fire season in Greece was the worst of the past 13 years, resulting in more than 130,000 ha of burnt area, with about 70% consumed by five wildfires that ignited and spread in early August. Common to these wildfires was the occurrence of violent pyroconvection. This work presents a meteorological analysis of this outbreak of extreme pyroconvective wildfires. Our analysis shows that dry and warm antecedent weather preconditioned fuels in the fire-affected areas, creating a fire environment that alone could effectively support intense wildfire activity. Analysis of surface conditions revealed that the ignition and the most active spread of all wildfires coincided with the most adverse fire weather since the beginning of the fire season. Further, the atmospheric environment was conducive to violent pyroconvection, as atmospheric instability gradually increased amid the breakdown of an upper-air ridge ahead of an approaching long-wave trough. In summary, we highlight that the severity and extent of the 2021 Greek wildfires were not surprising considering the fire weather potential for the period when they ignited. Continuous monitoring of the large- and local-scale conditions that promote extreme fire behavior is imperative for improving Greece’s capacity for managing extreme wildfires.

1 November 2019 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Konstantinos LagouvardosKonstantinos Lagouvardos
Konstantinos Lagouvardos
VKV. Kotroni
V. Kotroni
TGT. M. Giannaros
T. M. Giannaros
Stavros DafisStavros Dafis
Stavros Dafis
On 23 July 2018, Attica, Greece, was impacted by a major wildfire that took place in a wildland–urban interface area and exhibited extreme fire behavior, characterized by a very high rate of spread. One-hundred civilian fatalities were registered, establishing this wildfire as the second-deadliest weather-related natural disaster in Greece, following the heat wave of July 1987. On the day of the deadly wildfire, a very strong westerly flow was blowing for more than 10 h over Attica. Wind gusts up to 30–34 m s−1occurred over the mountainous areas of Attica, with 20–25 m s−1in the city of Athens and surrounding suburban areas. This strong westerly flow interacted with the local topography and acted as downslope flow over the eastern part of Attica, with temperatures rising up to 39°C and relative humidity dropping to 19% prior to the onset of the wildfire. These weather elements are widely acknowledged as the major contributing factors to extreme fire behavior. WRF-SFIRE correctly predicted the spatiotemporal distribution of the fire spread and demonstrated its utility for fire spread warning purposes.

2 September 2020 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
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Journal Article
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Stavros DafisStavros Dafis
Stavros Dafis
CCChantal Claud
Chantal Claud
VKVassiliki Kotroni
Vassiliki Kotroni
KLKonstantinos Lagouvardos
Konstantinos Lagouvardos
JRJean‐François Rysman
Jean‐François Rysman
This study aims at understanding how deep convection is organized and contributes to the intensification of nine Mediterranean tropical‐like cyclones which developed between 2005 and 2018. Through a multi‐satellite approach, a combination of infrared and microwave diagnostics provides insights into the temporal and spatial evolution of deep convection. ERA5 reanalysis complements the remote‐sensing observations and is used to compute the vertical wind shear and vortex tilt to investigate their interactions with deep convection. Results show that vertical wind shear and topography have an important impact on the organization of deep convection and the symmetry of the cyclones. Only a fraction of these cyclones experienced intense convective activity close to their centres and we show that persistent deep convection in the upshear quadrants led to intensification periods. Convective activity solely in the downshear quadrants was not linked to intensification periods, while short‐lived hurricane‐like structures develop only during symmetric convective activity, leading to cyclone intensification in some of the cases. Finally, a classification of the Mediterranean tropical‐like cyclones is proposed based on the evolution of deep convection and their intensification periods.

24 July 2024 in Weather and Climate Dynamics
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Journal Article
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DFDavide Faranda
Davide Faranda
GMGabriele Messori
Gabriele Messori
ECErika Coppola
Erika Coppola
Tommaso AlbertiTommaso Alberti
Tommaso Alberti
MVMathieu Vrac
Mathieu Vrac
RVRobert Vautard
Robert Vautard
Climate change is a global challenge with multiple far-reaching consequences, including the intensification and increased frequency of many extreme-weather events. In response to this pressing issue, we present ClimaMeter, a platform designed to assess and contextualize extreme-weather events relative to climate change. The platform offers near-real-time insights into the dynamics of extreme events, serving as a resource for researchers and policymakers while also being a science dissemination tool for the general public. ClimaMeter currently analyses heatwaves, cold spells, heavy precipitation, and windstorms. This paper elucidates the methodology, data sources, and analytical techniques on which ClimaMeter relies, providing a comprehensive overview of its scientific foundation. We further present two case studies: the late 2023 French heatwave and the July 2023 Storm Poly. We use two distinct datasets for each case study, namely Multi-Source Weather (MSWX) data, which serve as the reference for our rapid-attribution protocol, and the ERA5 dataset, widely regarded as the leading global climate reanalysis. These examples highlight both the strengths and limitations of ClimaMeter in expounding the link between climate change and the dynamics of extreme-weather events.

11 August 2022 in Science of The Total Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MLMarianna Loli
Marianna Loli
GKGeorge Kefalas
George Kefalas
Stavros DafisStavros Dafis
Stavros Dafis
SMStergios A. Mitoulis
Stergios A. Mitoulis
FSFranziska Schmidt
Franziska Schmidt
A novel framework for the expedient assessment of flood risk to transportation networks focused on the response of the most critical and vulnerable infrastructure assets, the bridges, is developed, validated and applied. Building upon the recent French guidelines on scour risk (CEREMA, 2019), this paper delivers a thorough methodology, that incorporates three key, risk parameters: (i) the hydrodynamic loading, a hazard component of equal significance to scour, for the assessment of hazard; (ii) the correlation of select scour indicators with a new index relating to flow velocity, a primary measure of the adverse impacts of flow-structure interaction, enabling a more accurate and automated, assessment of bridge susceptibility to scour; (iii) the use of a new, comprehensive indicator, namely the Indicator of Flood Hazard Intensity (IFHI) which incorporates, in a simple yet efficient way, the key parameters controlling the severity of flood impact on bridges, namely flow velocity, floodwater height, flow obstruction, and sediment type. The framework is implemented for the analysis of flood risk in a case study area, considering an inventory of 117 bridges of diverse construction characteristics, which were affected by a major flood that impacted Greece in September 2020. The reliability of the method is validated against an extensive record of inspected and documented bridge damages. Regional scale analysis is facilitated by the adoption of the Multi-Criteria Decision-Making method for flood hazard indexing, considering geomorphological, meteorological, hydrological, and land use/cover data, based on the processing of remotely sensed imagery and openly available geospatial datasets in GIS.