Climate change has a highly significant impact on the distribution of species. As the greenhouse effect intensifies each year, the distribution of organisms responds to this challenge in diverse ways. Therefore, climatic environmental variables are a key entry point for capturing the current and future distribution trends of pests. Frankliniella occidentalis is an invasive pest attested worldwide. Its damage is mainly divided into two aspects, including mechanical damage caused by its feeding and egg laying and the spread of tomato spotted wilt virus (TSWV). TSWV is the most dominant transmitted virulent disease. Moreover, F. occidentalis is the major vector for the transmission of this virus, which poses a grave threat to the yield and survival of our crops. In this study, the distribution pattern of this pest was explored using 19 bioclimatic variables based on the Maxent model. The results indicated that in the future, high-suitability areas of F. occidentalis will be widely distributed in 19 provinces of China, with Hebei, Henan, Shandong, Tianjin and Yunnan being the most abundant. Among the 19 bioclimatic variables, the five variables of annual mean temperature (Bio 1), temperature seasonality (standard deviation × 100) (Bio 4), min temperature of the coldest month (Bio 6), mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio 9) and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio 19) were selected as the key environmental variables affecting the distribution of F. occidentalis. In summary, temperature and precipitation are vital factors for the study of the species’ distribution, and this study aims to provide new perspectives for the control of this pest in China.

This study employs the Biomod2 model, along with 22 bioclimatic variables, to predict the geographic distribution of the medicinal plant Epimedium acuminatum Franch. for the current period and three future timeframes (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s). Ultimately, 11 key environmental variables were identified as critical for assessing the habitat suitability of the medicinal plant. These include the annual mean temperature (Bio 1), isothermally (Bio 3), temperature seasonality (Bio 4), maximum temperature of the warmest month (Bio 5), minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio 6), mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio 9), mean temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio 11), precipitation of the driest quarter (Bio 17), elevation (Elev), aspect, and slope. The results indicate that the current high suitability areas are primarily distributed across Yunnan, Chongqing, Sichuan, Hunan, Guangxi, and Hubei provinces. In the future, the extent of high suitability areas is expected to increase. This study aims to provide a theoretical reference for the conservation of E. acuminatum genetic resources from a geographic distribution perspective.

Exploring the geographical distribution of forestry pests is crucial for formulating pest management strategies. Cyrtotrachelus buqueti (Guer) stands out as one of the primary pests among China’s forestry hazards. This study employs the MaxEnt model, along with 19 bioclimatic variables and habitat characteristics, to predict the current and future distribution of C. buqueti under three typical emission scenarios for 2050 and 2070 (2.6 W/m2 (SSP1-2.6), 7.0 W/m2 (SSP3-7.0), and 8.5 W/m2 (SSP5-8.5)). Among the 19 bioclimatic variables, BIO 14 (precipitation of the driest month), BIO 8 (mean temperature of the wettest quarter), Elev, slope, and aspect were identified as significant contributors. These five variables are critical environmental factors affecting the suitability of habitats for C. buqueti and are representative of its potential habitat. The results indicate that C. buqueti predominantly inhabits southern regions such as Chongqing, Guizhou, Yunnan, Sichuan, Guangxi, Shaanxi, Hubei, Hainan, and Taiwan. Among them, Chongqing, Guizhou, and Yunnan are the primary distribution areas of high suitability. In the future, the centroid’s movement direction will generally shift southward, with an expansion trend observed in the distribution areas of each province. This study enhances researchers’ understanding of forestry pest dynamics and promotes proactive management strategies to mitigate their impact on forest ecosystems and agricultural productivity.

As global warming increases with the frequency of extreme weather, the distribution of species is inevitably affected. Among them, highly damaging invasive species are of particular concern. Being able to effectively predict the geographic distribution of invasive species and future distribution trends is a key entry point for their control. Opisina arenosella Walker is an invasive species, and its ability to live on the backs of foliage and generate canals to hide adds to the difficulty of control. In this paper, the current and future distributions of O. arenosella under three typical emission scenarios in 2050 and 2090 are projected based on the MaxEnt model combining 19 bioclimatic variables. Filter through the variables to find the four key environment variables: BIO 1, BIO 6, BIO 11 and BIO 4. The results show that O. arenosella is distributed only in the eight provinces of Tibet, Yunnan, Fujian, Guangxi, Taiwan, Guangdong, Hong Kong and Hainan in the southeastern region. Its high suitability area is concentrated in Taiwan and Hainan. In the long run, highly suitable areas will continue to increase in size, while moderately suitable areas and poorly suitable areas will decrease to varying degrees. This paper aims to provide theoretical references for the control of O. arenosella.