Accurately tracking the changes in rice cropping intensity is a critical requirement for policymakers to formulate reasonable land-use policies. Southern China is a traditional region for rice multi-cropping, yet less is known about its spatial–temporal changes under the background of rapid urbanization in recent decades. Based on images from Landsat and MODIS and multiple land cover products, the gap-filling and Savitzky–Golay filter method (GF-SG), the enhanced pixel-based phenological features composite approach (Eppf-CM), random forest (RF), and the difference in NDVI approach (DNDVI) were combined to map the rice cropping pattern with a spatial resolution of 30 × 30 m over Southern China in 2000 and 2020 through Google Earth Engine (GEE). Subsequently, the spatial–temporal changes in rice cropping intensity and their driving factors were examined by Getis-Ord Gi* and geographical detector. The results showed that the produced rice cropping pattern maps exhibited high accuracy, with kappa coefficients and overall accuracies exceeding 0.81 and 90%, respectively. Over the past two decades, the planting areas of double-season rice in Southern China decreased by 54.49%, and a reduction was observed across eight provinces, while only half of the provinces exhibited an increase in the planting areas of single-season rice. Compared to the year 2000, the planting area of the conversion from double- to single-season rice cropping systems in 2020 was 2.71 times larger than that of the conversion from single- to double-season rice cropping systems. The hotspots of the change in rice cropping intensity were mainly located in the central part of Southern China (excluding the Poyang Lake Plain). The decline in the rural labor force, coupled with ≥10 °C accumulated temperature and topographical factors, plays a crucial role in the decreased intensity of rice cropping. Our findings can be beneficial for realizing regional agricultural sustainability and food security.

The accuracy assessment of cropland products is a critical prerequisite for agricultural planning and food security evaluations. Current accuracy assessments of remote sensing-based cropland products focused on the consistency of spatial patterns for specific years, yet the reliability of these cropland products in time-series analysis remains unclear. Using cropland area data from the second and third national land surveys of China (referred to as NLSCD) as a benchmark, we evaluate the area-based and spatial-based consistency of cropland changes in five 30 m time-series land cover products covering 2010 and 2020, including the annual cropland dataset of China (CACD), the annual China Land Cover Dataset (CLCD), China’s Land-use/cover dataset (CLUD), the Global Land-Cover product with Fine Classification System (GLC_FCS30), and GlobeLand30. We also employed the GeoDetector model to explore the relationships between the consistency in cropland change and the environmental factors (e.g., cropland fragmentation, topographic features, frequency of cloud cover, and management practices). The area-based consistency analysis showed that all five cropland products indicate a declining trend in cropland areas in China over the past decade, while the amount of cropland loss ranges from 5.59% to 57.85% of that reported by the NLSCD. At the prefecture-level city scale, the correlation coefficients between the cropland area changes detected by five cropland products and the NLSCD are low, with GlobeLand30 having the highest coefficient at 0.67. The proportion of prefecture-level cities where the change direction of cropland area in each cropland product is inconsistent with the NLSCD ranges from 13.27% to 39.23%, with CLCD showing the highest proportion and CLUD the lowest. At the pixel scale, the spatial-based consistency analysis reveals that 79.51% of cropland expansion pixels and 77.79% of cropland loss pixels are completely inconsistent across five cropland products, with the southern part of China exhibiting greater inconsistency compared to Northwest China. Besides, the frequency of cloud cover and management practices (e.g., irrigation) are the primary environmental factors influencing consistency in cropland expansion and loss, respectively. These results suggest low consistency in cropland change across five cropland products, emphasizing the need to address these inconsistencies when generating time-series cropland datasets via remote sensing.

Accurate prediction of water quality involves early identification of future pollutant concentrations and water quality indicators, which is an important prerequisite for optimizing water environment management. Although deep learning algorithms have demonstrated considerable potential in predicting water quality parameters, their broader adoption remains hindered by limited interpretability. This study proposes an interpretable deep learning framework integrating an artificial neural network (ANN) model with Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis to predict spatiotemporal variations in water quality and identify key influencing factors. A case study was conducted in the Poyang Lake Basin, utilizing multi-dimensional datasets encompassing topographic, meteorological, socioeconomic, and land use variables. Results indicated that the ANN model exhibited strong predictive performance for dissolved oxygen (DO), total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), permanganate index (CODMn), ammonia nitrogen (NH₃N), and turbidity (Turb), achieving R² values ranging from 0.47 to 0.77. Incorporating land use and socioeconomic factors enhanced prediction accuracy by 37.8–246.7% compared to models using only meteorological data. SHAP analysis revealed differences in the dominant factors influencing various water quality parameters. Specifically, cropland area, forest cover, air temperature, and slope in each sub-basin were identified as the most important variables affecting water quality parameters in the case area. These findings provide scientific support for the intelligent management of the regional water environment.

Accurately assessing the impact of land use patterns on total phosphorus (TP) concentration in surface water is crucial for protecting the water environment of the Yangtze River Basin (YRB). However, due to the heterogeneity of land use patterns, the regional differences in the intensity and direction of their impacts on TP concentrations in the YRB remain insufficiently understood. This study utilizes water quality monitoring data from state-controlled sections in 2021 and employs spatial autocorrelation analysis, geographic detectors, and Pearson correlation models to identify the impacts of land use on TP concentrations at multiple scales across the YRB. The results indicate that TP concentrations at 98.8% of the monitoring stations in the YRB exceed the Class III standard, with high concentrations of TP concentrated in the Pudu River Basin, Chengdu Plain, Jianghan Plain, and Yangtze River Delta regions. At the YRB scale, the spatial pattern of built-up land, cropland, and industrial and mining land significantly increases TP concentrations, while the pattern of forest and grassland areas exert mitigating effects. At the sub-basin scale, the impact of land use patterns on TP concentrations varies regionally. Specifically, TP concentrations in the Pudu River Basin are primarily attributed to the spatial pattern of industrial and mining land, in the Chengdu Plain to the spatial pattern of cropland and industrial and mining land, and in the Jianghan Plain to the spatial pattern of cropland, built-up land, and industrial and mining land. These results provided decision support for TP concentration control strategies and effective mitigation measures.

Water quality evaluation usually relies on limited state-controlled monitoring data, making it challenging to fully capture variations across an entire basin over time and space. The fine estimation of water quality in a spatial context presents a promising solution to this issue; however, traditional analyses often ignore spatial non-stationarity between variables. To solve the above-mentioned problems in water quality mapping research, we took the Yangtze River as our study subject and attempted to use a geographically weighted random forest regression (GWRFR) model to couple massive station observation data and auxiliary data to carry out a fine estimation of water quality. Specifically, we first utilized state-controlled sections’ water quality monitoring data as input for the GWRFR model to train and map six water quality indicators at a 30 m spatial resolution. We then assessed various geographical and environmental factors contributing to water quality and identified spatial differences. Our results show accurate predictions for all indicators: ammonia nitrogen (NH₃-N) had the lowest accuracy (R² = 0.61, RMSE = 0.13), and total nitrogen (TN) had the highest (R² = 0.74, RMSE = 0.48). The mapping results reveal total nitrogen as the primary pollutant in the Yangtze River basin. Chemical oxygen demand and the permanganate index were mainly influenced by natural factors, while total nitrogen and total phosphorus were impacted by human activities. The spatial distribution of critical influencing factors shows significant clustering. Overall, this study demonstrates the fine spatial distribution of water quality and provides insights into the influencing factors that are crucial for the comprehensive management of water environments.

Accurate assessment of cropland maps is crucial for ensuring food security, effective agricultural management, and environmental monitoring. With the widespread application of high-resolution (≤10 m) remote sensing imagery and the advancement of machine learning techniques, numerous high-resolution cropland maps have been developed. However, comprehensive evaluations of their accuracy remain limited. We utilized 163,861 validation samples and national land survey statistical data to conduct a multi-scale comparison of the accuracy of seven cropland maps (one 1 m and six 10 m maps) in China. Additionally, five synergistic strategies were employed to generate more accurate fused cropland maps. Validation results showed that the overall accuracy (OA) of the seven maps ranged from 0.79 to 0.91, with ESA-WorldCover (ESA-WC) exhibiting the highest OA, followed by AI Earth China land cover classification dataset (AIEC), ESRI Land Cover (ESRI-LC), and Cropland Use Intensity in China (China-CUI), while Sino-LC1 showed the lowest performance. Spatially, ESA-WC achieved the highest accuracy in nearly 60% of provinces, followed by AIEC and ESRI-LC, each accounting for approximately 20%. AIEC performed best in western provinces, whereas ESRI-LC dominated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Area consistency assessments revealed that, on average, the seven maps overestimated cropland areas by 20% compared to statistical data. Among these, ESA-WC showed the highest proportion of provinces with relative errors within ±20%, but this proportion was only 50%. Moreover, the OA of the fused maps exceeded 0.92, with county-level R² values compared to statistical data reaching 0.98, significantly improving the reliability of cropland products in over 60% of provincial administrative regions. Based on these results, effective synergistic strategies for high-resolution cropland mapping are proposed.