Accurate prediction of water quality involves early identification of future pollutant concentrations and water quality indicators, which is an important prerequisite for optimizing water environment management. Although deep learning algorithms have demonstrated considerable potential in predicting water quality parameters, their broader adoption remains hindered by limited interpretability. This study proposes an interpretable deep learning framework integrating an artificial neural network (ANN) model with Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis to predict spatiotemporal variations in water quality and identify key influencing factors. A case study was conducted in the Poyang Lake Basin, utilizing multi-dimensional datasets encompassing topographic, meteorological, socioeconomic, and land use variables. Results indicated that the ANN model exhibited strong predictive performance for dissolved oxygen (DO), total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), permanganate index (CODMn), ammonia nitrogen (NH₃N), and turbidity (Turb), achieving R² values ranging from 0.47 to 0.77. Incorporating land use and socioeconomic factors enhanced prediction accuracy by 37.8–246.7% compared to models using only meteorological data. SHAP analysis revealed differences in the dominant factors influencing various water quality parameters. Specifically, cropland area, forest cover, air temperature, and slope in each sub-basin were identified as the most important variables affecting water quality parameters in the case area. These findings provide scientific support for the intelligent management of the regional water environment.

The accuracy assessment of cropland products is a critical prerequisite for agricultural planning and food security evaluations. Current accuracy assessments of remote sensing-based cropland products focused on the consistency of spatial patterns for specific years, yet the reliability of these cropland products in time-series analysis remains unclear. Using cropland area data from the second and third national land surveys of China (referred to as NLSCD) as a benchmark, we evaluate the area-based and spatial-based consistency of cropland changes in five 30 m time-series land cover products covering 2010 and 2020, including the annual cropland dataset of China (CACD), the annual China Land Cover Dataset (CLCD), China’s Land-use/cover dataset (CLUD), the Global Land-Cover product with Fine Classification System (GLC_FCS30), and GlobeLand30. We also employed the GeoDetector model to explore the relationships between the consistency in cropland change and the environmental factors (e.g., cropland fragmentation, topographic features, frequency of cloud cover, and management practices). The area-based consistency analysis showed that all five cropland products indicate a declining trend in cropland areas in China over the past decade, while the amount of cropland loss ranges from 5.59% to 57.85% of that reported by the NLSCD. At the prefecture-level city scale, the correlation coefficients between the cropland area changes detected by five cropland products and the NLSCD are low, with GlobeLand30 having the highest coefficient at 0.67. The proportion of prefecture-level cities where the change direction of cropland area in each cropland product is inconsistent with the NLSCD ranges from 13.27% to 39.23%, with CLCD showing the highest proportion and CLUD the lowest. At the pixel scale, the spatial-based consistency analysis reveals that 79.51% of cropland expansion pixels and 77.79% of cropland loss pixels are completely inconsistent across five cropland products, with the southern part of China exhibiting greater inconsistency compared to Northwest China. Besides, the frequency of cloud cover and management practices (e.g., irrigation) are the primary environmental factors influencing consistency in cropland expansion and loss, respectively. These results suggest low consistency in cropland change across five cropland products, emphasizing the need to address these inconsistencies when generating time-series cropland datasets via remote sensing.

Accurately assessing the impact of land use patterns on total phosphorus (TP) concentration in surface water is crucial for protecting the water environment of the Yangtze River Basin (YRB). However, due to the heterogeneity of land use patterns, the regional differences in the intensity and direction of their impacts on TP concentrations in the YRB remain insufficiently understood. This study utilizes water quality monitoring data from state-controlled sections in 2021 and employs spatial autocorrelation analysis, geographic detectors, and Pearson correlation models to identify the impacts of land use on TP concentrations at multiple scales across the YRB. The results indicate that TP concentrations at 98.8% of the monitoring stations in the YRB exceed the Class III standard, with high concentrations of TP concentrated in the Pudu River Basin, Chengdu Plain, Jianghan Plain, and Yangtze River Delta regions. At the YRB scale, the spatial pattern of built-up land, cropland, and industrial and mining land significantly increases TP concentrations, while the pattern of forest and grassland areas exert mitigating effects. At the sub-basin scale, the impact of land use patterns on TP concentrations varies regionally. Specifically, TP concentrations in the Pudu River Basin are primarily attributed to the spatial pattern of industrial and mining land, in the Chengdu Plain to the spatial pattern of cropland and industrial and mining land, and in the Jianghan Plain to the spatial pattern of cropland, built-up land, and industrial and mining land. These results provided decision support for TP concentration control strategies and effective mitigation measures.

Multi-angular remote sensing observation contains crucial information on forest structure parameters. Here, our goal is to examine the ability of multi-angular indices, which are constructed by the typical-angular reflectances in red and NIR bands from MODIS observations, for the retrieval of forest biomass based on the field-measured above-ground biomass (AGB) data. Specifically, we employed the updated version of the MCD43A1 BRDF parameter product as an input for BRDF models to reconstruct the MODIS typical-angular reflectances. Furthermore, we evaluated the effects of different configurations of BRDF models and solar zenith angles (SZA) on forest AGB estimation using our developed multi-angular indices. The semivariogram analysis strategy combined with Landsat ground-surface reflectance data was employed to determine the MODIS pixel heterogeneity; the survey data from field sites of homogeneous pixels was used in our analysis and validation. The results show that our developed multi-angular indices based on a hot-revised BRDF model, under a SZA of 45°, when combined with forest cover information, can account for up to 72% of the variation forest AGB, with an RMSE = 45 Mg/ha. We also found that different kernels for the BRDF models influenced the weight parameters of the biomass inversion equation but did not significantly affect the estimated AGB. In conclusion, our method can enable the better usage of MODIS multi-angular observations for forest AGB estimation.

Accurate assessment of cropland maps is crucial for ensuring food security, effective agricultural management, and environmental monitoring. With the widespread application of high-resolution (≤10 m) remote sensing imagery and the advancement of machine learning techniques, numerous high-resolution cropland maps have been developed. However, comprehensive evaluations of their accuracy remain limited. We utilized 163,861 validation samples and national land survey statistical data to conduct a multi-scale comparison of the accuracy of seven cropland maps (one 1 m and six 10 m maps) in China. Additionally, five synergistic strategies were employed to generate more accurate fused cropland maps. Validation results showed that the overall accuracy (OA) of the seven maps ranged from 0.79 to 0.91, with ESA-WorldCover (ESA-WC) exhibiting the highest OA, followed by AI Earth China land cover classification dataset (AIEC), ESRI Land Cover (ESRI-LC), and Cropland Use Intensity in China (China-CUI), while Sino-LC1 showed the lowest performance. Spatially, ESA-WC achieved the highest accuracy in nearly 60% of provinces, followed by AIEC and ESRI-LC, each accounting for approximately 20%. AIEC performed best in western provinces, whereas ESRI-LC dominated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Area consistency assessments revealed that, on average, the seven maps overestimated cropland areas by 20% compared to statistical data. Among these, ESA-WC showed the highest proportion of provinces with relative errors within ±20%, but this proportion was only 50%. Moreover, the OA of the fused maps exceeded 0.92, with county-level R² values compared to statistical data reaching 0.98, significantly improving the reliability of cropland products in over 60% of provincial administrative regions. Based on these results, effective synergistic strategies for high-resolution cropland mapping are proposed.

Climate change results from disruptions in Earth’s radiation energy balance. Radiative forcing is the dominant factor of climate change. Yet, most studies have focused on radiative effects within the calculated actual albedo, usually overlooking the angle effect of regions with large-scale and highly varied terrain. This study produced the actual albedo databases by using albedo retrieval look-up tables. And then we investigated the spatiotemporal variations in land surface albedo and its corresponding radiative effects in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2022 using MODIS-derived reflectance data. We employed time-series, trend, and anomaly detection analyses alongside surface downward shortwave radiation measurements to quantify the radiative forcing induced by land-cover changes. Our key findings reveal that (i) the basin’s average surface albedo was 0.171, with observed values ranging from 0.058 to 0.289; the highest variability was noted in the Loess Plateau during winter—primarily due to snowfall and low temperatures; (ii) a notable declining trend in the annual average albedo was observed in conjunction with rising temperatures, with annual values fluctuating between 0.165 and 0.184 and monthly averages spanning 0.1595 to 0.1853; (iii) land-cover transitions exerted distinct radiative forcing effects: conversions from grassland, shrubland, and wetland to water bodies produced forcings of 2.657, 2.280, and 2.007 W/m², respectively, while shifts between barren land and cropland generated forcings of 4.315 and 2.696 W/m². In contrast, transitions from cropland to shrubland and from grassland to shrubland resulted in minimal forcing, and changes from impervious surfaces and forested areas to other cover types yielded negative forcing, thereby exerting a net cooling effect. These findings not only deepen our understanding of the interplay between land-cover transitions and radiative forcing within the Yellow River Basin but also offer robust scientific support for regional climate adaptation, ecological planning, and sustainable land use management.