The introduction of new products has always been an important source of economic development and improvement in consumer welfare. With retail coffee data spanning five years after the single-cup brew coffee pods were introduced to grocery chains, this paper empirically studies the market effects of new product introduction in the brew-at-home coffee market. We use a structural model of demand and supply to capture the changes in consumers’ preference for this new product over time. The demand estimates suggest that consumers’ relative preference and willingness-to-pay for the new product grew substantially over the sample periods. The analysis reveals the extent to which the introduction and growing presence of the new product simultaneously expanded the relevant market and cannibalized the sales of pre-existing substitute products (traditional auto-drip brew coffee products). Furthermore, we quantify the annually expanding welfare gains of the average consumer attributable to the new product.
In this study, we utilize a unique quarterly dataset of non-GAAP earnings to re-examine the “informational” role of non-GAAP earnings from the perspective of value relevance and earnings predictability in the post-Reg G period. We find that non-GAAP earnings are more value relevant and can better predict future operating earnings of a firm compared to equivalent GAAP earnings. Additionally, we also find empirical evidence suggesting that the difference in the value relevance and earnings predictability between non-GAAP and equivalent GAAP earnings can vary across but cannot be completely mitigated by firm-level characteristics, such as the market value of equity, accruals quality, analyst coverage, and managerial ability of a firm. Moreover, our supplementary analysis reveals that the superior value relevance and predictive power of non-GAAP earnings persist even after the SEC’s release of the Compliance and Disclosure Interpretations (C&DI) in 2010. Overall, our empirical evidence suggests a superior “informational” role of non-GAAP earnings to equivalent GAAP earnings in terms of valuation and predictability on future operating performance in the post-Reg G period.