The growing concentration of population and the related increase in human activities in coastal areas require numerical simulations to analyze the effects of flooding events that might occur in susceptible coastal areas in order to determine effective coastal management practices and safety measures to safeguard the inhabited coastal areas. The reliability of the analysis is dependent on the correct evaluation of key inputs such as return period of flooding events, vulnerability of exposed assets, and other risk factors (e.g., spatial distribution of elements at risk, their economic value, etc.). This paper defines a methodology to assess the effects of flooding events associated with basin run-off and storm surge in coastal areas. The assessment aims at quantifying in economic terms (e.g., loss of assets) the risk of coastal areas subject to flooding events. The methodology proposed in this paper was implemented to determine the areas subject to inundation on a coastal area in Southern Italy prone to hydrogeological instability and coastal inundation. A two-dimensional hydraulic model was adopted to simulate storm surges generated by severe sea storms coupled with intense rainfalls in order to determine the areas subject to inundation in the low-land area along the Adriatic coast object of this study. In conclusion, the economic risk corresponding to four different flooding scenarios was assessed by correlating the exceedance probability of each flooding scenario with the potential economic losses that might be realized in the inundated areas. The results of the assessment can inform decision-makers responsible for the deployment of risk mitigation measures.
Estimating economic losses caused on buildings and other civil engineering works due to flooding events is often a difficult task. The accuracy of the estimate is affected by the availability of detailed data regarding the return period of the flooding event, vulnerability of exposed assets, and type of economy run in the affected area. This paper aims to provide a quantitative methodology for the assessment of economic losses associated with flood scenarios. The proposed methodology was performed for an urban area in Southern Italy prone to hydrogeological instabilities. At first, the main physical characteristics of the area such as rainfall, land use, permeability, roughness, and slopes of the area under investigation were estimated in order to obtain input for flooding simulations. Afterwards, the analysis focused on the spatial variability incidence of the rainfall parameters in flood events. The hydraulic modeling provided different flood hazard scenarios. The risk curve obtained by plotting economic consequences vs. the return period for each hazard scenario can be a useful tool for local authorities to identify adequate risk mitigation measures and therefore prioritize the economic resources necessary for the implementation of such mitigation measures.
Transport networks are crucial for economic growth, yet their sustainability is increasingly threatened by natural hazards. Recent floods in Italy have highlighted the vulnerability of rail and road infrastructure, causing severe damage and economic losses. The Gargano Promontory in northern Apulia has experienced frequent hydrogeological disruptions over the past decade, significantly affecting bridges and the railway network managed by Ferrovie del Gargano s.r.l. (FdG). However, structural interventions are complex, time-consuming, costly, and involve certain risks. To enhance sustainability and comply with railway safety regulations, FdG has adopted non-structural measures to improve hydrogeological risk classification and management. Despite the prevalence of flood events, the existing literature often overlooks crucial technical aspects, which this study addresses. The HYD.RAIL (HYDraulic Risk Assessment for Infrastructure and Lane) research project aims to improve transport infrastructure resilience by refining hydraulic risk assessments and introducing new classification parameters. HYD.RAIL employs a multicriteria approach, integrating parameters defined in collaboration with railway professionals. This paper presents the initial framework, offering a methodology to identify, classify, and manage hydrogeological risks in transportation infrastructure. Compared to standard methods, which lack detailed risk classification, HYD.RAIL enables more precise flood risk mapping. For example, high-risk points were reduced from 37 to 6 locations on Line 1 and from 134 to 50 on Line 2 using HYD.RAIL. This approach enhances flood risk management efficiency, providing railway operators with a more accurate understanding of infrastructure vulnerabilities.
Accurate estimation of depth–duration–frequency (DDF) curves is essential for hydrological analyses and flood-risk mitigation. Regionalization methods are particularly important in areas with limited observations, but their performance may deteriorate where topography and climate generate strong spatial variability. This study investigates the Gargano promontory in southern Italy, an area that is commonly treated as a single hydrologically homogeneous zone despite its marked morphological and climatic contrasts. Annual maximum rainfall data from eight rain gauges, together with topographic and climatic descriptors, were analyzed to assess whether local factors help explain the variability of DDF-curve parameters. The analysis focused on elevation, distance from the sea, and a wind-effect index derived from a digital elevation model. The results indicate that the regional behavior of extreme rainfall is not spatially uniform and that several DDF-curve parameters are influenced by local physiographic controls. Different controls emerge for different station groups, and a physiographically based subdivision of the Gargano promontory into windward and leeward sectors provides a more coherent representation of DDF-curve parameters than the currently adopted single-zone regionalization.