José M. Angulo

José M. Angulo

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

36Years (1991-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 August 1999 in Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
VAV.V. Anh
V.V. Anh
JAJosé M. Angulo
José M. Angulo
RMRuiz- Medina
Ruiz- Medina

1 October 2015 in European Journal of Operational Research
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MCM. Camacho-Collados
M. Camacho-Collados
FLFederico Liberatore
Federico Liberatore
JAJosé M. Angulo
José M. Angulo

5 February 2008 in Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
Victor LeivaVictor Leiva
Victor Leiva
ASAntonio Sanhueza
Antonio Sanhueza
JAJosé M. Angulo
José M. Angulo

1 January 2004 in Stochastic Analysis and Applications
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MRM. D. Ruiz-Medina
M. D. Ruiz-Medina
VAV. V. Anh
V. V. Anh
JAJosé M. Angulo
José M. Angulo

1 March 1998 in Environmental and Ecological Statistics
Verified
Journal Article
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María C. BuesoMaría C. Bueso
María C. Bueso
JAJosé M. Angulo
José M. Angulo
FMFrancisco Javier Alonso Morales
Francisco Javier Alonso Morales

27 September 2013 in PLOS ONE
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
JAJosé M. Angulo
José M. Angulo
Hwa-Lung YuHwa-Lung Yu
Hwa-Lung Yu
ALAndreas Langousis
Andreas Langousis
AKAlexander Kolovos
Alexander Kolovos
Jinfeng WangJinfeng Wang
Jinfeng Wang
George ChristakosGeorge Christakos
George Christakos
This paper is concerned with the modeling of infectious disease spread in a composite space-time domain under conditions of uncertainty. We focus on stochastic modeling that accounts for basic mechanisms of disease distribution and multi-sourced in situ uncertainties. Starting from the general formulation of population migration dynamics and the specification of transmission and recovery rates, the model studies the functional formulation of the evolution of the fractions of susceptible-infected-recovered individuals. The suggested approach is capable of: a) modeling population dynamics within and across localities, b) integrating the disease representation (i.e. susceptible-infected-recovered individuals) with observation time series at different geographical locations and other sources of information (e.g. hard and soft data, empirical relationships, secondary information), and c) generating predictions of disease spread and associated parameters in real time, while considering model and observation uncertainties. Key aspects of the proposed approach are illustrated by means of simulations (i.e. synthetic studies), and a real-world application using hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) data from China.