The accurate estimation of forest biomass is crucial for supporting climate change mitigation efforts such as sustainable forest management. Although traditional regression models have been widely used to link stand biomass with biotic and abiotic predictors, this approach has several disadvantages, including the difficulty in dealing with data autocorrelation, model selection, and convergence. While machine learning can overcome these challenges, the application remains limited, particularly at a large scale with consideration of climate variables. This study used the random forests (RF) algorithm to estimate stand aboveground biomass (AGB) and total biomass (TB) of larch (Larix spp.) plantations in north and northeast China and quantified the contributions of different predictors. The data for modelling biomass were collected from 445 sample plots of the National Forest Inventory (NFI). A total of 22 independent variables (6 stand and 16 climate variables) were used to develop and train climate-sensitive stand biomass models. Optimization of hyper parameters was implemented using grid search and 10-fold cross-validation. The coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the RF models were 0.9845 and 3.8008 t ha−1 for AGB, and 0.9836 and 5.1963 t ha−1 for TB. The cumulative contributions of stand and climate factors to stand biomass were >98% and 60% and ~0.25%, respectively. The partial dependence plots illustrated the complicated relationships between climate factors and stand biomass. This study illustrated the power of RF for estimating stand biomass and understanding the effects of stand and climate factors on forest biomass. The application of RF can be useful for mapping of large-scale carbon stock.
Forest degradation has been considered as one of the main causes of climate change in recent years. The knowledge of estimating degraded forest areas without the application of remote sensing tools can be useful in finding solutions to resolve degradation problems through appropriate restoration methods. Using the existing knowledge through literature review and field-based primary information, we generated new knowledge by combining the information obtained from multi-criteria decision analyses with an analytic hierarchy process, and this was then used to estimate degraded forest area. Estimation involves determining forest degradation index (FDI) and degradation threshold. Continuous inventory data of permanent sample plots collected from degraded forests, consisting of various forest types divided by dominant tree species in the Guangdong province and Tibet autonomous region of China, were used for the purposes. We identified four different forest degradation levels through the determination and comprehensive evaluation of FDI. The degraded forest area with broad-leaved species as dominant tree species in the Guangdong province was estimated to be 83.3% of a total forest area of 24,037 km2. In the same province, the degraded forest area with eucalyptus as a dominant tree species was 59.5% of a total forest area of 18,665 km2. In the Tibet autonomous region, the degraded forest area with spruce as a dominant tree species was 99.1% of a total forest area of 17,614 km2, and with fir as a dominant tree species, the degraded area was 98.4% of a forest area of 12,103 km2. A sampling accuracy of forest areas with national forest inventory was about 95% in both provinces. Our study concludes that the FDI method used has a certain scientific rationality in estimating degraded forest area. The forest provides a variety of tangible and intangible goods and services for humans. Therefore, forest management should focus on the improvement of its overall productivity, which is only possible with improving forest site quality. One of the important steps to improve the quality of a forest site is to resolve its degradation issues. The presented method in this article will be useful in finding the solutions to forest degradation problems. This method, which does not need any remote sensing tool, is simple and can be easily applied for estimating any degraded forest area and developing effective forest restoration plans.