Land use change has significant impacts on the regional and global environment; thus, in-depth research on the associated ecological risks is necessary for promoting ecological restoration and sustainable development. Xinjiang, China, is characterized by a fragile ecological environment, and this study aimed to predict the land use change in the region in 2030 under different scenarios, including natural development, ecological conservation, and urban development, by using the PLUS model based on land use data from 2000, 2010, and 2020. Based on the landscape structure of regional ecosystems, we developed a comprehensive ecological risk assessment framework by utilizing a combination of landscape disturbance index, vulnerability index, and loss index. This framework allowed us to evaluate the spatiotemporal patterns and variations of landscape ecological risks under different scenarios in 2030. The study results indicate the following: (1) During the period from 2000 to 2020, the primary landscape type in Xinjiang was unused land. However, significant changes were observed in the area of cultivated land, mainly due to the conversion of grassland and construction land. The expansion of construction land during the urbanization process resulted in a decline in ecological landscapes, such as grassland, thereby weakening the ecosystem’s stability. (2) Under different simulation scenarios, the urban development scenario primarily led to the conversion of unused land into construction land, which is beneficial for economic development. On the other hand, the ecological conservation scenario resulted in a modest increase in construction land and a transformation of unused land into forest and grassland, which aligns with the principles of sustainable development. (3) Different scenarios in 2030 result in varying degrees of changes in each landscape type in Xinjiang, with the spatial distribution characteristics of landscape ecological risks remaining similar to those observed in 2020. Notably, under the urban development scenario, the area of lowest and medium risk areas decreases significantly while the area of higher and highest risk areas increases substantially. Conversely, under the ecological conservation scenario, the area of the lowest risk areas experiences a more significant increase. (4) Overall, the spatial differences in the ecological risk of Xinjiang’s landscape are significant, with HH and LL clustering types predominating and presenting a polarization pattern. The distribution pattern is low in the north and high in the central and southern parts of the study area.

The heavy metal cadmium (Cd) is a major threat to food safety and human health. Phytoremediation is the most widely used remediation technology, and how to improve the remediation efficiency of phytoremediation has become a key issue. In this study, we constructed an intensive phytoremediation technology for remediation of Cd-contaminated soil with biodegradable chelating agent and plant growth regulator combined with maize and investigated the mechanism of this technology. The results showed that the best remediation effect was achieved in the treatment with 10 ⁻⁶ mol l ⁻¹ gibberellic acid (GA ₃ ) and 6 mmol kg ⁻¹ aspartate diethoxysuccinic acid (AES) combined with maize. In this treatment, the total biomass and extraction efficiency of maize were 3.6 and 8.67 times higher than those of the control, respectively, and the antioxidant enzyme activities of maize were also increased. The soil was enriched with dominant bacterial genera that promote plant growth and metabolism and tolerance to heavy metal stress, which in turn promoted maize growth and Cd accumulation. Structural equation modelling results indicated a large effect of plant Cd concentration and plant antioxidant enzyme activity on plant Cd extraction. The enhanced phytoremediation technology showed good potential for safe use of Cd-contaminated soil.