The potential of satellite precipitation products (SPPs) in monitoring and mitigating hydrometeorological disasters caused by extreme rainfall events has been extensively demonstrated. However, there is a lack of comprehensive assessment regarding the performance of SPPs over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Therefore, this research aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of five SPPs, including CMORPH, IMERG-Final, PERSIANN-CDR, TRMM-3B42V7, and TRMM-3B42RT, in identifying variations in the occurrence and distribution of intense precipitation occurrences across the QTP during the period from 2001 to 2015. To evaluate the effectiveness of the SPPs, a reference dataset was generated by utilizing rainfall measurements collected from 104 rainfall stations distributed across the QTP. Ten standard extreme precipitation indices (SEPIs) were the main focus of the evaluation, which encompassed parameters such as precipitation duration, amount, frequency, and intensity. The findings revealed the following: (1) Geographically, the SPPs exhibited better retrieval capability in the eastern and southern areas over the QTP, while displaying lower detection accuracy in high-altitude and arid areas. Among the five SPPs, IMERG-Final outperformed the others, demonstrating the smallest inversion error and the highest correlation. (2) In terms of capturing annual and seasonal time series, IMERG-Final performs better than other products, followed by TRMM-3B42V7. All products performed better during summer and autumn compared to spring and winter. (3) The statistical analysis revealed that IMERG-Final demonstrates exceptional performance, especially concerning indices related to precipitation amount and precipitation intensity. Moreover, it demonstrates a slight advantage in detecting the daily rainfall occurrences and occurrences of intense precipitation. On the whole, IMERG-Final’s ability to accurately detect extreme precipitation events on annual, seasonal, and daily scales is superior to other products for the QTP. It was also noted that all products overestimate precipitation events to some extent, with TRMM-3B42RT being the most overestimated.

Satellite precipitation products have been applied to many research fields due to their high spatial and temporal resolution. However, satellite inversion of precipitation is indirect, and different inversion algorithms limit the accuracy of the measurement results, which leads to great uncertainty. Therefore, it is of great significance to quantify and record the error characteristics of different satellite precipitation products for their better application in hydrology and other research fields. In this study, based on CN05.1, which is a set of site–based interpolation data, we evaluated the accuracies of the six satellite precipitation datasets (IMERG–E, IMERG–L, IMERG–F, GSMaP, CMORPH, and PERSIANN–CDR) at different temporal scales (daily, monthly, and yearly) in mainland China for the period from 2001 to 2015. The results were as follows: (1) In terms of mean precipitation, IMERG–F was superior to other data in all areas. IMERG products and PERANN–CDR performed better than other products at all scales and were more suitable for precipitation research in mainland China. Site correction can effectively improve the accuracy of product inversion, so IMERG–F was significantly better than IMERG–E and IMERG–L. (2) Except PERSIANN–CDR, all precipitation products underestimated precipitation in the range of 1–4 mm/day and had a high coincidence with CN05.1 in the range of 4–128 mm/day. (3) The performance of six types of satellite precipitation products in summer was better than that in winter. However, the error was larger in seasons with more precipitation. (4) In the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, where there are few stations, the inversion of precipitation by satellite products is closer to the actual situation, which is noteworthy. These results help users understand the characteristics of these products and improve algorithms for future algorithm developers.

In 2020, the Yangtze–Huai river valley (YHRV) experienced the highest record‐breaking Meiyu season since 1961, which was mainly characterized by the longest duration of precipitation lasting from early‐June to mid‐July, with frequent heavy rainstorms that caused severe flooding and deaths in China. Many studies have investigated the causes of this Meiyu season and its evolution, but the accuracy of precipitation simulations has received little attention. It is important to provide more accurate precipitation forecasts to help prevent and reduce flood disasters, thereby facilitating the maintenance of a healthy and sustainable earth ecosystem. In this study, we determined the optimal scheme among seven land surface model (LSMs) schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting model for simulating the precipitation in the Meiyu season during 2020 over the YHRV region. We also investigated the mechanisms in the different LSMs that might affect precipitation simulations in terms of water and energy cycling. The results showed that the simulated amounts of precipitation were higher under all LSMs than the observations. The main differences occurred in rainstorm areas (>12 mm/day), and the differences in low rainfall areas were not significant (<8 mm/day). Among all of the LSMs, the Simplified Simple Biosphere (SSiB) model obtained the best performance, with the lowest root mean square error and the highest correlation. The SSiB model even outperformed the Bayesian model averaging result. Finally, some factors responsible for the differences modeling results were investigated to understand the related physical mechanism.

Fire plays a critical role in both the formation and degradation of ecosystems; however, there are still significant uncertainties in the estimation of burned areas (BAs). This study systematically evaluated the performance of ten global climate models (GCMs) in simulating global and regional BA during a historical period (1997–2014) using the Global Fire Emissions Database version 4.1s (GFED4s) satellite fire product. Then, six of the best models were combined using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to predict future BA under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The results show that the NorESM2-LM model excelled in simulating both global annual and monthly BA among the GCMs. GFDL-ESM4 and UKESM1-0-LL of the GCMs had the highest Pearson’s correlation coefficient (PCC), but they also exhibited the most significant overestimation of monthly BA variations. The BA fraction (BAF) for GCMs was over 90% for small fires (50%). After evaluation and screening, six models (CESM2-WACCM-FV2, NorESM2-LM, CMCC-ESM2, CMCC-CM2-SR5, GFDL-ESM4, and UKESM1-0-LL) were selected for weighting in an optimal ensemble simulation using BMA. Based on the optimal ensemble, future projections indicated a continuous upward trend across all three SSPs from 2015 to 2100, except for a slight decrease in SSP126 between 2071 and 2100. It was found that as the emission scenarios intensify, the area experiencing a significant increase in BA will expand considerably in the future, with a generally high level of reliability in these projections across most regions. This study is crucial for understanding the impact of climate change on wildfires and for informing fire management policies in fire-prone areas in the future.

The GFED (Global Fire Emissions Database) series products are widely used in global fire research, yet their applicability in mainland China remains insufficiently evaluated. Additionally, large fires and small fires are rarely studied separately. This study first evaluates GFED4’s applicability for monitoring forest fire burned areas in Chinese mainland (2001–2015) through multi-temporal (annual, seasonal, and monthly) and multi-spatial (national, regional, provincial, and 0.25° grid) analyses, using Pearson correlation (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean error (ME) alongside official statistical data. Then, the forest fire-burned areas of small fires were extracted based on the difference between GFED4 and GFED5. The results show that GFED4 exhibits strong consistency at the national level and in key fire-prone regions such as Northeast, North, and Central South China, especially during high-fire years and in spring. However, systematic overestimation occurs in the Northwest, while underestimation or seasonal bias is observed in parts of East and Southwest China. The results show a clear decline in large-fire burned area, but a significant increase in small fires, particularly in Northeast, Central South, and East China. Spatial analysis indicates small fires exhibit strong clustering (Moran’s I = 0.270, p < 0.01), whereas large fires are spatially dispersed. The study concludes that GFED4 is reliable for monitoring large fires in forested zones but should be applied cautiously in non-forested and small-fire-dominated regions.