We present an optimization model for the passenger car vehicle fleet transition—the time-dependent fleet composition—in Germany until 2050. The goal was to minimize the cumulative greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of the vehicle fleet taking into account life-cycle assessment (LCA) data. LCAs provide information on the global warming potential (GWP) of different powertrain concepts. Meta-analyses of batteries, of different fuel types, and of the German energy sector are conducted to support the model. Furthermore, a sensitivity-analysis is performed on four key influence parameters: the battery production emissions trend, the German energy sector trend, the hydrogen production path trend, and the mobility sector trend. Overall, we draw the conclusion that—in any scenario—future vehicles should have a plug-in option, allowing their usage as fully or partly electrical vehicles. For short distance trips, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) with a small battery size are the most reasonable choice throughout the transition. Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) powered by compressed natural gas (CNG) emerge as promising long-range capable solution. Starting in 2040, long-range capable BEVs and fuel cell plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (FCPHEVs) have similar life-cycle emissions as PHEV-CNG.
As the electrification of the transportation sector advances, fleet operators have to rethink their approach regarding fleet management against the background of limiting factors, such as a reduced range or extended recharging times. Charging infrastructure plays a critical role, and it is worthwhile to consider its planning as an integral part for the long-term operation of an electric vehicle fleet. In the category of fixed route transportation systems, the predictable character of the routes can be exploited when planning charging infrastructure. After a prior categorization of stakeholders and their respective optimization objectives in the sector coupling domain, a cost optimization framework for fixed route transportation systems is presented as the main contribution of this work. We confirm previous literature in that there is no one-fits-all optimization method for this kind of problem. The method is tested on seven scenarios for the public transport operator of Darmstadt, Germany. The core optimization is formulated as a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) problem. All scenarios are terminated by the criterion of a maximum solving time of 48 h and provide feasible solutions with a relative MIP-gap between 7 and 24%.
The transition to smart energy systems is a crucial component for ensuring sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. Electrification is a key factor in achieving these goals, with the transport sector being an integral part of the equation. The integration of the transport sector with the electricity sector will facilitate a reduction in carbon emissions. This paper assesses the potential of electric bus depots to function as smart energy infrastructures. Analyzing the energetic system flexibility of the electrified public transport system is at the core. Previous studies emphasize the importance of identifying and managing the optimal operation strategies of electrified transport to achieve system flexibility. This work concentrates on Germany as a reference market for balancing and electricity markets at the center of the EU. The flexibility potential of a bus fleet with 80 electric buses is analyzed under optimal participation in the short-term electricity and balancing market. The bus fleet operator acts as a storage systems aggregator, which combines mobile and stationary storages to enhance energy flexibility. The study measures the potential contribution for the stability of the electricity grid in Germany. The additional battery degradation that arises with the provision of balancing services is part of the economic equation. The analysis is based on historical data from 2020, 2021, and 2022 and investigates hypothetically lower and higher demand for balancing energy in the load-frequency control area of Germany and Denmark. The paper concludes by demonstrating the feasibility of the electrified bus depot as an integral component of smart energy systems. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the electrification of transport, sector integration, and the role of infrastructures in achieving smart energy systems and showcases the attractiveness of this business model.