ilda Novo

Dr. ilda Novo


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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2 February 2023 in Meteorology
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Journal Article
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PSPedro Bruno Silva
Pedro Bruno Silva
MCMiguel Carmo
Miguel Carmo
JRJoão Rio
João Rio
INilda Novo
ilda Novo
The length of the fire season has not garnered much attention within the broad field of meteorological research on fire regime change. Fire weather research on the Iberian Peninsula is no exception in this case; there is no solid understanding on fire season lengthening in Portugal, although recent decades do suggest ongoing transitions. Based on a complete record of fire occurrence and burned area between 1980 and 2018, we first searched for consistent trends in the monthly distribution of fire activity. To determine day-scale changes, an exceedance date method based on annual cumulative burned area was developed. Results show an early onset of fire activity in a range of 23–50 days and no significant extension into autumn, suggesting that existing projections of the lengthening of the fire season in Portugal over the present century have been already achieved. Fire weather results show a trend in the cumulative Daily Severity Rating (DSR), with the last two decades (2000–2018) displaying an early build-up of meteorological fire danger in late spring and early summer. The detailed spatio-temporal analysis based on the daily Fire Weather Index (FWI) shows that June stands out with the largest increase (year-round) in days per month with an FWI above 38.3, the threshold above which fire conditions make suppression uncertain. This aggravated fire weather is likely sustaining early fire activity, thus contributing to a longer critical fire season.

24 August 2021 in Atmosphere
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Journal Article
Open access
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DADaniela Alves
Daniela Alves
Miguel AlmeidaMiguel Almeida
Miguel Almeida
Domingos Xavier ViegasDomingos Xavier Viegas
Domingos Xavier Viegas
INilda Novo
ilda Novo
M. Yolanda LunaM. Yolanda Luna
M. Yolanda Luna
Portugal and Spain have a cross-border cooperation protocol on wildfires response for a buffer strip of 25 km for each side of the border. In spite of the success of this collaboration, there are issues to be improved, since Portuguese and Spanish authorities use different methodologies to assess the daily fire danger. A methodology to harmonize fire danger and its interpretation by the Portuguese and Spanish Civil protection authorities in the transboundary buffer strip area is hereby presented. The fire danger index used is the Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI), which requires input from meteorological data and gives an indication of fire intensity. The fire danger class is an important decision support tool for preventing and fighting wildfires. Since the meaning of FWI values change from region-to-region according to its specific characteristics, a calibration process was performed based on statistical data of the daily FWI values, the number of fires and burned area between 2005 and 2013. The results of the FWI calibration and harmonization of the data for the five danger classes minimizes the fire danger discrepancies across the border. This methodology has the potential to be reproduced in other areas.

Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
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INilda Novo
ilda Novo
JSJosé Álvaro Silva
José Álvaro Silva
DADaniela Alves
Daniela Alves
JFJoão Ferreira
João Ferreira
JRJoão Rio
João Rio
Domingos Xavier ViegasDomingos Xavier Viegas
Domingos Xavier Viegas
Over the last few decades, Extreme Wildfire Events (EWE) have been reported, especially in the Mediterranean basin

26 May 2023 in Preprints.org
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Preprint
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JRJoão Rio
João Rio
MLManuel João Lopes
Manuel João Lopes
PSPedro Bruno Silva
Pedro Bruno Silva
INilda Novo
ilda Novo
In the framework of the FireStorm project, four portable weather stations were installed in the Lousã/Estrela mountain range. Given that the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere’s sur-face network has two weather stations installed in this region, the new data allows an improved monitoring of the vertical variability of near-surface variables in this mountainous region. As most of the wildfires in mainland Portugal affect areas with complex terrain with elevations below 1200 m and major fires continue to burn overnight, it is also relevant to monitor the vertical changes of meteorological variables in the nighttime period, as these may exhibit large variability. This study provides the first assessment of the available data, with focus on the summer seasons of 2021 and 2022. The results highlight the large variability that was observed in the region and suggest that the risk of extreme fire behaviour in the nighttime period may be underestimated.

Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
PDF file
JRJoão Rio
João Rio
MLManuel João Lopes
Manuel João Lopes
PSPedro Bruno Silva
Pedro Bruno Silva
INilda Novo
ilda Novo
Wildfires in mountainous terrain can be extremely challenging to address