Evaporation rate is one of the key parameters in determining the ecological conditions and it has an irrefutable role in the proper management of water resources. In this paper, the efficiency of some data-driven techniques including support vector regression (SVR) and artificial neural networks (ANN) and combination of them with wavelet transforms (WSVR and WANN) were investigated for predicting evaporation rates at Tabriz (Iran) and Antalya (Turkey) stations. For evaluating the performances of studied techniques, four different statistical indicators were utilized namely the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), the correlation coefficient (R), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). Additionally, Taylor diagrams were implemented to test the similarity among the observed and predicted data. Outcomes showed that at Tabriz station, the ANN3 (third input combination that are air temperatures and solar radiation used by ANN) with RMSE of 0.701, MAE of 0.525, R of 0.990 and NSE of 0.977 had better performances in comparison with WANN, SVR and WSVR. So, the wavelet transforms did not have positive effects in increasing the precision of ANN and SVR predictions at Tabriz station. Also, approximately the same trend was seen at Antalya station. In other words, ANN5 (fifth input combination that are air temperatures, relative humidity and solar radiation used by ANN) with RMSE of 0.923, MAE of 0.697, R of 0.962 and NSE of 0.898 had a more accurate predictions among others. Conversely, wavelet transform reduced the prediction errors of SVR at Antalya station. So, the WSVR5 with RMSE of 1.027, MAE of 0.728, R of 0.950 and NSE of 0.870 predicted evaporation rates of Antalya station more precisely than other SVR models. As a conclusion, results from the current study proved that ANN provided reasonable trends for evaporation modeling at both Tabriz and Antalya stations.
Advancement in river flow prediction systems can greatly empower the operational river management to make better decisions, practices, and policies. Machine learning methods recently have shown promising results in building accurate models for river flow prediction. This paper aims to identify models with higher accuracy, robustness, and generalization ability by inspecting the accuracy of a number of machine learning models. The proposed models for river flow include support vector regression (SVR), a hybrid of SVR with a fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA) (so-called FOASVR), and an M5 model tree (M5). Additionally, the influence of periodicity (π) on the forecasting enactment was examined. To assess the performance of the proposed models, different statistical meters were implemented, including root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), correlation coefficient (R), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Results showed that the FOASVR with RMSE (4.36 and 6.33 m3/s), MAE (2.40 and 3.71 m3/s) and R (0.82 and 0.81) values had the best performance in forecasting river flows at Babarud and Vaniar stations, respectively. Also, regarding BIC parameters, Qt−1 and π were selected as parsimonious inputs for predicting river flow one month ahead. Overall findings indicated that, although both the FOASVR and M5 predicted the river flows in suitable accordance with observed river flows, the performance of the FOASVR was moderately better than the M5 and periodicity noticeably increased the performance of the models; consequently, FOASVR can be suggested as the most accurate method for forecasting river flows.
A fundamental factor for proficient designing of solar energy systems is providing precise estimations of the solar radiation. Global solar radiation (GSR) is a vital parameter for designing and operating solar energy systems. Because records of GSR are not available in many places, especially in developing countries, this research aims to model the GSR using support vector regression (SVR) in a hybrid manner that is integrated with the firefly Optimization algorithm (SVR-FFA). For this purpose, the daily meteorological parameters and GSR measured from beginning of 2011 to the end of 2013 at Tabriz synoptic station were utilized. For assessing the performance of the mentioned methods, different statistical indicators were implemented. For all of the defined predictive models with different combinations of meteorological parameters, the performance of the SVR-FFA hybrid model is better than the classical SVR, evidenced by the higher value of R (~0892-0.982 relative to ~0.891-0.977) and lower values of RMSE and MAE (~1.551-3.725vs.1.748-4.067 and ~0.911-2.862vs.1.103-2.742). As a remarkable point studied empirical equations had higher prediction errors comparing with the developed SVR-FFA models. Conclusively, the obtained results proved the high proficiencies of SVR-FFA method for predicting global solar radiation.
1 September 2026 in Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies