The diagnosis of landsliding at the slope scale resulted from synergic geohydromechanical analyses of the slope factors, which should represent the first step to assess landslide hazard. According to the methodological approach discussed in the paper, the landslide hazard analysis should start from a phenomenological interpretation of the slope behaviour, including the definition of the slope factors, getting then to a quantitative prediction of the slope evolution with time. This quantitative evaluation should result from limit equilibrium analyses and numerical modelling, both of them performed considering the outcomes of the phenomenological reconstruction. Therefore, the understanding of the slope factors and of the landslide mechanism at the slope scale should drive the landslide hazard assessment, through analyses performed for different levels of diagnosis (phenomenological, analytical and numerical). Some landslides, representative for chain slopes in the Italian peninsula, are discussed in the paper in order to show the maturity of the geohydromechanical diagnosis of landslide hazard and, hence, to properly design the mitigation actions. A methodology for intermediate to regional landslide hazard assessment, based on geomechanical interpretations, is finally proposed.
3 December 2014 in European Journal of Environmental and Civil Engineering
Numerical modelling represents a powerful technique to develop a quantitative assessment of the stress–strain mechanisms leading to either first-time slope failures or evolution of slopes already failed in the past. In this perspective, a valid interpretation of the landslide behaviour and an adequate strategy of risk mitigation can be achieved from a numerical validation of both the causative factors and the evolution mechanism that have been previously assumed according to detailed phenomenological or simple analytical approaches. This paper presents two case histories of slow landslides in clay slopes, both located in Puglia (Southern Italy), for which detailed phenomenological studies have been firstly carried out to infer assumptions on the slope failure mechanisms that have been later on verified by means of numerical analyses accounting for soil mechanical behaviour and slope hydraulic processes. The first case study concerns the first-time failure of a stiff clay slope in Lucera, which has been induced by the slow dissipation of negative excess pore water pressures generated by previous quarry excavation at the slope toe. The second case history is represented by the analysis of the stress–strain evolution of the ancient Volturino landslide, which is observed to reactivate mainly in wet seasons.
Nowadays, landslides still cause both deaths and heavy economic losses around the world, despite the development of risk mitigation measures, which are often not effective; this is mainly due to the lack of proper analyses of landslide mechanisms. As such, in order to achieve a decisive advancement for sustainable landslide risk management, our knowledge of the processes that generate landslide phenomena has to be broadened. This is possible only through a multidisciplinary analysis that covers the complexity of landslide mechanisms that is a fundamental part of the design of the mitigation measure. As such, this contribution applies the “stage-wise” methodology, which allows for geo-hydro-mechanical (GHM) interpretations of landslide processes, highlighting the importance of the synergy between geological-geomorphological analysis and hydro-mechanical modeling of the slope processes for successful interpretations of slope instability, the identification of the causes and the prediction of the evolution of the process over time. Two case studies are reported, showing how to apply GHM analyses of landslide mechanisms. After presenting the background methodology, this contribution proposes a research project aimed at the GHM characterization of landslides, soliciting the support of engineers in the selection of the most sustainable and effective mitigation strategies for different classes of landslides. This proposal is made on the assumption that only GHM classification of landslides can provide engineers with guidelines about instability processes which would be useful for the implementation of sustainable and effective landslide risk mitigation strategies.