Conventional calibration methods used in hydrological modelling are based on runoff observations at the basin outlet. However, calibration with only runoff often produces reasonable runoff but poor results for other hydrological variables. Multi-variable calibration with both runoff and remote sensing-based evapotranspiration (ET) is developed naturally, due to the importance of ET and its data availability. This study compares two main calibration schemes: (1) calibration with only runoff (Scheme I) and (2) multi-variable calibration with both runoff and remote sensing-based ET (Scheme II). ET data are obtained from three remote sensing-based ET datasets, namely Penman–Monteith–Leuning (PML), FLUXCOM, and the Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM). The aforementioned calibration schemes are applied to calibrate the parameters of the Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) through ε-dominance non-dominated sorted genetic algorithm II (ε-NSGAII). The results show that all three ET datasets have good performance for areal ET in the study area. The DHSVM model calibrated based on Scheme I produces acceptable performance in runoff simulation (Kling–Gupta Efficiency, KGE = 0.87), but not for ET simulation (KGE < 0.7). However, reasonable simulations can be achieved for both variables based on Scheme II. The KGE value of runoff simulation can reach 0.87(0.91), 0.72(0.85), and 0.75(0.86) in the calibration (validation) period based on Scheme II (PML), Scheme II (FLUXCOM), and Scheme II (GLEAM), respectively. Simultaneously, ET simulations are greatly improved both in the calibration and validation periods. Furthermore, incorporating ET data into all three Scheme II variants is able to improve the performance of extreme flow simulations (including extreme low flow and high flow). Based on the improvement of the three datasets in extreme flow simulations, PML can be utilized for multi-variable calibration in drought forecasting, and FLUXCOM and GLEAM are good choices for flood forecasting.
The optimization of urban multi-source water supply systems is essential for addressing the growing challenges of water allocation, cost management, and system resilience in modern cities. This study introduces a graph-theory-based optimization model to analyze the structural and operational dynamics of urban water supply systems, incorporating constraints such as water quality, pressure, and system connectivity. Using Lishui City as a case study, the model evaluates three water allocation plans to meet the projected 2030 water demand. Advanced algorithms, including Floyd’s shortest path algorithm and the GA-COA-SA hybrid optimization algorithm, were employed to address constraints such as pipeline pressure, water quality attenuation, and nonlinear flow dynamics. Results indicate a 1.4% improvement in cost-effectiveness compared to the current allocation strategy, highlighting the model’s capability to enhance efficiency. Among the evaluated options, Plan 2 emerges as the most cost-effective solution, achieving a supply capacity of 4.5920 × 105 m3/d with the lowest annual cost of 5.7015 × 107 yuan, highlighting the model’s capability to improve both efficiency and resilience. This study prioritizes cost-efficiency tailored to regional challenges, distinguishing itself from prior research that emphasized redundancy and water quality analysis. The findings demonstrate the potential of graph-theoretic approaches combined with advanced optimization techniques to enhance decision-making for sustainable urban water management.
Considering the issues of water scarcity, water environment deterioration, and unreasonable allocation of water resources in the urban area of the Yellow River Basin, this paper introduces the human–water harmony theory to the allocation of regional water resources. Based on an analysis of the structural characteristics of the regional water resource system, the harmonious water resource allocation (HWRA) model—which includes three sub-systems (i.e., the water service system, ecological environmental system, and economic and social system)—is established. In addition, considering the uncertain factors in the HWRA model, the inexact fuzzy multi-objective programming (IFMOP) method is used to solve the model, aiming at achieving the minimum amount of regional water scarcity, the minimum amount of sewage discharge, and the maximum total economic benefit. A case study of water resource allocation of Binzhou, a city located in the Yellow River Basin, is conducted to validate the model. The model solution results show that the water resource system in Binzhou in 2025 and 2035 could be optimized after harmonious allocation, especially in terms of the water service and ecological environmental systems. Compared with the optimal water resource allocation (OWRA) model, the HWRA model has a more scientific water supply structure, and a smaller amount of sewage discharge. The HWRA model solves the variables using an interval number, so it can flexibly and scientifically reflect the decision-making process.
Accurate drought assessment is crucial for effective regional water resource management. While reanalysis and remote sensing products enable high-resolution drought assessment, their regional application requires rigorous local validation. This study evaluates nine data combinations, pairing three precipitation products with three evapotranspiration products, to identify the optimal combination for robust SPEI estimation and subsequently to investigate the spatiotemporal variations in drought conditions during 1980–2020 in Zhejiang Province, China. The results indicate that the choice of precipitation product is the dominant factor influencing SPEI accuracy, with the combination of CMFD V2.0 precipitation and GLEAM v4.2a evapotranspiration identified as the most reliable for SPEI estimation across multiple timescales (SPEI1/3/6/12). The long-term trend analysis of the SPEI derived from this optimal data combination reveals significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity: temporally, a pronounced “wetter winters, drier springs” seasonal pattern emerges, posing a substantial threat to agricultural water security; spatially, a distinct divergence shows central/northeastern areas wetting while southern/southeastern regions experience a significant drying trend, particularly for long-term hydrological drought (SPEI12). Additionally, the prevalence of light droughts across the province suggests a sustained baseline of water stress. Attribution analysis further demonstrates that precipitation is the dominant driver of droughts across all timescales. This study contributes both a validated, high-resolution data foundation for regional drought assessment and a scientific basis for targeted drought adaptation strategies.
An integrated model that considers multiphysics is necessary to accurately analyze the time-dependent response of hydraulic structures on soft foundations. This study develops an integrated superstructure–foundation–backfills model and investigates the time-dependent displacement and stress of a lock head project on a soft foundation during the construction period. Finite element analyses are conducted, incorporating a transient thermal creep model for concrete and an elasto-plastic consolidation model for the soil. The modified Cam-clay model is employed to describe the elasto-plastic behavior of the soil. Subsequently, global sensitivity analyses are conducted to determine the relative importance of the model parameters on the system’s response, using Garson’s and partial derivative algorithms based on the backpropagation (BP) neural network. The results indicate that the integrated system exhibits pronounced time-dependent displacement and stress, with dangerous values appearing during specific periods. These values are easily neglected, highlighting the importance of integrated time-dependent analysis. Construction activities, particularly the backfilling process, could cause a sudden change in stress and significantly impact the stress redistribution of the superstructure. Additionally, the mechanical properties of concrete have a significant impact on the stress on the superstructure, while the mechanical properties of the soil control the settlement of the integrated system.