Christopher Heard

Dr. Christopher Heard

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

45Years (1982-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
17 February 2016 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Erasmo CadenasErasmo Cadenas
Erasmo Cadenas
WRWilfrido Rivera
Wilfrido Rivera
Rafael Campos AmezcuaRafael Campos Amezcua
Rafael Campos Amezcua
CHChristopher Heard
Christopher Heard
Two on step ahead wind speed forecasting models were compared. A univariate model was developed using a linear autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). This method’s performance is well studied for a large number of prediction problems. The other is a multivariate model developed using a nonlinear autoregressive exogenous artificial neural network (NARX). This uses the variables: barometric pressure, air temperature, wind direction and solar radiation or relative humidity, as well as delayed wind speed. Both models were developed from two databases from two sites: an hourly average measurements database from La Mata, Oaxaca, Mexico, and a ten minute average measurements database from Metepec, Hidalgo, Mexico. The main objective was to compare the impact of the various meteorological variables on the performance of the multivariate model of wind speed prediction with respect to the high performance univariate linear model. The NARX model gave better results with improvements on the ARIMA model of between 5.5% and 10. 6% for the hourly database and of between 2.3% and 12.8% for the ten minute database for mean absolute error and mean squared error, respectively.

1 March 1994 in Heat Recovery Systems and CHP
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
WRWilfrido Rivera
Wilfrido Rivera
RBR. Best
R. Best
JHJ. Hernández
J. Hernández
CHChristopher Heard
Christopher Heard
FHF.A. Holland
F.A. Holland

1 March 2005 in Applied Thermal Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MARIA GUADALUPE ALPUCHE CRUZMARIA GUADALUPE ALPUCHE CRUZ
MARIA GUADALUPE ALPUCHE CRUZ
CHChristopher Heard
Christopher Heard
RBRoberto Best
Roberto Best
JRJorge Rojas
Jorge Rojas

1 March 1997 in Applied Thermal Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
RAR. Ayala
R. Ayala
CHChristopher Heard
Christopher Heard
FHF.A. Holland
F.A. Holland

1 August 1998 in Applied Thermal Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
RAR. Ayala
R. Ayala
CHChristopher Heard
Christopher Heard
FHF.A. Holland
F.A. Holland

1 April 1999 in Energy
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
WRWilfrido Rivera
Wilfrido Rivera
Rosenberg J RomeroRosenberg J Romero
Rosenberg J Romero
RBR Best
R Best
CHChristopher Heard
Christopher Heard