To predict the probability of roadside accidents for curved sections on highways, we chose eight risk factors that may contribute to the probability of roadside accidents to conduct simulation tests and collected a total of 12,800 data obtained from the PC-crash software. The chi-squared automatic interaction detection (CHAID) decision tree technique was employed to identify significant risk factors and explore the influence of different combinations of significant risk factors on roadside accidents according to the generated decision rules, so as to propose specific improved countermeasures as the reference for the revision of the Design Specification for Highway Alignment (JTG D20-2017) of China. Considering the effects of related interactions among different risk factors on roadside accidents, path analysis was applied to investigate the importance of the significant risk factors. The results showed that the significant risk factors were in decreasing order of importance, vehicle speed, horizontal curve radius, vehicle type, adhesion coefficient, hard shoulder width, and longitudinal slope. The first five important factors were chosen as predictors of the probability of roadside accidents in the Bayesian network analysis to establish the probability prediction model of roadside accidents. Eventually, the thresholds of the various factors for roadside accident blackspot identification were given according to probabilistic prediction results.
The quantitative evaluation of driving risk is a crucial prerequisite for intelligent vehicle accident warning, and it is necessary to predict it comprehensively and accurately. Therefore, a simulated driving experiment was conducted with 16 experimental scenarios designed through an orthogonal design, and 44 subjects were recruited to explore the driving risks in different situations. A two-layer fuzzy integrated evaluation model was constructed, which considered the workload as an important element for balancing driving risk and driving behavior. Workload and road environment indicators were taken as the underlying input variables. The results show that the comprehensive evaluation model is well-suited to identify the risks of each scenario. The effectiveness of the proposed method is further confirmed by comparing the results with those of the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) model. The proposed method could be used for real-time vehicle safety warning and provide a reference for accident prevention.
21 June 2021 in Journal of Advanced Transportation
Frequent and serious traffic accidents have become a focal issue because they hinder the sustainable development of society. In China, roadside accidents account for 40% of fatalities resulting from traffic accidents. Roadside safety has become an important issue of traffic management departments worldwide, and performing research on roadside safety contributes to improving the level of road safety and reducing the number of traffic accidents and fatalities. By systematically sorting a large number of relevant studies, this paper analyzed the current development trends of roadside safety in terms of three aspects (i.e., the year of publication, the country of publication, and the source of publication) and then summarized the research status, existing gaps, and future development directions of roadside safety in terms of three aspects: the frequency of roadside accidents, the severity of roadside accidents, and the practice of roadside safety design. This paper reviewed the different prediction methods and evaluation models for the frequency and severity of roadside accidents. According to the number of times mentioned in the literature, the first five significant risk factors that cause frequent roadside accidents are small-radius curves, heavy traffic, objects adjacent to the lane (such as poles and trees), narrow lanes, and narrow shoulders, and the first five significant risk factors that cause fatal roadside accidents are driver age ≤25 or ≥65, alcohol, speeding, failure to use seat belts, and heavy trucks. Future research on the frequency and severity of roadside accidents should focus on quantitatively analyzing the probability of roadside accidents and occupant injury risk and developing methods for identifying roadside accident blackspots. For roadside safety design, roadside clear zones and safety slopes should be precisely quantified based on a cost-benefit analysis in future studies.
29 August 2022 in Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Vehicle-pedestrian accidents are one of the main types of road traffic accidents in China because of their mixed traffic features. By analyzing the characteristics of vehicle-pedestrian accidents, the head injury criterion (HIC) was selected as a quantitative index of pedestrian head injury risk, and vehicle-pedestrian collision simulation tests were carried out using PC-Crash. From the collected test data, the multivariate relationship models between the HIC, vehicle speed, and collision angle were fitted for different vehicle types. A risk assessment method for vehicle-pedestrian accidents based on the HIC was proposed by the Fisher optimal segmentation algorithm. Finally, a new index for evaluating the accuracy of accident risk classification, the degree of error classification, was proposed to verify the validity of the accident risk assessment method. The results show that vehicle speed, collision angle, and vehicle type play a key role in pedestrian injury. Flat-headed vehicles are more likely to cause head injuries to pedestrians than high-headed and low-headed vehicles. Rear-end collisions cause more injuries to pedestrians than side collisions. The research results can provide guidance and a basis for accident liability determination, speed limit management, vehicle safety design, and human injury mechanism analysis.
International crash data indicate that roadside characteristics contribute to more than half of all roadside accidents involving serious injury or death. Therefore, research on roadside safety is urgently needed. Based on the vehicle departure speed, pavement height (i.e., the difference between pavement elevation and ground elevation), slope gradient, and horizontal curve radius, this study uses PC-Crash simulation software to carry out tests of trucks and cars exiting a road. A chi-squared automatic interaction detection (CHAID) decision tree is used to explore the causative mechanism of vehicle rollover, and the concept of a “safe slope” to ensure that vehicles do not roll over is proposed. Aiming at straight and curved sections, discriminant functions of vehicle rollover and nonrollover are fitted through Bayesian discriminant analysis, and safe slope calculation models for trucks and cars are then constructed. Based on the obtained safe slope models, calculation methods for the safe slope and the roadside clear zone width involving different traffic compositions are proposed by calibrating the lateral distance from the final position of nonrollover vehicles to the road edge. The results show that the factors affecting vehicle rollover are, in descending order of importance, the slope gradient, pavement height, vehicle type, departure speed, and horizontal curve radius. For a section with a large proportion of cars, the slope gradient should not be steeper than 1:3.5. The horizontal curve radius should not be less than 600 m for a section with a large proportion of trucks and a slope gradient steeper than 1:3.5 or shallower than 1:2.5. Additionally, for a section with a pavement higher than 0.5 m and a slope gradient steeper than 1:2.5, the operating speed limit should be lower than 60 km/h. These research results have theoretical value and practical significance to improve the driving safety level and reducing the risk of roadside accidents.
Traditional collision risk warning methods primarily focus on vehicle-to-vehicle collisions, neglecting conflicts between vehicles and vulnerable road users (VRUs) such as pedestrians, while the difficulty in predicting pedestrian trajectories further limits the accuracy of collision warnings. To address this problem, this study proposes a vehicle-to-everything-based (V2X) multi-fusion vehicle–pedestrian collision warning method, aiming to enhance the traffic safety protection for VRUs. First, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle aerial imagery combined with the YOLOv7 and DeepSort algorithms is utilized to achieve target detection and tracking at unsignalized intersections, thereby constructing a vehicle–pedestrian interaction trajectory dataset. Subsequently, key foundational modules for collision warning are developed, including the vehicle trajectory module, the pedestrian trajectory module, and the risk detection module. The vehicle trajectory module is based on a kinematic model, while the pedestrian trajectory module adopts an Attention-based Social GAN (AS-GAN) model that integrates a generative adversarial network with a soft attention mechanism, enhancing prediction accuracy through a dual-discriminator strategy involving adversarial loss and displacement loss. The risk detection module applies an elliptical buffer zone algorithm to perform dynamic spatial collision determination. Finally, a collision warning framework based on the Monte Carlo (MC) method is developed. Multiple sampled pedestrian trajectories are generated by applying Gaussian perturbations to the predicted mean trajectory and combined with vehicle trajectories and collision determination results to identify potential collision targets. Furthermore, the driver perception–braking time (TTM) is incorporated to estimate the joint collision probability and assist in warning decision-making. Simulation results show that the proposed warning method achieves an accuracy of 94.5% at unsignalized intersections, outperforming traditional Time-to-Collision (TTC) and braking distance models, and effectively reducing missed and false warnings, thereby improving pedestrian traffic safety at unsignalized intersections.