Zahir Ahmad

Dr. Zahir Ahmad

Department of Geography, the Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Bahawalpur, Punjab, Pakistan
+1
orcid
Department of Geography & Geoinformatics, The Islamia Univer...

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
30 May 2022 in Land
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
KHKamal Hussain
Kamal Hussain
FRFazlur Rahman
Fazlur Rahman
IUIhsan Ullah
Ihsan Ullah
Zahir AhmadZahir Ahmad
Zahir Ahmad
USUdo Schickhoff
Udo Schickhoff
Deforestation in remote mountainous regions is considered to be one of the fundamental elements for triggering changes in the biophysical environment driven by various socioeconomic parameters, particularly population growth and road construction in a previously inaccessible environment. A sudden increase in population exerts adverse impacts on the local natural resources, specifically forests. The present study is conducted in Tribal District Kurram, located in the northwestern mountainous belt of Pakistan. This study is aimed to analyze the temporal pattern of deforestation and to explore the impacts of population growth and accessibility on forest cover. It is based on remotely sensed data, focused group discussions, interviews and field observations. The satellite images were processed and classified using ArcGIS and ERDAS IMAGINE. The time span of this study is 1972 to 2019, which is further divided into three periods. The results revealed that almost half (48%) of the forest cover was reduced in ca. five decades. However, considerable variation has been observed in the deforestation rate during the study period. The results of this study revealed that both population change and accessibility have played a vital role in the deforestation process.

29 October 2021 in Mountain Research and Development
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Zahir AhmadZahir Ahmad
Zahir Ahmad
JPJulio Cesar Postigo
Julio Cesar Postigo
FRFazlur Rahman
Fazlur Rahman
ADAndreas Dittmann
Andreas Dittmann
Pastoral social-ecological systems worldwide are threatened by environmental, climatic, and socioeconomic changes. The magnitude of these threats and their impacts is higher in mountain social-ecological systems. This study analyzes how mountain pastoralists in Lotkuh Valley (Chitral, Pakistan) use their rangelands in changing social, environmental, and climatic contexts. Data were collected from a survey, focus groups, and observations through multistage stratified sampling and extensive fieldwork (2016–2019). The findings reveal that the strategy adopted by mountain pastoralists combines 7 different grazing mechanisms and stall feeding to use spatially segregated and seasonally productive rangeland resources in a sustainable manner. These seasonal mechanisms involve different types of livestock mobility, diverse fodder consumption, and grazing patterns. In winter, livestock are kept in stalls near the village. During spring, sheep and goats are taken to nearby low-lying pastures and meadows on a rotation basis. In summer, livestock and people move away from the village to settlements along a 3000 m elevational range to graze on the available pastures. Finally, in autumn, as the livestock descend, they browse intensively on stubble fields before the winter crops are planted. Furthermore, this strategy is based on the coordination of households' available labor force and pasture readiness. This study provides nuanced information on mountain pastoralists and rangeland management systems. The findings are useful for policymakers and practitioners in designing effective programs and policies to decrease the vulnerability and enhance the resilience of mountain social-ecological systems.

13 May 2021 in GeoJournal
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
NHNoor ul Haq
Noor ul Haq
FHFazlul Haq
Fazlul Haq
FRFazlur Rahman
Fazlur Rahman
ITIffat Tabssum
Iffat Tabssum
Zahir AhmadZahir Ahmad
Zahir Ahmad
ITInam Ullah Tariqi
Inam Ullah Tariqi

30 March 2020 in Erdkunde
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Zahir AhmadZahir Ahmad
Zahir Ahmad
FRFazlur Rahman
Fazlur Rahman
ADAndreas Dittmann
Andreas Dittmann
KHKamal Hussain
Kamal Hussain
III Ihsanullah
I Ihsanullah

7 May 2025 in Geosciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Zahir AhmadZahir Ahmad
Zahir Ahmad
Farhana AltafFarhana Altaf
Farhana Altaf
UKUlrich Kamp
Ulrich Kamp
FRFazlur Rahman
Fazlur Rahman
SMSher Muhammad Malik
Sher Muhammad Malik
Mountain regions are particularly sensitive and vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Over the past three decades, mountain temperatures have risen significantly faster than those in lowland areas. The Hindu Kush–Karakoram–Himalaya region, often referred to as the “water tower of Asia”, is the largest freshwater source outside the polar regions. However, it is currently undergoing cryospheric degradation as a result of climatic change. In this study, the Normalized Difference Glacier Index (NDGI) was calculated using Landsat and Sentinel satellite images. The results revealed that glaciers in Chitral, located in the Eastern Hindu Kush Mountains of Pakistan, lost 816 km2 (31%) of their total area between 1992 and 2022. On average, 27 km2 of glacier area was lost annually, with recession accelerating between 1997 and 2002 and again after 2007. Satellite analyses also indicated a significant increase in both maximum (+7.3 °C) and minimum (+3.6 °C) land surface temperatures between 1992 and 2022. Climate data analyses using the Mann–Kendall test, Theil–Sen Slope method, and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model showed a clear increase in air temperatures from 1967 to 2022, particularly during the summer months (June, July, and August). This warming trend is expected to continue until at least 2042. Over the same period, annual precipitation decreased, primarily due to reduced snowfall in winter. However, rainfall may have slightly increased during the summer months, further accelerating glacial melting. Additionally, the snowmelt season began consistently earlier. While initial glacier melting may temporarily boost water resources, it also poses risks to communities and economies, particularly through more frequent and larger floods. Over time, the remaining smaller glaciers will contribute only a fraction of the former runoff, leading to potential water stress. As such, monitoring glaciers, climate change, and runoff patterns is critical for sustainable water management and strengthening resilience in the region.
1

13 December 2022 in Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
NHNoor ul Haq
Noor ul Haq
George KontakiotisGeorge Kontakiotis
George Kontakiotis
HJHammad Tariq Janjuhah
Hammad Tariq Janjuhah
FRFazlur Rahman
Fazlur Rahman
ITIffat Tabassum
Iffat Tabassum
NJNaveed Jamal
Naveed Jamal
Forest cover in the Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) mountains of northern Pakistan has changed dramatically due to community dynamics such as population growth, household dynamics, and intensive economic activity for people’s livelihoods. Demographic development is one of the major factors influencing forest cover change in a previously sparsely populated environment. An abrupt upsurge in population exerts adverse effects on the local natural resources, specifically forests. The present research shows an increase in population from 1980 to 2017, the development of human settlements, and a long-term decline in forest cover. This study was conducted in the Palas valley in the HKH mountains using GIS and remote sensing (RS) technology. Analysis of the changes between 1980, 2000, and 2017 was done using ArcGIS and the maximum likelihood algorithm for supervised classification of Landsat MSS TM ETM+ and Sentinel 2A satellite images. We used Euclidean distances and buffer analysis techniques to identify that most changes occurred within 1 to 3 km of the settlement’s proximity in each period. We also found changes in forest cover to be much greater near settlements than elsewhere in the study area. According to the findings of the study, population explosion and other socio-economic factors have imposed excessive pressure on vegetation cover, resulting in the loss of 17,076 ha of forests in the remote Palas valley.