Highway bridges are one of the most vulnerable constituents of transportation networks when exposed to one or more natural hazards, such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tsunamis, and riverine floods. To facilitate and enhance prehazard and posthazard event mitigation and emergency response strategies of transportation systems and entire communities, probabilistic risk and resilience assessment methodologies have attracted increased attention recently. In this context, fragility and restoration models for highway bridges subjected to a range of hazards are essential tools for efficient and accurate quantification of risk and resilience. This paper provides a comprehensive review of state-of-the-art fragility and restoration models for typical highway bridge classes that are applicable for implementation in multihazard risk and resilience analyses of regional portfolios or transportation networks in the United States. An overview of key gaps in the literature is also presented to guide future research.
Coastal structures are subjected to multihazard events such as hurricanes which consist of hurricane-induced surge and waves as well as winds. Hurricanes are a common natural hazard in the United States and cause considerable damage every year, with resulting annualized losses in the United States in the tens of billions of dollars. Although improvements in construction practices have been notable over time for individual hazards, there is still a dearth of risk and damage prediction methods in the area of multiple hazards that are based on principles of mechanics. In this study, a methodology to develop multihazard damage fragilities is summarized and illustrated for a wood-frame residential-building archetype subjected to hurricane winds, storm surge, and waves. The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) requires new buildings along the US coastline to be constructed with the first finished floor set at an elevation that exceeds a minimum necessary elevation. Therefore, two different elevations are considered for the lowest horizontal structural member of the archetype to also examine its effect on damage fragilities. The developed multihazard fragilities are used to calculate the time-dependent probability of each damage state at a given location over the timeframe of an event, i.e., hurricane. In this regard, the spatial and temporal data of wind speeds, flood depths, and significant wave heights for Hurricane Ike are simulated by the ADCIRC + SWAN model (a tightly coupled version of the ADvanced CIRCulation model and the Simulating WAves Nearshore model for simulating the propagation of storm surge and waves from deep water to the coastal region). The performance of nonelevated and elevated archetypes is examined at different locations in southeast Texas for Hurricane Ike and a scenario of damage states predicted for this area for the elevated archetype.
Coastal communities exist on the front lines of diverse natural hazards and the growing impacts of climate change. While traditional strategies for dealing with coastal hazards have often involved the hardening or armoring of shorelines, more recent research and practice have demonstrated the value and cost-effectiveness of “living shorelines” and other ecosystem-based strategies for coastal protection. To explore potential relationships among geographic exposure (waterfront vs. inland), shoreline condition (armored vs. natural), and hazard concerns, we surveyed 583 waterfront and inland residents in the northern Gulf of Mexico. We found that overall concern for coastal hazards was similar across waterfront and inland residents, as well as among residents with both armored and natural shorelines. However, concern for specific hazards differed across these groups. Waterfront residents were significantly more concerned about major hurricanes and erosion than inland residents. Conversely, inland residents were more concerned with drought and flooding than waterfront residents. Among waterfront residents, specific hazard concerns were similar between residents with natural and armored shorelines with two key exceptions. Residents with armored shorelines reported higher concern for erosion and sea level rise than residents with natural shorelines. Our results suggest that armored shorelines do not necessarily alleviate concerns about coastal hazards. In the context of balancing social and ecological objectives in addressing coastal hazards or adapting to climate change, understanding the perceptions and behaviors of coastal residents is essential for conserving and protecting coastal ecosystems along residential shorelines.
Webb, B.M. and Marr, C., 0000. Spatial variability of hydrodynamic timescales in a broad and shallow estuary: Mobile Bay, Alabama. Residence, exposure, and flushing times are examples of hydrodynamic timescales that describe the physical mass transport within a water body. The response and spatial variability of these measures to tides and discharge were investigated through hydrodynamic model simulations of Mobile Bay, Alabama using a two-dimensional depth-integrated circulation model coupled with a Lagrangian particle tracking model. Hydrodynamic timescales were estimated and analyzed using the particle tracking results. Flushing of the estuary was found to transition from tidally enhanced to river dominated for Q > 1715 m3 s−1. A simple power law regression was found to accurately represent the spatially averaged timescales (R2 > 0.99) for tidal and river forcing. Spatially averaged timescales generally ranged from 4 to 130 days, with large deviations related to particle initial position, magn...