Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide. A Machine Learning (ML) system can predict CVD in the early stages to mitigate mortality rates based on clinical data. Recently, many research works utilized different machine learning approaches to detect CVD or identify the patient’s severity level. Although these works obtained promising results, none focused on employing optimization methods to improve the ML model performance for CVD detection and severity-level classification. This study provides an effective method based on the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to handle imbalance distribution issue, six different ML classifiers to detect the patient status, and Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) to find the best hyperparameter for ML classifier together with SMOTE. Two public datasets were used to build and test the model using all features. The results show that SMOTE and Extra Trees (ET) optimized using hyperband achieved higher results than other models and outperformed the state-of-the-art works by achieving 99.2% and 98.52% in CVD detection, respectively. Also, the developed model converged to 95.73% severity classification using the Cleveland dataset. The proposed model can help doctors determine a patient’s current heart disease status. As a result, it is possible to prevent heart disease-related mortality by implementing early therapy.
Nowadays, photovoltaics (PV) has gained popularity among other renewable energy sources because of its excellent features. However, the instability of the system’s output has become a critical problem due to the high PV penetration into the existing distribution system. Hence, it is essential to have an accurate PV power output forecast to integrate more PV systems into the grid and to facilitate energy management further. In this regard, this paper proposes a stacked ensemble algorithm (Stack-ETR) to forecast PV output power one day ahead, utilizing three machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely, random forest regressor (RFR), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), as base models. In addition, an extra trees regressor (ETR) was used as a meta learner to integrate the predictions from the base models to improve the accuracy of the PV power output forecast. The proposed model was validated on three practical PV systems utilizing four years of meteorological data to provide a comprehensive evaluation. The performance of the proposed model was compared with other ensemble models, where RMSE and MAE are considered the performance metrics. The proposed Stack-ETR model surpassed the other models and reduced the RMSE by 24.49%, 40.2%, and 27.95% and MAE by 28.88%, 47.2%, and 40.88% compared to the base model ETR for thin-film (TF), monocrystalline (MC), and polycrystalline (PC) PV systems, respectively.
Since the deregulation of the power markets, accurate short term Electricity Price Forecasting (EPF) has become crucial in maximizing economic benefits and mitigating power market risks. Due to the challenging characteristics of electricity price, which comprise high volatility, rapid spike, and seasonality, developing robust machine learning prediction tools becomes cumbersome. This work proposes a new hybrid machine learning method for a day-ahead EPF, which involves linear regression Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) and ensemble bagging Extra Tree Regression (ETR) models. Considering that each model of EPF has its own strengths and weaknesses, combining several models gives more accurate predictions and overcomes the limitations of an individual model. Therefore, the linear ARD model is applied because it can efficiently deal with trend and seasonality variations; on the other hand, the ensemble ETR model is employed to learn from interactions, and thus combining ARD with ETR produces robust forecasting outcomes. The effectiveness of the proposed method was validated using a data set from the Nord Pool electricity market. The proposed model is compared with other models to demonstrate its superiority using performance matrices, such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Experiment results show that the proposed method achieves lower forecasting errors than other individual and hybrid models. Additionally, a comparative study has been performed against previous works, where forecasting measurement of the proposed method outperforms previous works’ accuracy in forecasting electricity price.
Heart disease is the leading cause of death worldwide. A Machine Learning (ML) system can detect heart disease in the early stages to mitigate mortality rates based on clinical data. However, the class imbalance and high dimensionality issues have been a persistent challenge in ML, preventing accurate predictive data analysis in many real-world applications, including heart disease detection. In this regard, this work proposes a new method to address these issues and improve the predict the presence of heart disease and patients’ survival, including supervised infinite feature selection (Inf-FS s ) to find the most significant features and Improved Weighted Random Forest (IWRF) to predict heart disease, and Bayesian optimization to tune the new hyperparameters for IWRF. Two public datasets, including Statlog and heart disease clinical records, were used to develop and validate the proposed model. The proposed model is compared with other hybrid models to show its superiority using performance metrics like accuracy and f-measure to evaluate the models’ performance. The results have shown that the proposed Inf-FS s -IWRF achieved better results than other models in attaining higher accuracy and F-measure on both datasets. Additionally, a comparative study has been performed to compare with previous studies, where the proposed model outperformed the others by an accuracy improvement of 2.4% and 4.6% on both datasets, respectively.
The massive environmental noise interference and insufficient effective sample degradation data of the intelligent fault diagnosis performance methods pose an extremely concerning issue. Realising the challenge of developing a facile and straightforward model that resolves these problems, this study proposed the One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN) based on frequency-domain signal processing. The Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) analysis is initially utilised to transform the signals from the time domain to the frequency domain; the data was represented using a phasor notation, which separates magnitude and phase and then fed to the 1D-CNN. Subsequently, the model is trained with White Gaussian Noise (WGN) to improve its robustness and resilience to noise. Based on the findings, the proposed model successfully achieved 100% classification accuracy from clean signals and simultaneously achieved considerable robustness to noise and exceptional domain adaptation ability. The diagnosis accuracy retained up to 97.37%, which was higher than the accuracy of the CNN without training under noisy conditions at only 43.75%. Furthermore, the model achieved an accuracy of up to 98.1% under different working conditions, which was superior to other reported models. In addition, the proposed model outperformed the state-of-art methods as the Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) was lowered to −10 dB achieving 97.37% accuracy. In short, the proposed 1D-CNN model is a promising effective rolling bearing fault diagnosis.