Aboveground biomass (AGB) of shrub communities in the desert is a basic quantitative characteristic of the desert ecosystem and an important index to measure ecosystem productivity and monitor desertification. An accurate and efficient method of predicting the AGB of a shrub community is essential for studying the spatial patterns and ecological functions of the desert region. Even though there are several entries in the literature on the AGB prediction of desert shrub communities using remote sensing data, the applicability and accuracy of airborne LiDAR data and prediction methods have not been well studied. We first extracted the elevation, density and intensity variables based on the airborne LiDAR, and then sample plot-level AGB prediction models were constructed using the parametric regression (nonlinear regression) and nonparametric methods (Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbor, Gradient Boosting Machine, and Multivariate adaptive regression splines). We evaluated accuracies of all the AGB prediction models we developed based on the fit statistics. Results showed that: (1) the elevation, density and intensity variables obtained from LiDAR point cloud data effectively predicted the AGB of the desert shrub community at a sample plot level, (2) the kappa coefficient of nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) model obtained was 0.6977 with an improvement by 13% due to the random effects included into the model, and (3) the nonparametric model, such as Support Vector Machine showed the best fit statistics (R² = 0.8992), which is 28% higher than the NLME-model, and effectively reduced the heteroscedasticity. The AGB prediction model presented in this paper, which is based on the airborne LiDAR data and machine learning algorithm, will provide a valuable tool to the managers and researchers for evaluating desert ecosystem productivity and monitoring desertification.

Research on the inversion of forest aboveground biomass based on airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) data focuses on finding the relationship between the two, such as established linear or nonlinear models. However, these models may have poorer estimation accuracy for tree-components biomass and cannot guarantee the additivity of each component. Therefore, we aimed to develop an error-in-variable biomass model system that ensures both the compatibility of the individual tree component biomass with the diameter at breast height and the additivity of component biomass. The system we developed used the airborne LiDAR data and field-measured data of principis-rupprechtii (Larix gmelinii var.) trees, collected from north China. Our model system not only ensured the additivity of nonlinear biomass models, it also accounted for the impact of measurement errors. We first selected the airborne LiDAR-derived variable with the highest contribution to the biomass of each component and then developed an inversion model system with that variable as an independent variable and with the biomass of each component as the dependent variable using allometric functions. Moreover, two model estimation methods, two-stage error (TSEM) and nonlinear seemingly unrelated regression (NSUR) with one-step, two-step, and summation methods, were also applied, and their performances were compared. The results showed that both NSUR-one-step and TSEM-one-step led to similar parameter estimates and performance for a system, and the fitting accuracy of a model system was not very attractive. The variance function included in a model system reduced the heteroscedasticity effectively and improved the model accuracy. Overall, this study successfully combined the error-in-variable modeling with the airborne LiDAR data, proposed methods that can be used for the extension of component biomass from an individual tree to a stand and that might improve the estimation accuracy of carbon storage. A compatible model system can be further improved if various sources of error in the variables are identified, and their impacts on the system are effectively accounted for.

Forest aboveground biomass (AGB) is not only the basis for forest carbon stock research, but also an important parameter for assessing the forest carbon cycle and ecological functions of forests. However, there are various uncertainties in the estimation process, limiting the accuracy of AGB estimation. Therefore, we extracted the spectral features, vegetation indices and texture factors from remote sensing images based on the field data and Landsat 8 OLI remote sensing images in Southern China to quantify the uncertainties. Then, we established three AGB estimation models, including K Nearest Neighbor Regression (KNN), Gradient Boosted Regression Tree (GBRT) and Random Forest (RF). Uncertainties at the plot scale and models were measured by using error equations to analyze the influences of uncertainties at different scales on AGB estimation. Results were as follows: (1) The R² of the per-tree biomass model for Cunninghamia lanceolata was 0.970, while the uncertainty of the residual and parameters for per-tree biomass model was 4.62% and 4.81%, respectively; and the uncertainty transferred to the plot scale was 3.23%. (2) The estimation methods had the most significant effects on the remote sensing models. RF was more accurate than other two methods, and had the highest accuracy (R² = 0.867, RMSE = 19.325 t/ha) and lowest uncertainty (5.93%), which outperformed both the KNN and GBRT models (KNN: R² = 0.368, RMSE = 42.314 t/ha, uncertainty = 14.88%; GBRT: R² = 0.636, RMSE = 32.056 t/ha, uncertainty = 6.3%). Compared to KNN and GBRT, the R² of RF was enhanced by 0.499 and 0.231, while the uncertainty was decreased by 8.95% and 0.37%, respectively. The uncertainty associated with the scale of remote sensing models remains the primary source of uncertainty when compared to the plot scale. On the remote sensing scale, RF is the model with the best estimation effect. This study examines the impact of both plot-scale and remote sensing model-scale methodologies on the estimation of AGB for Cunninghamia lanceolata. The findings aim to offer valuable insights and considerations for enhancing the accuracy of AGB estimations.

This study focused on 16,101 Cunninghamia lanceolata trees across 133 plots in seven cities of Guangdong Province, China, to develop a comprehensive full growth cycle crown width (CW) model. We systematically analyzed the dynamic characteristics of CW and its multi-scale influencing mechanisms. A binary basic model, with the diameter at breast height (DBH) and height (H) as core predictor variables, effectively reflected tree growth patterns. The inclusion of age groups as dummy variables allowed the model to capture the dynamic changes in CW across different growth stages. Furthermore, the incorporation of a nested two-level nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) model, accounting for random effects from the forest block- and sample plot-level effects, significantly improved the precision and applicability of the final model (R² = 0.731, RMSE = 0.491). This model quantified both macro- and micro-level effects of region and plot on CW. Our findings showed that the two-level NLME model, incorporating tree age groups, optimally accounted for environmental heterogeneity and tree growth cycles, resulting in the best-fitting statistics. The proposed full growth cycle CW model effectively enhanced the model’s efficiency and predictive accuracy for Cunninghamia lanceolata, providing scientific support for the sustainable management and dynamic monitoring of plantation forests.

Accurate information of the fine-scale spatial patterns of trees and their interactions within a stand is critical for explaining the competition, health and vigor status, and future development of a stand. There are a number of indices which can show such patterns, but the stand spatial structure index is the most important. This index can be quantified based on the spatial information of trees (tree positions) within a stand and has paramount importance in identifying candidate trees to be thinned. This study develops a software tool (algorithm), which can conveniently and accurately estimate the stand spatial structure index. Our proposed algorithm considers the spatial relationships between a reference tree and its four adjacent trees, and computes the three most important stand structure indices (neighborhood comparison, uniform angle index and species mingling) using GIS (ArcEngine) and the C# programming language. The implementation of the developed algorithm (stand spatial structure index) shows that, for any reference tree assumed, its four adjacent trees identified by each of the three stand spatial structure indices (uniform angle index—UAI, mingling—M and neighborhood comparison—NC) are the same, indicating the consistency and accuracy between the three-stand spatial structural indices. For the same tree species in a forest stand, the computational results from each of the spatial structure indices used (UAI, M, NC) are also the same. Thus, the results of this algorithm developed in this study are consistent with that of the Winkelmass1.0 software (a type of software used to simulate stand spatial structure). As this article is based on the GIS technique, the computational results can be visually displayed and implemented on actual maps, making it more convenient and intuitive for forest management. The proposed approach will be useful for accurately identifying the trees to be thinned and helpful for maintaining the vigor stand structure. This study also demonstrates the implementation of the algorithm to the real-world data and proves that the computational process is simple and efficient. The application of this algorithm for the identification of trees to be thinned may help the stakeholders to focus their attention towards multi-functional forest management. The algorithm will also provide an important basis for optimizing thinning and maintaining well-structured forest stands.