This paper considers the problem of testing cross-sectional correlation in large panel data models with serially-correlated errors. It finds that existing tests for cross-sectional correlation encounter size distortions with serial correlation in the errors. To control the size, this paper proposes a modification of Pesaran’s Cross-sectional Dependence (CD) test to account for serial correlation of an unknown form in the error term. We derive the limiting distribution of this test as . The test is distribution free and allows for unknown forms of serial correlation in the errors. Monte Carlo simulations show that the test has good size and power for large panels when serial correlation in the errors is present.
COVID-19 has affected almost all sectors of the economy, including the real estate markets across different countries in the world. A rich body of literature has emerged in analyzing real estate market trends and revealing important information. However, few studies have used a spatial perspective to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on property values. The main purposes of this study are as follows: (1) to explore the spatial distribution and spatial patterns of housing price changes during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis in the U.S. real estate market and (2) to model the spatially nonstationary relationships between the housing price change and COVID-19 characteristics. We find that housing price changes differ across space and appear associated with the spatial distribution of the COVID-19 case rates. The housing market volatility is amplified by the uneven distribution of some socioeconomic factors. The spatially uneven housing price changes may bring an uneven spillover effect to the rest of the economy and lead to divergence in economic growth across different areas.
This paper introduces a novel distributionally robust mean-variance portfolio estimator based on the projection robust Wasserstein (PRW) distance. This approach addresses the issue of increasing conservatism of portfolio allocation strategies due to high-dimensional data. Our simulation results show the robustness of the PRW-based estimator in the presence of noisy data and its ability to achieve a higher Sharpe ratio than regular Wasserstein distances when dealing with a large number of assets. Our empirical study also demonstrates that the proposed portfolio estimator outperforms classic “plug-in” methods using various covariance estimators in terms of risk when evaluated out of sample.
1 July 1991 in Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting