Demand Side Management (DSM) is a cost-effective approach to managing electricity networks, aimed at reducing capacity requirements and costs, increasing the penetration of renewable generation, and reducing power system emissions. This review article explores the distinctive characteristics of electricity demand in the industrial, commercial, and residential sectors, and their relationship to successful implementation of DSM. The constraints and considerations for DSM are characterized as technical, economic, and behavioral factors, such as process requirements, business operation constraints, and consumer decisions, respectively. By considering all three types of factors and their impacts in each sector, this review contributes novel insights that can inform the future implementation of DSM. DSM in the industrial and commercial sectors is found to be primarily constrained by technical considerations, while DSM in the commercial sector is also subject to economic constraints. Conversely, residential demand is found to be primarily constrained by human behavior and outcomes, highly variable, and the largest contributor to peak demand. This review identifies sector-specific opportunities to enhance DSM uptake. Industrial DSM uptake will benefit from technological and process improvements; commercial DSM uptake can benefit from enhanced economic incentivization; and residential DSM uptake can benefit from improved understanding of the interactions between human behavior, human outcomes, and energy use. Finally, this review investigates behavioral models and concludes that agent-based models are best suited for integrating these interactions into energy models, thereby driving the uptake of DSM, particularly in the important residential sector.

The targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, combined with increased electrification and the increased use of intermittent renewable energy sources, create significant challenges in matching supply and demand within distribution grid constraints. Demand response (DR) can shift electricity demand to align with constraints, reducing peak loads and increasing the utilisation of renewable generation. In countries like Aotearoa (New Zealand), peak loads are driven primarily by the residential sector, which is a prime candidate for DR. However, traditional deterministic and stochastic models do not account for the important variability in behavioural-driven residential demand and thus cannot be used to design or optimise DR. This paper presents a behavioural agent-based model (ABM) of residential electricity demand, which is validated using real electricity demand data from residential distribution transformers owned by Powerco, an electricity distributor in Aotearoa (New Zealand). The model accurately predicts demand in three neighbourhoods and matches the changes caused by seasonal variation, as well as the effects of COVID-19 lockdowns. The Pearson correlation coefficients between the median modelled and real demand are above 0.8 in 83% of cases, and the total median energy use variation is typically within 1–4%. Thus, this model provides a robust platform for network planning, scenario analysis, and DR program design or optimisation.

To combat global warming, energy systems are transitioning to generation from renewable sources, such as wind and solar, which are sensitive to climate conditions. While their output is expected to be little affected by global warming, wind, and solar electricity generation could be affected by more drastic climatic changes, such as abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios (ASRSs) caused by nuclear war (“nuclear winter”) or supervolcanic eruptions (“volcanic winter”). This paper assesses the impacts of an ASRS on global energy supply and security in a 100% renewable energy scenario. National generation mixes are determined according to roadmaps for a global transition to renewable energy, with wind and solar contributing a combined 94% of the global energy supply. Wind and solar generation are determined for a baseline climate and an ASRS following a large-scale nuclear exchange. While effects vary by country, overall wind and solar generation are expected to reduce by 59% in the first year following an ASRS, requiring over a decade for full recovery. Ensuring sufficient energy for everyone’s critical needs, including water, food, and building heating/cooling, would require international trade, resilient food production, and/or resilient energy sources, such as wood, geothermal, nuclear power, tidal power, and hydropower.

Level of detail (LoD) is an important factor in urban building energy modelling (UBEM), affecting functionality and accuracy. This work assesses the impacts of the LoD of the roof, window, and zoning on a comprehensive range of outcomes (annual heating load, peak heating demand, overheating, and time-series heating error) in a representative New Zealand house. Lower-LoD roof scenarios produce mean absolute error results ranging from 1.5% for peak heating power to 99% for overheating. Windows and shading both affect solar gains, so lower-LoD windows and/or shading elements can considerably reduce model accuracy. The LoD of internal zoning has the greatest effect on time-series accuracy, producing mean absolute heating error of up to 66 W. These results indicate that low-LoD “shoebox” models, common in UBEM, can produce significant errors which aggregate at scale. Accurate internal zoning models and accurate window size and placement have the greatest potential for error reduction, but their implementation is limited at scale due to data availability and automation barriers. Conversely, modest error reductions can be obtained via simple model improvements, such as the inclusion of eaves and window border shading. Overall, modellers should select LoD elements according to specific accuracy requirements.