COVID-19 is a pandemic that has affected over 170 countries around the world. The number of infected and deceased patients has been increasing at an alarming rate in almost all the affected nations. Forecasting techniques can be inculcated thereby assisting in designing better strategies and in taking productive decisions. These techniques assess the situations of the past thereby enabling better predictions about the situation to occur in the future. These predictions might help to prepare against possible threats and consequences. Forecasting techniques play a very important role in yielding accurate predictions. This study categorizes forecasting techniques into two types, namely, stochastic theory mathematical models and data science/machine learning techniques. Data collected from various platforms also play a vital role in forecasting. In this study, two categories of datasets have been discussed, i.e., big data accessed from World Health Organization/National databases and data from a social media communication. Forecasting of a pandemic can be done based on various parameters such as the impact of environmental factors, incubation period, the impact of quarantine, age, gender and many more. These techniques and parameters used for forecasting are extensively studied in this work. However, forecasting techniques come with their own set of challenges (technical and generic). This study discusses these challenges and also provides a set of recommendations for the people who are currently fighting the global COVID-19 pandemic.
1 June 2022 in Journal of King Saud University Computer and Information Sciences
Nowadays, with the improvement in communication through social network services, a massive amount of data is being generated from user's perceptions, emotions, posts, comments, reactions, etc., and extracting significant information from those massive data, like sentiment, has become one of the complex and convoluted tasks. On other hand, traditional Natural Language Processing (NLP) approaches are less feasible to be applied and therefore, this research work proposes an approach by integrating unsupervised machine learning (Self-Organizing Map), dimensionality reduction (Principal Component Analysis) and computational classification (Adam Deep Learning) to overcome the problem. Moreover, for further clarification, a comparative study between various well known approaches and the proposed approach was conducted. The proposed approach was also used in different sizes of social network data sets to verify its superior efficient and feasibility, mainly in the case of Big Data. Overall, the experiments and their analysis suggest that the proposed approach is very promissing.