We investigate inverse problems of finding unknown parameters of mathematical models SEIR-HCD and SEIR-D of COVID-19 spread with additional information about the number of detected cases, mortality, self-isolation coefficient, and tests performed for the city of Moscow and Novosibirsk region since 23.03.2020. In SEIR-HCD the population is divided into seven groups, and in SEIR-D into five groups with similar characteristics and transition probabilities depending on the specific region of interest. An identifiability analysis of SEIR-HCD is made to reveal the least sensitive unknown parameters as related to the additional information. The parameters are corrected by minimizing some objective functionals which is made by stochastic methods (simulated annealing, differential evolution, and genetic algorithm). Prognostic scenarios for COVID-19 spread in Moscow and in Novosibirsk region are developed, and the applicability of the models is analyzed.
In this paper, we consider the Gelfand–Levitan–Marchenko–Krein approach. It is used for solving a variety of inverse problems, like inverse scattering or inverse problems for wave-type equations in both spectral and dynamic formulations. The approach is based on a reduction of the problem to the set of integral equations. While it is used in a wide range of applications, one of the most famous parts of the approach is given via the inverse scattering method, which utilizes solving the inverse problem for integrating the nonlinear Schrodinger equation. In this work, we present a short historical review that reflects the development of the approach, provide the variations of the method for 1D and 2D problems and consider some aspects of numerical solutions of the corresponding integral equations.