This paper investigates the impact of trajectory predictor performance on the encounter probability generated by an adaptive conflict detection tool and examines the flexibility of the tool dependent on its adjustable thresholds, using historical radar track data. To achieve these objectives, two figures of merit were proposed: System Dynamic Range and System Tuning Envelope. To examine the conflict detection’s performance variability under different uncertainty levels and predictor types, simple multi-horizon trajectory predictors trained with two machine learning techniques of different characteristics are assessed at various look-ahead times: extreme gradient boosting with a discrete nature and a multi-layer perceptron regressor with a continuous nature. The results highlight the interdependence between the performances of the trajectory predictor and the conflict detector, and the quantification of this relationship can be represented through a sigmoid function. In addition, the two proposed figures of merit are effective for selecting suitable operating points in an adaptive conflict detector, based on dynamic thresholds and the performance requirements necessary for the trajectory predictors to achieve the expected detection performance at different look-ahead time.
This paper presents the development and implementation of a psychological model aimed at predicting the mental states of air traffic controllers (ATCOs). The proposed model aims to advance human–machine collaboration in air traffic management by enabling the precise prediction of critical operator cognitive and affective states, including mental workload, fatigue, stress, and attentional engagement. By formally integrating core cognitive processes—namely perception, comprehension, and decision-making—within its architecture, the model provides a principled framework for the continuous monitoring and real-time adaptation of support systems. Such adaptive capabilities are intended to optimize the allocation of assistance provided by artificial agents, thereby strengthening human–system coordination and contributing to enhanced operational safety and efficiency within the complex and highly dynamic environment of air traffic control. To estimate the parameters of the model, several air traffic simulations were conducted with expert controllers. In these simulations changes to traffic situations were introduced. Those changes could affect the controllers' mental states. The results of these changes were observed in the measured verbal and psychophysiological dependent variables. This paper presents results that partially validate the initial parameters of the models. These results will contribute to a future improvement of the model by refining the parameters of the proposed formulas for calculating mental workload, fatigue, stress, and vigilance in the air traffic control task.
This study examines improvements in local air quality and noise (LAQ&N) of the Landing and Take-Off cycle (LTO cycle) with the introduction of a hybrid electric/sustainable mid-range aircraft. Using Dortmund Airport as a case study, the results highlight significant environmental benefits. Future traffic scenarios estimate potential gains: INDIGO flights improve LAQ by up to 74% and noise impacts by 36%. When replacing 15% of the future traffic demand with INDIGO aircraft, up to a 3% benefit in LAQ&N can be expected. Full traffic replacement scenarios promise substantial environmental advantages, affirming the INDIGO aircrafts’ role in greener aviation.