Natural gas hydrates represent a promising clean energy source with vast reserves. Their efficient development is crucial for ensuring the sustainable advancement of human society. However, wellhead instability occurred in the long-term development, which poses a significant challenge that impacts its commercial development. In the present work, the properties of hydrate-bearing sediments were experimentally investigated. It was found that the elastic modulus, cohesion, and internal friction angle of hydrate-bearing sediments exhibit an increase with the effective stress. As an example, when the effective stress increases from 0 MPa to 25 MPa, the normalized elastic modulus exhibits a rise from 1.00 to 1.36. Conversely, the Poisson’s ratio, permeability, and porosity demonstrate a decline in accordance with this trend. As an example, both normalized porosity and permeability decrease to values below 0.40 as the effective stress increases to 25 MPa. Based on the experimental results and previous work, a comprehensive model for describing the effect of both hydrate saturation and effective stress on physical parameters was obtained. Subsequently, a multi-field coupled investigation methodology was developed to evaluate wellhead stability during the long-term development of hydrate-bearing sediments, and the evolution characteristics and mechanisms of wellhead instability were numerically explored. It reveals that development operation using the vertical wellbore decomposes hydrates in the surrounding sediments only within a radius of 19.52 m, which significantly undermines the wellhead stability. Moreover, the wellhead system not only sinks with sediment subsidence but also experiences additional sinking due to the failure of bonding between the wellhead system and sediments. Furthermore, the latter accounts for a significant portion, amounting to approximately 68.15% of the total sinking under the research conditions. This study can provide methodological prerequisites for exploring the impact of various factors on wellhead stability during the long-term hydrate development process.

Natural gas hydrates are a promising alternative energy source for oil and gas in the future. However, geomechanical issues, such as wellhead instability, may arise, affecting the safe and efficient development of hydrates. In the present work, a sensitivity analysis was performed on sediment subsidence and wellhead instability during the development of marine hydrates using a multi-field coupled model. This is accomplished by adjusting the corresponding parameters based on the basic data of the default case. Meanwhile, the corresponding influencing mechanisms were explored. Finally, design recommendations for operation parameters were proposed based on the research findings regarding wellhead stability. It was found that the wellhead undergoes rapid sinking during a certain period in the early stage of hydrate development, followed by a slower, continued sinking. The sensitivity analysis found that when the depressurization amplitude is small, the wellhead sinking is also minimal. To maintain wellhead stability during the development process, it is recommended that neither the depressurization amplitude or drawdown pressure exceed 3.0 MPa. Although a high heating temperature can increase gas production to some extent, the accompanying excessive hydrate dissociation may compromise the stability of both the formation and wellhead. To balance gas production and wellhead stability, it is recommended that the heating amplitude does not exceed 50 °C. In addition, the permeability influences the distribution of pore pressure, which in turn affects sediment subsidence and wellbore stability. Wellhead stability deteriorates as permeability increases. Therefore, it is crucial to accurately determine the reservoir characteristics (such as permeability) before developing hydrates to avoid wellhead instability. Finally, the investigation results reveal that using different versions of the investigation model can impact the accuracy of the results, and neglecting certain physical fields may lead to an underestimation of the wellhead sinking.

As we all know, development and utilization of clean energy is the only way for society to achieve its sustainable development. Although natural gas hydrates is a new type of clean energy, uncontrollable hydrate dissociation and accompanying methane leakage in drilling operation threaten drilling safety, as well as marine environment. However, the dissociation range of natural gas hydrates around wellbore cannot be reasonably determined in previous investigations, which may lead to the inaccurate estimation of borehole collapse and methane leakage. Then, the marine environment will be greatly damaged or affected. The purpose of the present work is to experimentally explore the dissociation characteristics of gas hydrates around wellbore in drilling operation and analyze the influence law and mechanism of various factors (such as hydrate saturation) on hydrate dissociation. It is expected to provide reference for exploring effective engineering measures to avoid the uncontrolled hydrate dissociation, borehole collapse and accompanying methane leakage. The experimental results demonstrate that acoustic velocity of hydrate-bearing sediment can be accurately expressed as quadratic polynomial of hydrate saturation, which is the theoretical basis for determination of hydrate saturation in subsequent experiments. Owing to the fact that hydrate dissociation is an endothermic reaction, hydrate dissociation gradually slows down in experiment. Throughout the experiment, the maximum dissociation rate at the beginning of the experiment is 8.69 times that at the end of the experiment. In addition, sensitivity analysis found that the increase in the stabilizer concentration in drilling fluid can inhibit hydrate dissociation more effectively than the increase in the hydrate saturation. Hydrate dissociation was completely inhibited when the concentration of soybean lecithin exceeds 0.60wt%, but hydrate dissociation definitely occurs in the near-wellbore region no matter what hydrate saturation is. In this way, based on the requirements of drilling safety and/or environment protection, hydrate dissociation and accompanying methane leakage can be controlled by designing and adjusting the stabilizer concentration in drilling fluid.

Stress damage of shale during the uniaxial loading process will cause the change of permeability. The study of stress sensitivity of shale has focused on the influence of confining pressure on shale permeability and the change of shale permeability during the loading process of axial stress is lacking. The permeability of gas shale during loading process was tested. The results show that shale damage macroscopically reflects the process of axial micro-cracks generation and expansion, and the axial micro-cracks will cause permeability change during the loading process. There is a good corresponding relationship between damage development and micro-crack expansion during the process of shale loading. The damage factor will increase in the linear elastic stage and enlarge rapidly after entering the stage of unstable micro-crack expansion, and the permeability of shale increases with the increasing of shale damage. The research results provide a reliable test basis for further analysis of the borehole instability and hydraulic fracture mechanisms in shale gas reservoirs.