Climate change profoundly alters land use in alpine regions, and delving into the evolutionary characteristics of these changes is crucial for the sustainable development of regional land resources and the gradual enhancement of the ecological environment. Taking the source region of the Yangtze and Yellow River (SRYAYE) as a case study, we integrate permafrost and snowfall data into the Future Land Use Simulation model (FLUS). Analyzing historical land use, we predict and simulate the land use scenarios for 2030, 2035, and 2060 under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 climates, and conduct a detailed analysis of the scale, composition, and pattern of land use in this area. Scale. The results showed that ① the Kappa coefficient of the improved FLUS model was higher than 0.927, and that the overall accuracy of the simulation was increased by 2.64%; ② the area of forest land and the high-coverage grassland will increase in the future and the center of gravity will migrate to the west, and that the area of moderate and low-coverage grassland will slightly decrease but tend to become green to the west; and ③ the fragmentation degree of the SRYAYE is decreasing, and the influence of human activities on the landscape pattern is weaker than in the past.
Urban flooding is increasing due to climate change and the expansion of impervious land surfaces. Green roofs have recently been identified as effective solutions for mitigating urban stormwater. However, discharge routes that involve receiving catchments of stormwater runoff from roofs to mitigate high flows have been limited. Thus, a hydrological model was constructed to investigate the effects of changing discharge routes on stormwater flow. Three hypothetical scenarios were assessed using various combinations of discharge routes and roof types. The reduction effects on outflow and overflow were identified and evaluated across six return periods of designed rainstorms in the Tai Hung Tulip House community in Beijing. The results showed that green roofs, together with the discharge routes connecting to pervious catchments, were effective in reducing peak flow (13.9–17.3%), outflow volume (16.3–27.3%), drainage overflow frequency, and flood duration. Although mitigation can be improved by considering discharge routes, it is limited compared to that achieved by the effects of green roofs. However, integrating green roofs and discharge routes can improve community resilience to rainstorms with longer return periods. These results provide useful information for effective design of future stormwater mitigation and management strategies in small-scale urban areas.
13 January 2026 in Journal of Environmental Management
Climate change has resulted in an increase in extreme rainstorm events, posing the challenges of urban waterlogging and runoff pollution. Low Impact Development (LID) is widely used to address the issues above, but its effectiveness is unknown in mountainous areas. Due to a flash flood and high flood peak, storage pumping stations are also needed to drain. Thus, a framework composed of storage pumping stations and Low Impact Developments (LIDs) was proposed based on the topography and the regional upstream and downstream relationships. The water quantity in this framework is applied to YI County in Hebei Province, China. The results showed that individual LIDs effectively reduced runoff volume, with the implementation area being more crucial than the location. Combining storage pumping stations with LIDs significantly reduces peak outflow and delays it by 5 to 51 min. The combined downstream implementation of storage pumping stations and LIDs yielded the most effective results. These findings offer important insights and management strategies for controlling waterlogging in mountainous cities of developing countries.
The ongoing warming–wetting trend is profoundly reshaping water and land resources (WLR) in alpine regions, challenging their ecological functions. Focusing on the Yellow River source region above Huangheyan Station, we developed a synergistic WLR allocation framework explicitly oriented towards ecological function enhancement. We systematically assessed the spatiotemporal evolution of WLR and key ecological functions from 2000 to 2020, and projected future dynamics for 2030–2060 under four SSP scenarios. A multi-objective optimization model was established to minimize water shortage, maximize water conservation capacity (WCC), maximize vegetation water use efficiency (WUE), and minimize soil erosion amount (SEA), solved using the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II algorithm (NSGA-II). The results indicate significant ecological improvements over the past two decades (Net Primary Production (NPP) +14.3%, WCC +67.9%, SEA −34.1%). Critically, the optimized allocation schemes demonstrated substantial benefits across all future scenarios, enhancing WCC by 4.6–20.2%, improving WUE by 0.6–10.7%, and reducing SEA by 3.9–9.1%. This study offers a useful reference for coordinating ecological conservation and resource management in climate-sensitive and ecologically fragile alpine regions.