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Sonja Simon
Institute of Networked Energy Systems, German Aerospace Centre (DLR), 70563 Stuttgart, Germany

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Journal article
Published: 07 May 2021 in Sustainability
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Sustainable development embraces a broad spectrum of social, economic and ecological aspects. Thus, a sustainable transformation process of energy systems is inevitably multidimensional and needs to go beyond climate impact and cost considerations. An approach for an integrated and interdisciplinary sustainability assessment of energy system transformation pathways is presented here. It first integrates energy system modeling with a multidimensional impact assessment that focuses on life cycle-based environmental and macroeconomic impacts. Then, stakeholders’ preferences with respect to defined sustainability indicators are inquired, which are finally integrated into a comparative scenario evaluation through a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), all in one consistent assessment framework. As an illustrative example, this holistic approach is applied to the sustainability assessment of ten different transformation strategies for Germany. Applying multi-criteria decision analysis reveals that both ambitious (80%) and highly ambitious (95%) carbon reduction scenarios can achieve top sustainability ranks, depending on the underlying energy transformation pathways and respective scores in other sustainability dimensions. Furthermore, this research highlights an increasingly dominant contribution of energy systems’ upstream chains on total environmental impacts, reveals rather small differences in macroeconomic effects between different scenarios and identifies the transition among societal segments and climate impact minimization as the most important stakeholder preferences.

ACS Style

Tobias Naegler; Lisa Becker; Jens Buchgeister; Wolfgang Hauser; Heidi Hottenroth; Tobias Junne; Ulrike Lehr; Oliver Scheel; Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele; Sonja Simon; Claudia Sutardhio; Ingela Tietze; Philip Ulrich; Tobias Viere; Anke Weidlich. Integrated Multidimensional Sustainability Assessment of Energy System Transformation Pathways. Sustainability 2021, 13, 5217 .

AMA Style

Tobias Naegler, Lisa Becker, Jens Buchgeister, Wolfgang Hauser, Heidi Hottenroth, Tobias Junne, Ulrike Lehr, Oliver Scheel, Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele, Sonja Simon, Claudia Sutardhio, Ingela Tietze, Philip Ulrich, Tobias Viere, Anke Weidlich. Integrated Multidimensional Sustainability Assessment of Energy System Transformation Pathways. Sustainability. 2021; 13 (9):5217.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Tobias Naegler; Lisa Becker; Jens Buchgeister; Wolfgang Hauser; Heidi Hottenroth; Tobias Junne; Ulrike Lehr; Oliver Scheel; Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele; Sonja Simon; Claudia Sutardhio; Ingela Tietze; Philip Ulrich; Tobias Viere; Anke Weidlich. 2021. "Integrated Multidimensional Sustainability Assessment of Energy System Transformation Pathways." Sustainability 13, no. 9: 5217.

Journal article
Published: 09 April 2021 in Energies
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It is still possible to comply with the Paris Climate Agreement to maintain a global temperature ‘well below +2.0 °C’ above pre-industrial levels. We present two global non-overshoot pathways (+2.0 °C and +1.5 °C) with regional decarbonization targets for the four primary energy sectors—power, heating, transportation, and industry—in 5-year steps to 2050. We use normative scenarios to illustrate the effects of efficiency measures and renewable energy use, describe the roles of increased electrification of the final energy demand and synthetic fuels, and quantify the resulting electricity load increases for 72 sub-regions. Non-energy scenarios include a phase-out of net emissions from agriculture, forestry, and other land uses, reductions in non-carbon greenhouse gases, and land restoration to scale up atmospheric CO2 removal, estimated at −377 Gt CO2 to 2100. An estimate of the COVID-19 effects on the global energy demand is included and a sensitivity analysis describes the impacts if implementation is delayed by 5, 7, or 10 years, which would significantly reduce the likelihood of achieving the 1.5 °C goal. The analysis applies a model network consisting of energy system, power system, transport, land-use, and climate models.

ACS Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler; Johannes Pagenkopf; Özcan Deniz; Bent Van Den Adel; Kate Dooley; Malte Meinshausen. It Is Still Possible to Achieve the Paris Climate Agreement: Regional, Sectoral, and Land-Use Pathways. Energies 2021, 14, 2103 .

AMA Style

Sven Teske, Thomas Pregger, Sonja Simon, Tobias Naegler, Johannes Pagenkopf, Özcan Deniz, Bent Van Den Adel, Kate Dooley, Malte Meinshausen. It Is Still Possible to Achieve the Paris Climate Agreement: Regional, Sectoral, and Land-Use Pathways. Energies. 2021; 14 (8):2103.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler; Johannes Pagenkopf; Özcan Deniz; Bent Van Den Adel; Kate Dooley; Malte Meinshausen. 2021. "It Is Still Possible to Achieve the Paris Climate Agreement: Regional, Sectoral, and Land-Use Pathways." Energies 14, no. 8: 2103.

Journal article
Published: 06 October 2020 in Sustainability
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In order to analyse long-term transformation pathways, energy system models generally focus on economical and technical characteristics. However, these models usually do not consider sustainability aspects such as environmental impacts. In contrast, life cycle assessment enables an extensive estimate of those impacts. Due to these complementary characteristics, the combination of energy system models and life cycle assessment thus allows comprehensive environmental sustainability assessments of technically and economically feasible energy system transformation pathways. We introduce FRITS, a FRamework for the assessment of environmental Impacts of Transformation Scenarios. FRITS links bottom-up energy system models with life cycle impact assessment indicators and quantifies the environmental impacts of transformation strategies of the entire energy system (power, heat, transport) over the transition period. We apply the framework to conduct an environmental assessment of multi-sectoral energy scenarios for Germany. Here, a ‘Target’ scenario reaching 80% reduction of energy-related direct CO2 emissions is compared with a ‘Reference’ scenario describing a less ambitious transformation pathway. The results show that compared to 2015 and the ‘Reference’ scenario, the ‘Target’ scenario performs better for most life cycle impact assessment indicators. However, the impacts of resource consumption and land use increase for the ‘Target’ scenario. These impacts are mainly caused by road passenger transport and biomass conversion.

ACS Style

Tobias Junne; Sonja Simon; Jens Buchgeister; Maximilian Saiger; Manuel Baumann; Martina Haase; Christina Wulf; Tobias Naegler. Environmental Sustainability Assessment of Multi-Sectoral Energy Transformation Pathways: Methodological Approach and Case Study for Germany. Sustainability 2020, 12, 8225 .

AMA Style

Tobias Junne, Sonja Simon, Jens Buchgeister, Maximilian Saiger, Manuel Baumann, Martina Haase, Christina Wulf, Tobias Naegler. Environmental Sustainability Assessment of Multi-Sectoral Energy Transformation Pathways: Methodological Approach and Case Study for Germany. Sustainability. 2020; 12 (19):8225.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Tobias Junne; Sonja Simon; Jens Buchgeister; Maximilian Saiger; Manuel Baumann; Martina Haase; Christina Wulf; Tobias Naegler. 2020. "Environmental Sustainability Assessment of Multi-Sectoral Energy Transformation Pathways: Methodological Approach and Case Study for Germany." Sustainability 12, no. 19: 8225.

Journal article
Published: 12 June 2020 in Energies
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The accelerated urbanization and industrialization in China is leading to major challenges due to rising energy demand and emissions. Cities in particular play an important role in the decision-making and implementation processes for the energy transition. However, they often have only limited local energy potential and are heavily dependent on supply regions. We therefore assess how a predominantly renewable power supply can be implemented based on the availability of local or imported renewable resources. We present a case study in which an advanced energy system model is parametrized and applied to address questions which are relevant to the transformation of the energy system in China. The model is capable of simultaneously optimizing investment decisions and hourly power balances of a scenario year, taking into account different storage technologies, regional power exchange and policy constraints such as carbon cap, carbon price and renewable portfolio standards. The study takes the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region with Inner Mongolia as a supply region—considered as exemplary regions characterized by heterogeneous infrastructures, resources and consumption—as its model. Starting from a context-related normative energy scenario, we analyze a possible future electricity system under various assumptions using the Renewable Energy Mix (REMix) energy system model developed at the DLR (German Aerospace Center). Depending on the estimated potentials of renewable energies, technology costs and the projected electricity demand, the metropolitan region is mainly supplied with imported wind and solar power. A sensitivity analysis considers installed capacities, annual generation, CO2 emissions and costs. The results indicate that the assumption of storage costs is of great importance for the future total costs of an electricity system. Variations in other parameters led to different generation portfolios with similar system costs. Our results provide insights into future regional infrastructure needs, and underline the importance of regional coordination and governance for the energy transition in China.

ACS Style

Mengzhu Xiao; Manuel Wetzel; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Yvonne Scholz. Modeling the Supply of Renewable Electricity to Metropolitan Regions in China. Energies 2020, 13, 1 .

AMA Style

Mengzhu Xiao, Manuel Wetzel, Thomas Pregger, Sonja Simon, Yvonne Scholz. Modeling the Supply of Renewable Electricity to Metropolitan Regions in China. Energies. 2020; 13 (12):1.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Mengzhu Xiao; Manuel Wetzel; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Yvonne Scholz. 2020. "Modeling the Supply of Renewable Electricity to Metropolitan Regions in China." Energies 13, no. 12: 1.

Journal article
Published: 12 November 2019 in Energy Strategy Reviews
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The scenario analysis focuses on two metropolitan regions of eastern China which are characterized by high energy consumption and related CO2 emissions. Current policies are rather short-term driven and weak regarding sectoral coupling and regional integration. As in China economic activities and population on the one hand and renewable energy resources on the other have a very imbalanced distribution, long-term integrated energy system modelling needs to consider specific regional challenges of efficiency improvement, coal reduction, transport decarbonization and multi-sector electrification. Three scenarios are constructed, namely a Current Policy Scenario (CPS), Natural Gas & Nuclear Scenario (NGNS) and Renewable & Import Scenario (RIS) based on a normative storyline-and-modelling approach. The simulation results show that regional CO2 emissions could be significantly reduced in all sectors with the adjustment of economic structure, adopted efficiency measures, fuels to replace coal and oil products and multi-sector electrification supported by enhanced power import capacity. The scenario analysis provides insights for a strategic implementation of long-term integrated energy transition options towards decarbonization for metropolitan regions both from supply and demand sides.

ACS Style

Mengzhu Xiao; Sonja Simon; Thomas Pregger. Scenario analysis of energy system transition - A case study of two coastal metropolitan regions, eastern China. Energy Strategy Reviews 2019, 26, 100423 .

AMA Style

Mengzhu Xiao, Sonja Simon, Thomas Pregger. Scenario analysis of energy system transition - A case study of two coastal metropolitan regions, eastern China. Energy Strategy Reviews. 2019; 26 ():100423.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Mengzhu Xiao; Sonja Simon; Thomas Pregger. 2019. "Scenario analysis of energy system transition - A case study of two coastal metropolitan regions, eastern China." Energy Strategy Reviews 26, no. : 100423.

Chapter
Published: 02 February 2019 in Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement Goals
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Results for the 5.0 °C, 2.0 °C and 1.5 °C scenarios for ten world regions in regard to energy-related carbon-dioxide emissions, final-, primary-, transport- and heating demand and the deployment of various supply technologies to meet the demand. Furthermore, the electricity demand and generation scenarios are provided. The key results of a power sector analysis which simulates further electricity supply with high shares of solar- and wind power in one hour steps is provided. The ten world regions are divided into eight sub-regions and the expected development of loads, capacity-factors for various power plant types and storage demands are provided. This chapter contains more than 100 figures and tables.

ACS Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Tobias Naegler; Sonja Simon; Johannes Pagenkopf; Bent Van Den Adel; Özcan Deniz. Energy Scenario Results. Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement Goals 2019, 175 -401.

AMA Style

Sven Teske, Thomas Pregger, Tobias Naegler, Sonja Simon, Johannes Pagenkopf, Bent Van Den Adel, Özcan Deniz. Energy Scenario Results. Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement Goals. 2019; ():175-401.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Tobias Naegler; Sonja Simon; Johannes Pagenkopf; Bent Van Den Adel; Özcan Deniz. 2019. "Energy Scenario Results." Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement Goals , no. : 175-401.

Journal article
Published: 26 January 2019 in Energies
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With an expected accelerated urbanization process until 2050, China is facing big challenges of mitigating CO2 emissions, especially in the eastern coastal metropolitan regions. Since cities are the hubs for innovation regarding new technologies and infrastructures, investments and governance, they are playing an important role in decision-making and implementation processes on the way to a decarbonized economy and society. The national and provincial administrations in China have already started to address the issue of energy system transition toward a low-carbon pathway, but long-term integrated transition plans are not yet available on a regional level. In our paper, we therefore consider the main challenges of the energy system transition, such as efficiency improvement, coal reduction, decarbonization of transport, and multisector electrification with regional integration, focusing on two eastern coastal metropolitan regions of China. A systematic review of current near-term policies reveals how far these challenges have already been addressed on different administrative levels and which gaps may exist from an external perspective. Based on the current decision- and policy-making processes among national, regional, provincial and municipal levels, policy implications are identified with regard to an effective energy system transition in eastern China.

ACS Style

Mengzhu Xiao; Sonja Simon; Thomas Pregger. Energy System Transitions in the Eastern Coastal Metropolitan Regions of China—The Role of Regional Policy Plans. Energies 2019, 12, 389 .

AMA Style

Mengzhu Xiao, Sonja Simon, Thomas Pregger. Energy System Transitions in the Eastern Coastal Metropolitan Regions of China—The Role of Regional Policy Plans. Energies. 2019; 12 (3):389.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Mengzhu Xiao; Sonja Simon; Thomas Pregger. 2019. "Energy System Transitions in the Eastern Coastal Metropolitan Regions of China—The Role of Regional Policy Plans." Energies 12, no. 3: 389.

Journal article
Published: 01 August 2018 in Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments
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ACS Style

Tobias Naegler; Sonja Simon. Potential for residual load balancing of a frozen food manufacturing plant – A heuristic approach. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments 2018, 28, 43 -53.

AMA Style

Tobias Naegler, Sonja Simon. Potential for residual load balancing of a frozen food manufacturing plant – A heuristic approach. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments. 2018; 28 ():43-53.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Tobias Naegler; Sonja Simon. 2018. "Potential for residual load balancing of a frozen food manufacturing plant – A heuristic approach." Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments 28, no. : 43-53.

Journal article
Published: 12 April 2018 in Energies
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Newly industrialized countries face major challenges to comply with the Paris Treaty targets as economic growth and prosperity lead to increasing energy demand. Our paper analyses technological and structural options in terms of energy efficiency and renewable energies for a massive reduction of energy-related CO2 emissions in Latin America. Brazil and Mexico share similar growth prospects but differ significantly with respect to renewable energy potentials. We identify, how this leads to different transformation pathways. By applying an energy system balancing model we develop normative energy system transformation scenarios across the heating, power, and mobility sectors, including their potential interactions. The normative scenarios rely on three basic strategies for both countries: (1) strong exploitation of efficiency potentials; (2) tapping the renewable energy potentials; and (3) sector coupling and electrification of heat supply and transport. Despite economic growth, significant CO2 emission reductions could be achieved in Brazil from 440 Gt/a (2.2 t/cap) in 2012 to 0.4 Gt (2 kg/cap) in 2050 and in Mexico from 400 Gt/a (3.3 t/cap) to 80 Gt (0.5 t/cap). Our study shows the gap between existing policy and scenarios and our strategies, which provide an economically feasible way to comply with the Paris treaty targets.

ACS Style

Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler; Hans Christian Gils. Transformation towards a Renewable Energy System in Brazil and Mexico—Technological and Structural Options for Latin America. Energies 2018, 11, 907 .

AMA Style

Sonja Simon, Tobias Naegler, Hans Christian Gils. Transformation towards a Renewable Energy System in Brazil and Mexico—Technological and Structural Options for Latin America. Energies. 2018; 11 (4):907.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler; Hans Christian Gils. 2018. "Transformation towards a Renewable Energy System in Brazil and Mexico—Technological and Structural Options for Latin America." Energies 11, no. 4: 907.

Journal article
Published: 01 February 2018 in Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
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ACS Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler. High renewable energy penetration scenarios and their implications for urban energy and transport systems. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 2018, 30, 89 -102.

AMA Style

Sven Teske, Thomas Pregger, Sonja Simon, Tobias Naegler. High renewable energy penetration scenarios and their implications for urban energy and transport systems. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. 2018; 30 ():89-102.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler. 2018. "High renewable energy penetration scenarios and their implications for urban energy and transport systems." Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 30, no. : 89-102.

Journal article
Published: 13 November 2017 in Energies
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With its abundance of renewable energy potentials, not only for hydropower and bioenergy, but also for wind and solar, Brazil provides good prospects for a carbon neutral energy system. The role of an enhanced coupling of the power, heat and transport sectors in such systems is not yet fully understood. This paper analyses the least-cost composition and operation of a fully renewable power supply system as part of a carbon neutral energy supply in Brazil. It relies on the application of the high-resolution energy system model REMix. Our analysis reveals that the expansion of wind and solar power is more cost-efficient than the construction of additional hydroelectric plants. This is favoured because the existing hydroelectric plants offer large capacity of dispatchable power to compensate for fluctuations, and thus no additional storage is necessary. Furthermore, the REMix analysis indicates that varying shares of solar and wind power technologies as well as the spatial distribution of power generation have only a small influence on supply costs. This implies that the transformation strategy in Brazil can be primarily based on other criteria such as regional development, public acceptance, environmental impact or industrial policy without major impacts on system costs.

ACS Style

Hans Christian Gils; Sonja Simon; Rafael Soria. 100% Renewable Energy Supply for Brazil—The Role of Sector Coupling and Regional Development. Energies 2017, 10, 1859 .

AMA Style

Hans Christian Gils, Sonja Simon, Rafael Soria. 100% Renewable Energy Supply for Brazil—The Role of Sector Coupling and Regional Development. Energies. 2017; 10 (11):1859.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Hans Christian Gils; Sonja Simon; Rafael Soria. 2017. "100% Renewable Energy Supply for Brazil—The Role of Sector Coupling and Regional Development." Energies 10, no. 11: 1859.

Journal article
Published: 01 February 2017 in Applied Energy
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As many other small islands and archipelagos, the Canary Islands depend to a high degree on energy imports. Despite its small surface, the archipelago has a high potential for renewable energy (RE) technologies. In this paper, we present a scenario pathway to a 100% RE supply in the Canary Islands by 2050. It relies on a back-casting approach linking the bottom-up accounting framework Mesap-PlaNet and the high resolution power system model REMix. Our analysis shows that locally available technology potentials are sufficient for a fully renewable supply of the islands’ power, heat, and land transport energy demands. To follow the pathway for achieving a carbon neutral supply, expansion of RE technology deployment needs to be accelerated in the short-term and efforts towards greater energy efficiency must be increased. According to our results, an extended linkage between energy sectors through electric vehicles as well as electric heating, and the usage of synthetic hydrogen can contribute notably to the integration of intermittent RE power generation. Furthermore, our results highlight the importance of power transmission in RE supply systems. Supply costs are found 15% lower in a scenario considering sea cable connections between all islands

ACS Style

Hans Christian Gils; Sonja Simon. Carbon neutral archipelago – 100% renewable energy supply for the Canary Islands. Applied Energy 2017, 188, 342 -355.

AMA Style

Hans Christian Gils, Sonja Simon. Carbon neutral archipelago – 100% renewable energy supply for the Canary Islands. Applied Energy. 2017; 188 ():342-355.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Hans Christian Gils; Sonja Simon. 2017. "Carbon neutral archipelago – 100% renewable energy supply for the Canary Islands." Applied Energy 188, no. : 342-355.

Book chapter
Published: 19 August 2011 in Risk Habitat Megacity
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Almost entirely dependent on energy imports from outside, cities are the key driving force behind the demand for energy, which is an essential resource for industries, households and services. Up to now, the Chilean energy system has met Santiago’s needs satisfactorily. However, development trends in the current energy system pose significant risks to its future. Using selected energy indicators and a distance-to-target approach, a detailed sustainability analysis of the energy sector in the Metropolitan Region of Santiago, and of Chile as a whole was conducted. Risks to the sustainable development of the energy sector were detected, such as increasing concentration in the energy sector, import dependency on fossil fuels and rising CO2 emissions due to energy consumption. Alternative options were assessed for a more sustainable development of the megacity Santiago within the frame of the national Chilean energy system, such as enhancement of energy efficiency and greater use of renewable energies.

ACS Style

Sonja Simon; Volker Stelzer; Luis Vargas; Gonzalo Paredes; Adriana Quintero; Jurgen Kopfmuller. Energy Systems. Risk Habitat Megacity 2011, 183 -205.

AMA Style

Sonja Simon, Volker Stelzer, Luis Vargas, Gonzalo Paredes, Adriana Quintero, Jurgen Kopfmuller. Energy Systems. Risk Habitat Megacity. 2011; ():183-205.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sonja Simon; Volker Stelzer; Luis Vargas; Gonzalo Paredes; Adriana Quintero; Jurgen Kopfmuller. 2011. "Energy Systems." Risk Habitat Megacity , no. : 183-205.

Book chapter
Published: 20 January 2011 in Environment & Policy
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The German government intends to cover the demand for primary energy by 16% of renewable energy in Germany in the year 2020, and to reduce CO2- emissions by 40% as opposed to the year 1990. One relevant CO2 emitter is energy sector which has a big potential to achieve this target. On the other hand, the demographic change will strongly influence the heat supply system, a part of the heat sector. The following chapter analyses the challenges that arise by the decreasing heat demand due to demographic change and the need for a modified heat supply system based on renewable energies to attain the given target. This is done by a spatial analysis using Geographical Information System taking into account the actual and future heat demand, the existing infrastructure stock and the potential of renewable energy (mainly solar, biomass and geothermal). The analysis shows that the decreasing heat demand in general is a critical precondition for network-bound heat supply infrastructure and that renewable energies can help in selected regions to provide CO2-neutral heat using existing or new district heat systems.

ACS Style

Christoph Schillings; Sonja Simon. The Potential for District Heating Based on Renewable Energy: A Spatial Analysis. Environment & Policy 2011, 147 -164.

AMA Style

Christoph Schillings, Sonja Simon. The Potential for District Heating Based on Renewable Energy: A Spatial Analysis. Environment & Policy. 2011; ():147-164.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Christoph Schillings; Sonja Simon. 2011. "The Potential for District Heating Based on Renewable Energy: A Spatial Analysis." Environment & Policy , no. : 147-164.

Journal article
Published: 06 November 2010 in Energy Efficiency
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The Energy [R]evolution 2010 scenario is an update of the Energy [R]evolution scenarios published in 2007 and 2008. It takes up recent trends in global energy demand and production and analyses to which extent this affects chances for achieving climate protection targets. The main target is to reduce global CO2 emissions to 3.7 Gt/a in 2050, thus limiting global average temperature increase to below 2°C and preventing dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. A ten-region energy system model is used for simulating global energy supply strategies. A review of sector and region specific energy efficiency measures resulted in the specification of a global energy demand scenario incorporating strong energy efficiency measures. The corresponding supply scenario has been developed in an iterative process in close cooperation with stakeholders and regional counterparts from academia, NGOs and the renewable energy industry. The Energy [R]evolution scenario shows that renewable energy can provide more than 80% of the world’s energy needs by 2050. Developing countries can virtually stabilise their CO2 emissions by 2025 and reduce afterwards, whilst at the same time increasing energy consumption due to economic growth. OECD countries will be able to reduce their emissions by up to 90% by 2050. However, without a comprehensive energy efficiency implementation strategy across all sectors, the renewable energy development alone will not be enough to make these drastic emissions cuts.

ACS Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler; Wina Crijns-Graus; Christine Lins. Energy [R]evolution 2010—a sustainable world energy outlook. Energy Efficiency 2010, 4, 409 -433.

AMA Style

Sven Teske, Thomas Pregger, Sonja Simon, Tobias Naegler, Wina Crijns-Graus, Christine Lins. Energy [R]evolution 2010—a sustainable world energy outlook. Energy Efficiency. 2010; 4 (3):409-433.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sven Teske; Thomas Pregger; Sonja Simon; Tobias Naegler; Wina Crijns-Graus; Christine Lins. 2010. "Energy [R]evolution 2010—a sustainable world energy outlook." Energy Efficiency 4, no. 3: 409-433.

Journal article
Published: 30 April 2009 in Biomass and Bioenergy
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This paper presents a model for analyzing the sustainable potential of agricultural biomass for energy production. Available land and residue potentials are assessed up to 2030 for Germany, Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary. Two scenarios are presented: a “business as usual” scenario is compared to a sustainability scenario. The latter implements a comprehensive sustainability strategy, taking also into account non-agricultural land use such as building activity and nature conservation. On the one hand our model quantifies the conflict of objectives between enhanced extensification in agriculture and increased area for nature conservation. On the other hand the synergies in restricting built up area and increased mobilisation of agricultural residues are assessed. Additionally the impact of reduced subsidized agricultural exports from the EU is calculated, also as an indicator for the influence of world food markets on bioenergy potentials. Our results show that the sustainable energy potential from agricultural biomass is strongly restricted for Germany and the Czech Republic compared to their energy demand. But in Poland and Hungary native agricultural biomass provides a much higher potential for energy supply, even if sustainability is comprehensively considered. However, this is strongly influenced by the amount of agricultural exports of each country. For bioenergy from agricultural cultivation to remain a sustainable option in the energy sector, its influence on the food markets must be respected more thoroughly and a comprehensive approach to sustainable development in land use is a prerequisite.

ACS Style

Sonja Simon; Kirsten Wiegmann. Modelling sustainable bioenergy potentials from agriculture for Germany and Eastern European countries. Biomass and Bioenergy 2009, 33, 603 -609.

AMA Style

Sonja Simon, Kirsten Wiegmann. Modelling sustainable bioenergy potentials from agriculture for Germany and Eastern European countries. Biomass and Bioenergy. 2009; 33 (4):603-609.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sonja Simon; Kirsten Wiegmann. 2009. "Modelling sustainable bioenergy potentials from agriculture for Germany and Eastern European countries." Biomass and Bioenergy 33, no. 4: 603-609.