Petr Stepanek

Dr. Petr Stepanek

Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Bělidla 986/4a, 603 00 Brno, Czech Republic
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

26Years (2001-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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12 December 2010 in Nature Geoscience
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MHMartin Hirschi
Martin Hirschi
SSSonia I. Seneviratne
Sonia I. Seneviratne
VAVesselin Alexandrov
Vesselin Alexandrov
FBFredrik Boberg
Fredrik Boberg
CBConstanta Boroneant
Constanta Boroneant
Petr StepanekPetr Stepanek
Petr Stepanek

10 January 2012 in Climate of the Past
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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VVV. K. C. Venema
V. K. C. Venema
OMO. Mestre
O. Mestre
EAEnric Aguilar
Enric Aguilar
IAI. Auer
I. Auer
JGJ. A. Guijarro
J. A. Guijarro
TBT. Brandsma
T. Brandsma
The COST (European Cooperation in Science and Technology) Action ES0601: advances in homogenization methods of climate series: an integrated approach (HOME) has executed a blind intercomparison and validation study for monthly homogenization algorithms. Time series of monthly temperature and precipitation were evaluated because of their importance for climate studies and because they represent two important types of statistics (additive and multiplicative). The algorithms were validated against a realistic benchmark dataset. The benchmark contains real inhomogeneous data as well as simulated data with inserted inhomogeneities. Random independent break-type inhomogeneities with normally distributed breakpoint sizes were added to the simulated datasets. To approximate real world conditions, breaks were introduced that occur simultaneously in multiple station series within a simulated network of station data. The simulated time series also contained outliers, missing data periods and local station trends. Further, a stochastic nonlinear global (network-wide) trend was added. Participants provided 25 separate homogenized contributions as part of the blind study. After the deadline at which details of the imposed inhomogeneities were revealed, 22 additional solutions were submitted. These homogenized datasets were assessed by a number of performance metrics including (i) the centered root mean square error relative to the true homogeneous value at various averaging scales, (ii) the error in linear trend estimates and (iii) traditional contingency skill scores. The metrics were computed both using the individual station series as well as the network average regional series. The performance of the contributions depends significantly on the error metric considered. Contingency scores by themselves are not very informative. Although relative homogenization algorithms typically improve the homogeneity of temperature data, only the best ones improve precipitation data. Training the users on homogenization software was found to be very important. Moreover, state-of-the-art relative homogenization algorithms developed to work with an inhomogeneous reference are shown to perform best. The study showed that automatic algorithms can perform as well as manual ones.

23 March 2018 in International Journal of Climatology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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JGJ. M. Gutiérrez
J. M. Gutiérrez
DMD. Maraun
D. Maraun
MWM. Widmann
M. Widmann
RHR. Huth
R. Huth
EHElke Hertig
Elke Hertig
CPChristian Pagé
Christian Pagé
VALUE is an open European collaboration to intercompare downscaling approaches for climate change research, focusing on different validation aspects (marginal, temporal, extremes, spatial, process‐based, etc.). Here we describe the participating methods and first results from the first experiment, using “perfect” reanalysis (and reanalysis‐driven regional climate model (RCM)) predictors to assess the intrinsic performance of the methods for downscaling precipitation and temperatures over a set of 86 stations representative of the main climatic regions in Europe. This study constitutes the largest and most comprehensive to date intercomparison of statistical downscaling methods, covering the three common downscaling approaches (perfect prognosis, model output statistics—including bias correction—and weather generators) with a total of over 50 downscaling methods representative of the most common techniques.Overall, most of the downscaling methods greatly improve (reanalysis or RCM) raw model biases and no approach or technique seems to be superior in general, because there is a large method‐to‐method variability. The main factors most influencing the results are the seasonal calibration of the methods (e.g., using a moving window) and their stochastic nature. The particular predictors used also play an important role in cases where the comparison was possible, both for the validation results and for the strength of the predictor–predictand link, indicating the local variability explained. However, the present study cannot give a conclusive assessment of the skill of the methods to simulate regional future climates, and further experiments will be soon performed in the framework of the EURO‐CORDEX initiative (where VALUE activities have merged and follow on).Finally, research transparency and reproducibility has been a major concern and substantive steps have been taken. In particular, the necessary data to run the experiments are provided at http://www.value‐cost.eu/data and data and validation results are available from the VALUE validation portal for further investigation: http://www.value‐cost.eu/validationportal.

12 June 2014 in International Journal of Climatology
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Journal Article
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JSJonathan Spinoni
Jonathan Spinoni
SSSandor Szalai
Sandor Szalai
TSTamás Szentimrey
Tamás Szentimrey
MLMonika Lakatos
Monika Lakatos
ZBZita Bihari
Zita Bihari
JVJürgen V. Vogt
Jürgen V. Vogt
The Carpathians are the longest mountain range in Europe and a geographic barrier between Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and the Balkans. To investigate the climate of the area, the CARPATCLIM project members collected, quality-checked, homogenized, harmonized, and interpolated daily data for 16 meteorological variables and many derived indicators related to the period 1961–2010. The principal outcome of the project is the Climate Atlas of the Carpathian Region, hosted on a dedicated website (www.carpatclim-eu.org) and made of high-resolution daily grids (0.1° × 0.1°) of all variables and indicators at different time steps. In this article, we analyze the spatial and temporal variability of 10 variables: minimum, mean, and maximum temperature, daily temperature range, precipitation, cloud cover, relative sunshine duration, relative humidity, surface air pressure, and wind speed at 2 m. For each variable, we present the gridded climatologies for the period 1961–2010 and discuss the linear trends both on an annual and seasonal basis. Temperature was found to increase in every season, in particular in the last three decades, confirming the trends occurring in Europe; wind speed decreased in every season; cloud cover and relative humidity decreased in spring, summer, and winter, and increased in autumn, while relative sunshine duration behaved in the opposite way; precipitation and surface air pressure showed no significant trend, though they increased slightly on an annual basis. We also discuss the correlation between the variables and we highlight that in the Carpathian Region positive and negative sunshine duration anomalies are highly correlated to the corresponding temperature anomalies during the global dimming (1960s and 1970s) and brightening (1990s and 2000s) periods.

1 March 2015 in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
VPVera Potopová
Vera Potopová
Petr StepanekPetr Stepanek
Petr Stepanek
MMMartin Možný
Martin Možný
LTLuboš Türkott
Luboš Türkott
Josef SoukupJosef Soukup
Josef Soukup

15 May 2013 in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Verified
Journal Article
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VPVera Potopová
Vera Potopová
CBConstanţa Boroneanţ
Constanţa Boroneanţ
MMMartin Možný
Martin Možný
Petr StepanekPetr Stepanek
Petr Stepanek
PSPetr Skalák
Petr Skalák