Xutong Sun

Xutong Sun


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

3Years (2024-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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12 December 2024 in Water
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
KFKaixiang Fu Kaixiang Fu
Kaixiang Fu Kaixiang Fu
XSXutong Sun
Xutong Sun
KCKai Chen
Kai Chen
LMLi Mo
Li Mo
WXWenjing Xiao
Wenjing Xiao
SLShuangquan Liu
Shuangquan Liu
The accuracy of monthly runoff predictions is crucial for decision-making and efficiency in various areas, such as water resources management, flood control and disaster mitigation, hydraulic engineering scheduling, and agricultural irrigation. Therefore, in order to further improve the accuracy of monthly runoff prediction, aiming at the problem that the traditional Stacking ensemble method ignores (the base model correlation between different folds in the prediction process), this paper proposes a novel Stacking multi-scale ensemble learning model (SWA–FWWS) based on random weight averaging and a K-fold cross-validation weighted ensemble. Then, it is evaluated and compared with base models and other multi-model ensemble models in the runoff prediction of two upstream and downstream reservoirs in a certain river. The results show that the proposed model exhibits excellent performance and adaptability in monthly runoff prediction, with an average RMSE reduction of 6.44% compared to traditional Stacking models. This provides a new research direction for the application of ensemble models in reservoir monthly runoff prediction.