Kaishu Wang

Ms. Kaishu Wang

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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31 January 2025 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
YCYuanke Cu
Yuanke Cu
KWKaishu Wang
Kaishu Wang
LZLechen Zhang
Lechen Zhang
ZLZixuan Liu
Zixuan Liu
YLYixuan Liu
Yixuan Liu
LMLi Mo
Li Mo
Electricity price forecasting is of significant practical importance, and improving prediction accuracy has become a key area of focus. Although substantial progress has been made in electricity price forecasting research, the unique characteristics of the electricity market make prices highly sensitive to even minor market changes. This results in prices exhibiting long-term trends while also experiencing sharp fluctuations due to sudden events, often leading to extreme values. Furthermore, most current models are “black-box” models, lacking transparency and interpretability. These unique features make electricity price forecasting particularly complex and challenging. This paper introduces a forecasting framework that incorporates the Seasonal Trend decomposition using Loess (STL), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAPs) and applies it to forecasting in the electricity markets of the United States and Australia. The proposed forecasting framework significantly improves prediction accuracy compared to nine other baseline models, especially in terms of RMSE and R2 metrics, while also providing clear insights into the factors influencing the forecasts. On the U.S. dataset, the RMSE of this framework is 12.7% lower than that of the second-best model, while, on the Australian dataset, the RMSE of the SLGSEF is 2.58% lower than that of the second-best model.