It is of great significance to develop early prediction technology for controlling downy mildew and promoting cucumber production. In this study, a cucumber downy mildew prediction method was proposed by fusing quantitative disease information and environmental data. Firstly, the number of cucumber downy mildew spores during the experiment was collected by a portable spore catcher, and the proportion of cucumber downy mildew leaf area to all cucumber leaf area was recorded, which was used as the incidence degree of cucumber plants. The environmental data in the greenhouse were monitored and recorded by the weather station in the greenhouse. Environmental data outside the greenhouse were monitored and recorded by a weather station in front of the greenhouse. Then, the influencing factors of cucumber downy mildew were analyzed based on the Pearson correlation coefficient method. The influencing factors of the cucumber downy mildew early warning model in greenhouse were identified. Finally, the CNN-LSTM (Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory) algorithm was used to establish the cucumber downy mildew incidence prediction model. The results showed that the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and determination coefficient (R2) of the CNN-LSTM network model were 0.069, 0.0098, 0.0991, and 0.9127, respectively. The maximum error between the predicted value and the true value for all test sets was 16.9398%. The minimum error between the predicted value and the true value for all test sets was 0.3413%. The average error between the predicted and true values for all test sets was 6.6478%. The Bland–Altman method was used to analyze the predicted and true values of the test set, and 95.65% of the test set data numbers were within the 95% consistency interval. This work can serve as a foundation for the creation of early prediction models of greenhouse crop airborne diseases.
The most significant aspect of promoting greenhouse productivity is the timely monitoring of disease spores and applying proactive control measures. This paper introduces a method to classify spores of airborne disease in greenhouse crops by using fingerprint characteristics of diffraction–polarized images and machine learning. Initially, a diffraction–polarization imaging system was established, and the diffraction fingerprint images of disease spores were taken in polarization directions of 0°, 45°, 90° and 135°. Subsequently, the diffraction–polarization images were processed, wherein the fingerprint features of the spore diffraction–polarization images were extracted. Finally, a support vector machine (SVM) classification algorithm was used to classify the disease spores. The study’s results indicate that the diffraction–polarization imaging system can capture images of disease spores. Different spores all have their own unique diffraction–polarization fingerprint characteristics. The identification rates of tomato gray mold spores, cucumber downy mold spores and cucumber powdery mildew spores were 96.02%, 94.94% and 96.57%, respectively. The average identification rate of spores was 95.85%. This study can provide a research basis for the identification and classification of disease spores.
Analyzing the transmission dynamics of airborne disease spores is crucial for advancing early warning and control strategies for crop diseases. This study introduces a novel approach utilizing the HYSPLIT-5 model to investigate the spore transmission patterns and pathways of airborne crop diseases. By employing the Lagrangian particle trajectory method of HYSPLIT-5 in conjunction with MeteInfoMap 3.5, the spatiotemporal frequency of cucumber downy mildew spore trajectories over extended periods was examined. The results indicate that the transmission trajectory of cucumber downy mildew spores is heavily influenced by atmospheric circulation, with spores spreading along air currents to surrounding areas. These trajectories frequently intersect, resulting in a broad transmission range, and the observed transmission patterns exhibit a degree of universality. Which provided a basis for the subsequent study of a large-scale prediction model of cucumber downy mildew.