Global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are increasing and present substantial environmental sustainability challenges, requiring the development of accurate predictive models. Due to the non-linear and temporal nature of emissions data, traditional machine learning methods—which work well when data are structured—struggle to provide effective predictions. In this paper, we propose a general framework that combines advanced deep learning models (such as GRU, Bidirectional GRU (BIGRU), Stacked GRU, and Attention-based BIGRU) with a novel hybridized optimization algorithm, GGBERO, which is a combination of Greylag Goose Optimization (GGO) and Al-Biruni Earth Radius (BER). First, experiments showed that ensemble machine learning models such as CatBoost and Gradient Boosting addressed static features effectively, while time-dependent patterns proved more challenging to predict. Transitioning to recurrent neural network architectures, mainly BIGRU, enabled the modeling of sequential dependence on emissions data. The empirical results show that the GGBERO-optimized BIGRU model produced a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 1.0 × 10−5, the best tested approach. Statistical methods like the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test and ANOVA were employed to validate the framework’s effectiveness in improving the evaluation, confirming the significance and robustness of the improvements due to the framework. In addition to improving the accuracy of CO2 emissions forecasting, this integrated approach delivers interpretable explanations of the significant factors of CO2 emissions, aiding policymakers and researchers focused on climate change mitigation in data-driven decision-making.
More than 85% of the world’s cervical cancer fatalities occur in less-developed nations, causing early mortality among women. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for the early classification of cervical cancer based on a new feature selection algorithm and classification method. The new feature selection algorithm is based on a hybrid of the Waterwheel Plant Algorithm and Particle Swarm Optimization algorithms, and bWWPAPSO denotes it. Meanwhile, the new classification method is based on optimizing the parameters of a multilayer perceptron neural network (WWPAPSO+MLP). A publicly available dataset is employed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Due to this dataset’s imbalance and missing values, it is preprocessed and balanced using SMOTETomek, where undersampling and oversampling were utilized. The usefulness of class imbalance and feature selection based on the classifier’s specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy has been demonstrated by way of a comparative study of the proposed methodology that has been carried out. WWPAPSO+MLP achieves superior performance, with an accuracy of 97.3% and a sensitivity of 98.8%. On the other hand, several statistical tests were conducted, including the Wilcoxon signed rank test and analysis of variance (ANOVA) to confirm the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed approach.
This study presents a flood risk assessment of five rural bridges along the monsoon-prone Khar–Mohmand Gat corridor in Northwestern Pakistan using an integrated hydrologic and hydraulic modeling framework. Hydrologic simulations for 50- and 100-year design storms were performed using the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS), with watershed delineation conducted via Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Calibration was based on regional rainfall data from the Peshawar station using a Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) of 86 and time of concentration calculated using Kirpich’s method. The resulting hydrographs were used in two-dimensional hydraulic simulations using the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) to evaluate water surface elevations, flow velocities, and Froude numbers at each bridge site. The findings reveal that all bridges can convey peak flows without overtopping under current climatic conditions. However, Bridges 3 to 5 experience near-critical to supercritical flow conditions, with velocities ranging from 3.43 to 4.75 m/s and Froude numbers between 0.92 and 1.04, indicating high vulnerability to local scour. Bridge 2 shows moderate risk, while Bridge 1 faces the least hydraulic stress. The applied modeling framework effectively identifies structures requiring priority intervention and demonstrates a practical methodology for assessing flood risk in ungauged, data-scarce, and semi-arid regions.
The accurate prediction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from light-duty vehicles is critical for mitigating environmental impacts and enhancing regulatory compliance in the automotive industry. However, challenges such as high-dimensional feature spaces, feature redundancy, and hyperparameter sensitivity limit the efficiency of machine learning (ML) models in CO2 emissions forecasting. This study systematically investigates the efficacy of ML models for CO2 emissions prediction using the Fuel Consumption Ratings 2023 dataset, with a particular focus on optimizing feature selection and hyperparameter tuning through metaheuristic techniques. The performance of various ML models, including the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), is evaluated before and after optimization. Initially, the TFT model achieved a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.082723421 in the baseline scenario. Feature selection using the Football Optimization Algorithm (FbOA) significantly improved its performance, reducing the RMSE to 0.018798774. Further enhancement through metaheuristic optimization using FbOA resulted in an exceptionally low RMSE of 0.000923, demonstrating substantial gains in predictive accuracy. The findings underscore the impact of metaheuristic-driven feature selection and hyperparameter tuning in optimizing ML models for environmental sustainability applications. This work provides a framework for integrating advanced ML methodologies with optimization techniques, offering policymakers and automotive manufacturers a robust tool for assessing and reducing vehicle emissions.
1 January 2025 in Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics