Accurate prediction and assessment of extreme flood events are crucial for effective disaster preparedness, response, and mitigation strategies. One crucial factor influencing the intensity and magnitude of extreme flood events is precipitation. Precipitation patterns, particularly during intense weather phenomena such as hurricanes, can play a significant role in triggering widespread flooding over densely populated areas. Traditional flood prediction models typically rely on single-source precipitation data, which may not adequately capture the inherent variability and uncertainty associated with extreme events due to certain limitations in the precipitation generation framework, availability, or both spatial and temporal resolutions. Moreover, in coastal regions, the complex interaction between local precipitation, river flows, and coastal processes (i.e., storm tide) can result in compound flooding and amplify the overall impact and complexity of flooding patterns. This study presents an implementation of the global copula-embedded Bayesian model averaging (BMA) (Global Cop-BMA) framework for improving the accuracy and reliability of extreme flood modeling. The proposed framework integrates a collection of precipitation products with different spatiotemporal resolutions to account for uncertainty in forcing data for hydrodynamic modeling and generating probabilistic flood inundation maps. The methodology is evaluated with respect to Hurricane Harvey, which was a catastrophic weather event characterized by intense precipitation and compound flooding processes over the city of Houston in the state of Texas in 2017. The results show a significant improvement in predictive accuracy compared to those based on a single precipitation product (e.g., the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) performance of a single quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) is in the range of 0.695 to 0.846, while the Cop-BMA yields an NSE of 0.858), demonstrating the merits of the Global Cop-BMA approach. Furthermore, this research extends its impact by generating probabilistic flood extension maps that account not only for the primary influence of precipitation as a flood driver but also for the intricate nature of compound flooding processes in coastal environments.
Flood inundation mapping (FIM), which is essential for effective disaster response and management, requires rapid and accurate delineation of flood extent and depth. Remote sensing FIM, especially using satellite imagery, offers certain capabilities and advantages, but also faces challenges such as cloud and canopy obstructions and flood depth estimation. This research developed a novel hybrid approach, named FLDSensing, which combines remote sensing imagery with the FLDPLN (pronounced “floodplain”) flood inundation model, to improve remote sensing FIM in both inundation extent and depth estimation. The method first identifies clean flood edge pixels (i.e., floodwater pixels next to bare ground), which, combined with the FLDPLN library, are used to estimate the water stages at certain stream pixels. Water stage is further interpolated and smoothed at additional stream pixels, which is then used with an FLDPLN library to generate flood extent and depth maps. The method was applied over the Verdigris River in Kansas to map the flood event that occurred in late May 2019, where Sentinel-2 imagery was used to generate remote sensing FIM and to identify clean water-edge pixels. The results show a significant improvement in FIM accuracy when compared to a HEC-RAS 2D (Version 6.5) benchmark, with the metrics of CSI/POD/FAR/F1-scores reaching 0.89/0.98/0.09/0.94 from 0.55/0.56/0.03/0.71 using remote sensing alone. The method also performed favorably against several existing hybrid approaches, including FLEXTH and FwDET 2.1. This study demonstrates that integrating remote sensing imagery with the FLDPLN model, which uniquely estimates stream stage through floodwater-edges, offers a more effective hybrid approach to enhancing remote sensing-based FIM.
The involvement of health professionals from their training period is important for the promotion of living liver donation. There are data that indicate that the awareness of living donation is lower in areas with high rates of deceased donation. Objective: To analyze the attitude toward living liver donation among Spanish medical students, according to donation rates of their regions. Method: Population under study: Medical students in Spanish universities. Database of the Collaborative International Donor Project, stratified by geographic area and academic course. The completion was anonymous and self-administered. Groups under study: group 1 (n = 1136): students in universities of regions with >50 donors per million population (pmp); group 2 (n = 2018): students in region universities with <40 donors pmp. Assessment instrument: the attitude questionnaire for living liver donation Proyecto Colaborativo Internacional Donante sobre Donación de Vivo Hepático-Ríos (PCID-DVH Ríos). Results: The attitude toward related liver donation is more favorable among the students of regions with 50 donors pmp. Thus, in group 1, a total of 88% (n = 1002) of students are in favor compared with 91% (n = 1831) of group 2 (P=.02). The psychosocial profile of each study group about their attitude toward living related liver donation is analyzed. There is a similar profile between the 2 groups, although there are differences in some variables such as age, a belief that one might need a transplant, family discussion about donation and transplantation, discussion with friends about donation and transplantation, and knowing about a donor. Conclusions: The awareness of living related donation among Spanish medical students is greater among the regions with lower organ donation rates.